The effects of growth, shrinkage, population aging and preference shifts on urban development—A spatial scenario analysis of Berlin, Germany
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- 作者：Steffen Laufa ; steffen.lauf@tu-berlin.de" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Dagmar Haaseb ; dagmar.haase@geo.hu-berlin.de" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Birgit Kleinschmitc ; birgit.kleinschmit@tu-berlin.de" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：Urban growth and shrinkage ; Scenario simulation ; Urban form ; Demographic change ; Reurbanization ; Residential preference ; Population aging ; Berlin
- 刊名：Land Use Policy
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：March 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：52
- 期：Complete
- 页码：240-254
- 全文大小：7236 K
文摘
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Effects of single and combined processes (e.g., population growth and aging) are tested.
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Changes in urban form are clearly relatable to demographic and residential preference shifts.
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Urban growth might proceed despite population loss.
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Population aging clearly affects urban dispersion and urban sprawl.
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Sensitivities of urban processes on specific urban form characteristics are revealed.