从科学观反思汶川特大地震的深层次教训
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摘要
从科学观高度,反思汶川特大地震的深刻教训。1.某些地震学家认为短临地震预报不可预测,这是西方科学"还原论"思维方式的必然结果。2.国内一些交叉科学家运用中国传统文化的整体思维结合现代科技,已经找到大地震临震的天文触发因子和部分器测临震信号;利用此种天地耦合方法进行内部试验,已获得多次成功。3.在汶川地震前,非常规手段事先收到了多种器测的精确信号,事后分析发现,临震期间也有明显的天文触发条件,表明该地震的可预报性是存在的。4.中西两种科学思想各有其利与弊,从21世纪起,走中西两种科学思想的优势融合,有可能成为新时期科学发展的战略趋势。
From a scientific v iew of the high,reflect on the profound lessons of the Wenchuan great earthquake.Some seismologists consider short-term and impending earthquake prediction is the unpredictability of Western science,"Reductionism" the inevitable result of a variety of thinking;2.Some cross-scientists use the traditional Chinese culture as a whole combination of modern scientific thinking,we have found a major earthquake impending astronomical trigger factor and imminent earthquake-measuring signal;The use of such earth coupling method for internal testing,has made a number of successful;3.Before the Wenchuan earthquake,they had received a variety of precision-measuring precision signal.Later analysis showed that during the imminent earthquake and there have been noticeable astronomical trigger conditions.This indicates that the earthquake predictability exists;4.Chinese and Western scientific thought has its own pros and cons.From the 21 century,China and the West take advantage of two kinds of scientific thinking will eventually become a new era of scientific convergence trends.
From a scientific v iew of the high,reflect on the profound lessons of the Wenchuan great earthquake.Some seismologists consider short-term and impending earthquake prediction is the unpredictability of Western science,"Reductionism" the inevitable result of a variety of thinking;2.Some cross-scientists use the traditional Chinese culture as a whole combination of modern scientific thinking,we have found a major earthquake impending astronomical trigger factor and imminent earthquake-measuring signal;The use of such earth coupling method for internal testing,has made a number of successful;3.Before the Wenchuan earthquake,they had received a variety of precision-measuring precision signal.Later analysis showed that during the imminent earthquake and there have been noticeable astronomical trigger conditions.This indicates that the earthquake predictability exists;4.Chinese and Western scientific thought has its own pros and cons.From the 21 century,China and the West take advantage of two kinds of scientific thinking will eventually become a new era of scientific convergence trends.
引文
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[19]任振球.倡议关注中国古代科学思想中的现代物理学问题.格物,2006(5):46-50.
[20]任振球.走中西两种文化优势融合道路争取地震预报的突破性进展.国际地震动态.2005(5):125-130.
[21]1991年2月27日温家宝总理在中国科协一次会议上的讲话.
[22]任振球.整体思维引领重大自主创新的若干深层次问题。科学对社会的影响,2007(4):50-55.
[23]任振球.整体观方法论与21世纪中国科技新崛起.中华新论·全国优秀科技理论研究成果信息库.中国科协信息中心等出版,1999.
[2]Ian Main.地震预测:简要结论.国际地震动态,1999(7):21-23.
[3]中国地震局办公室.对任振球先生来信答复的函.中震办函[2006]17号,2006.
[4]胡文耕.还原论.中国大百科全书:哲学.1987:315.
[5]任振球.突发性特大自然灾害触发因子的发现及其物理研究方案.中国工程科学,2004,6(12):1-6.
[6]任振球.引潮力共振对热带气旋突变的触发作用.气象,1998(9):12-16.
[7]任振球.三天体成直线时的非经典引力效应.自然杂志:上海,1982,(5):501-504.
[8]Qian-shen Wang,et al.,Precise measurement of gravity variations during a total solar eclipse.Physical Review D.2000,Vol.62,041101(1-3).
[9]万金华.在引力场中单向双螺旋转的光量子的双质量能量公式.
[10]任振球,万金华.万氏双螺旋双质量质能公式为三星一线引力放大假设实现了定量的物理机制证明.2007天灾预测学术研讨会议文集.2007:1-3.
[11]Ren Zhenqiu.Triggering mechanism of tide-generating force resonance on impending violent earthquakes and prediction verification seismo Electromagnetics Lithophere-Atmosphere Lonosphere Coupling,Tokyo,Japan,2002,455-461.
[12]李均之,夏雅琴,陈维升等.临震预报的一个重要方法——冷声波异常.陈颗等主编.地球物理与中国建设.地质出版社,1997.
[13]钱复业,赵玉林.关于扩大“HRT”波观测台(阵)网与采用“HRT”波法进行短临定量预测(强)地震三要素探索、实验观测研究的建议.中国地震预测咨询委员会.地震预测咨询通讯:第二期.2007.
[14]孙威.高灵敏重力仪与地震预报.2002,4,2.
[15]王斌,王丽丽.利用卫星云图预测地震.遥感信息,2006(5).
[16]刘正彦.地震电磁前兆研究.台湾中央大学空间科学研究所,2002.
[17]席泽宗.如何重视和科学地评价中国古代科学:1998年11月24日“天地生人系列讲座”第198讲.
[18]任振球,陈其翔.关于科学基本理念若干问题的讨论.格物,2006(1):79-82.
[19]任振球.倡议关注中国古代科学思想中的现代物理学问题.格物,2006(5):46-50.
[20]任振球.走中西两种文化优势融合道路争取地震预报的突破性进展.国际地震动态.2005(5):125-130.
[21]1991年2月27日温家宝总理在中国科协一次会议上的讲话.
[22]任振球.整体思维引领重大自主创新的若干深层次问题。科学对社会的影响,2007(4):50-55.
[23]任振球.整体观方法论与21世纪中国科技新崛起.中华新论·全国优秀科技理论研究成果信息库.中国科协信息中心等出版,1999.
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