天津地区咸水井映震能力评估
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摘要
系统处理了1992年以来天津地区4口咸水井的水位观测资料,使用R值对这4口井的映震效能进行了评估。认为:①这4口井的R值不高,主要原因是咸水层观测井水位异常时间较长,致使预报占用时间较长;②咸水层观测井水位异常幅度比较明显,异常性质的规律性较强,出现异常时易于识别;③咸水层观测井水位有异常有地震的比率达到了70%以上,这对有震的判定非常有意义。
I have processed the observation data of water level about 4 salty water wells since 1992.And I used the R value to make appraisal of corresponding earthquake efficiency for these 4 salty water wells.I thought that: ① The R values of these 4 wells are not high.The main reason is that the abnormity time of observation wells in salty water layer is too long.It made the prediction to take long time;② The abnormity amplitude of water level in salty water layer is obvious.The regularity of the abnormity character is strong.When there appears abnormity,it is easy to distinguish;③ The proportion of having abnormity and having earthquakes of water levels of observation wells in salty water layer is more than 70%.It is very meaning to judge earthquake occurrence.
引文
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