2014年云南鲁甸6.5级地震前重力变化特征与3维反演
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摘要
利用西昌测网2012—2014年6期流动重力观测资料,分析了区域重力场差分动态变化和累积动态变化特征,以及近震源区测点的时序变化曲线,认为鲁甸6.5级地震前2年并没有出现明显的趋势性累积异常,而可能的前兆信号与断层滑动面两侧的测点2014-03—2014-06时段的重力点值差异性变化相关。针对此异常采用等效源模型反演至震源深度范围内的密度值变化在10-5g/cm3量级,推测该质量源在短期内的变化可能与地壳内部介质孔隙流体的充填或运移相关,在短期构造运动等动力条件下,孕震区可能由于流体物质运移、充填并诱发断层滑动,导致地震的发生。
Based on the 6 campaigns relative gravity observation data of the Xichang gravity survey network from 2012 to 2014, we analyze the gravity change patterns between two adjacent observation campaigns,the dynamic patterns of cumulated gravity change relative to the first campaign and the gravity time-variation at some stations near the epicenter of Ludian earthquake in the study area. We find that there was no obvious cumulative trend anomaly before the Ludian MS6. 5 earthquake 2 years ago,and the possible precursor signals are related to the gravity difference changes of the stations located at the two sides of the fault slip surface during the period of 2014- 03—2014- 06. Using equivalent source model to inverse these gravity anomalies, we deduce the density changes in10- 5g / cm3 orders of magnitude to the depth of epicenter. It is inferred that the change of the mass source in the short time may be related with the filling or migration of pore fluid in the crust medium.Under the equal dynamic condition of short-time tectonic movement,fault slip in the seismogenic zone may be triggered due to fluid migration and filling,thus,resulting in generation of earthquake.
引文
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