摘要
通过对1976 年唐山7.8 级地震后的较强余震(1978 年以后ML≥4.9)与华北中强地震的对比分析,发现唐山较强余震的发生与华北中强地震具有较好的相关性,并给出了对应概率。为预测未来唐山显著地震提供了定量依据。
By comparative analysis of the relatively strong after shocks( M L ≥4.9 after 1978)after the Tangshan M7.8earthquake in 1976 and the moderately strong earthquakes in North China area,it is found that the relatively strong after shocks in Tangshan show a correlatability with the moderately strong earthquakes in North China area,and the corresponding probability has been given which has provided a quantitative basis for the prediction of notable earthquakes occurred in Tangshan in the future.
引文
1 李文英.华北地区与日本海沟地震的相关性分析.地震,1996,16(3).
2 杨理华.华北地区地壳应力场.北京:地震出版社,1980.
3 王泽皋,等.华北强震活动的整体性.地震战线,1979.(5)