信息通信基础设施对东盟全要素生产率的影响
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摘要
从时空压缩效应、通用目的技术、信息通信平台和网络效应四个功能维度,分析信息通信基础设施对全要素生产率增长的影响机理。利用2000—2016年东盟国家面板数据,对信息通信基础设施的全要素生产率增长效应进行实证研究,发现信息通信基础设施对东盟国家的技术进步具有显著的正向影响,对东盟国家的技术效率具有显著的负向影响,对属于技术进步主导型的东盟国家全要素生产率具有显著的正向影响。信息通信基础设施具有显著的网络效应,对东盟国家全要素生产率的促进作用呈现倒U型的非线性特征。最后,针对研究结论提出了相关政策建议。
This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of information communication infrastructure on the growth of total factor productivity from four functional dimensions: time and space compression effect,general purpose technology,information communication platform and network effect. Based on the panel data of ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2016,we makes an empirical study on the growth effect of total factor productivity caused by information communication infrastructure. It is found that the information communication infrastructure has a significant positive impact on the technological progress,a significant negative impact on the technical efficiency,and a significant positive effect on the total factor productivity mainly promoted by technological progress across ASEAN countries. The promotion of TFP in ASEAN countries from information communication infrastructure presents a nonlinear feature of inverted U type,with the existing of network effects. Finally,the policy suggestions are put forward.
This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of information communication infrastructure on the growth of total factor productivity from four functional dimensions: time and space compression effect,general purpose technology,information communication platform and network effect. Based on the panel data of ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2016,we makes an empirical study on the growth effect of total factor productivity caused by information communication infrastructure. It is found that the information communication infrastructure has a significant positive impact on the technological progress,a significant negative impact on the technical efficiency,and a significant positive effect on the total factor productivity mainly promoted by technological progress across ASEAN countries. The promotion of TFP in ASEAN countries from information communication infrastructure presents a nonlinear feature of inverted U type,with the existing of network effects. Finally,the policy suggestions are put forward.
引文
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[2]LEFF N H.Externalities,information costs,and social benefit-cost analysis for economic development:An example from telecommunications[J].Economic development & cultural change,1984,32(2):255-276.
[3]NORTON S W.Transaction costs,telecommunications,and the microeconomics of macroeconomic growth[J].Economic development & cultural change,1992,41(1):175-196.
[4] THOPPSON,H.,GARBACZ C.Mobile,fixed line and Internet service effects on global productive efficiency[J].Information economics & policy,2007,19(2):189-214.
[5] JUNG J.Regional inequalities in the impact of broadband on productivity:Evidence from Brazil[J].Mpra paper,2014,23(7):258-271.
[6] KUHN P,SKUTERUD M.Internet job search and unemployment durations[J].American economic review,2004,94(1):218-232.
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[8] CLEMONS E K,REDDI S P,ROW M C.The impact of information technology on the organization of economic activity:The "move to the middle" hypothesis[J].Journal of management information systems,1993,10(2):9-36.
[9]郑世林,周黎安,何维达.电信基础设施与中国经济增长[J].经济研究,2014(5):77-90.
[10]韩宝国,朱平芳.宽带对中国经济增长影响的实证分析[J].统计研究,2014(10):49-54.
[11]郭家堂,骆品亮.互联网对中国全要素生产率有促进作用吗?[J].管理世界,2016(10):34-49.
[12]魏新颖,王宏伟.信息化对高技术产业全要素生产率的影响分析——基于面板门限回归模型的实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2017(12):34-41.
[13] DRACA M,SADUN R,REENEN J V.Productivity and ICT:A review of the evidence[J].Lse research online documents on economics,2006(8):143-167.
[14] FARRELL M J.The measurement of productive efficiency[J].Journal of the royal statistical society,1957,120(3):253-290.
[15] NINA Czernich,OLIVER Falck,T et al.Broadband infrastructure and economic growth[J].The economic journal,2011,121(5):552-561.
[16]孙中伟,金凤君.信息与通信技术对空间组织的影响及其空间效率的测算[J].地域研究与开发,2010(1):49-54.
[17] AGHION P,AKCIGIT U,HOWITT P.What do we learn from Schumpeterian growth theory?[J].Working Paper,2013,2:515–563.
[18]何元庆.对外开放与TFP增长:基于中国省际面板数据的经验研究[J].经济学(季刊),2007(4):1127-1142.
[19]毛其淋,盛斌.对外经济开放、区域市场整合与全要素生产率[J].经济学(季刊),2012(1):181-210.
[20] LEFF N H.Externalities,information costs,and social benefit-cost analysis for economic development:An example from telecommunications[J].Economic development & cultural change,1984,32(2):255-276.
[21] EVANGELISTA R,GUERRIERI P,MELICIANI V.The economic impact of digital technologies in Europe[J].Economics of innovation & new technology,2014,23(8):802-824.
[22] LITAN R E,RIVLIN A M.Projecting the economic impact of the internet[J].American economic review,2001,91(2):313-317.
[23] DELPACHITRA S,VAN Dai,P.The determinants of TFP growth in middle income economies in ASEAN:Implication of financial crises.[J].International journal of business and economics,2012,11(1),63-88.
[24]赵慧,范祚军.基于技术视角的东盟国家全要素生产力分析:1980—2011[J].南洋问题研究,2016(1):54-64.
[25] ROLLER L H,WAVERMAN L.Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development:A simultaneous approach[J].American economic review,2001,91(4):909-923.
[26] GRUBER H,H?t?nen J,KOUTROUMPIS P.Broadband access in the EU:An assessment of future economic benefits [J].Telecommunications policy,2014,38(11):1046-1058.
[27]程惠芳,陆嘉俊.知识资本对工业企业全要素生产率影响的实证分析[J].经济研究,2014(5):174-187.
[28]郭秀珍,刘胜天.国外固定资产折旧模式及特别折旧的经济杠杆性[J].沈阳理工大学学报,2000(2):73-78.
[29] ASIEDU E.Foreign direct investment in Africa:The role of natural resources,market size,government policy,institutions and political instability[J].World economy,2006,29(1):63–77.
[30]姜巍,陈万灵.东盟基础设施发展与FDI流入的区位选择:机理与实证[J].经济问题探索,2016(1):132-139.
[2]LEFF N H.Externalities,information costs,and social benefit-cost analysis for economic development:An example from telecommunications[J].Economic development & cultural change,1984,32(2):255-276.
[3]NORTON S W.Transaction costs,telecommunications,and the microeconomics of macroeconomic growth[J].Economic development & cultural change,1992,41(1):175-196.
[4] THOPPSON,H.,GARBACZ C.Mobile,fixed line and Internet service effects on global productive efficiency[J].Information economics & policy,2007,19(2):189-214.
[5] JUNG J.Regional inequalities in the impact of broadband on productivity:Evidence from Brazil[J].Mpra paper,2014,23(7):258-271.
[6] KUHN P,SKUTERUD M.Internet job search and unemployment durations[J].American economic review,2004,94(1):218-232.
[7] STEVENSON B.Studies of labor market intermediation:The internet and job search[J].Nber chapters,2009,76(3):69-93.
[8] CLEMONS E K,REDDI S P,ROW M C.The impact of information technology on the organization of economic activity:The "move to the middle" hypothesis[J].Journal of management information systems,1993,10(2):9-36.
[9]郑世林,周黎安,何维达.电信基础设施与中国经济增长[J].经济研究,2014(5):77-90.
[10]韩宝国,朱平芳.宽带对中国经济增长影响的实证分析[J].统计研究,2014(10):49-54.
[11]郭家堂,骆品亮.互联网对中国全要素生产率有促进作用吗?[J].管理世界,2016(10):34-49.
[12]魏新颖,王宏伟.信息化对高技术产业全要素生产率的影响分析——基于面板门限回归模型的实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2017(12):34-41.
[13] DRACA M,SADUN R,REENEN J V.Productivity and ICT:A review of the evidence[J].Lse research online documents on economics,2006(8):143-167.
[14] FARRELL M J.The measurement of productive efficiency[J].Journal of the royal statistical society,1957,120(3):253-290.
[15] NINA Czernich,OLIVER Falck,T et al.Broadband infrastructure and economic growth[J].The economic journal,2011,121(5):552-561.
[16]孙中伟,金凤君.信息与通信技术对空间组织的影响及其空间效率的测算[J].地域研究与开发,2010(1):49-54.
[17] AGHION P,AKCIGIT U,HOWITT P.What do we learn from Schumpeterian growth theory?[J].Working Paper,2013,2:515–563.
[18]何元庆.对外开放与TFP增长:基于中国省际面板数据的经验研究[J].经济学(季刊),2007(4):1127-1142.
[19]毛其淋,盛斌.对外经济开放、区域市场整合与全要素生产率[J].经济学(季刊),2012(1):181-210.
[20] LEFF N H.Externalities,information costs,and social benefit-cost analysis for economic development:An example from telecommunications[J].Economic development & cultural change,1984,32(2):255-276.
[21] EVANGELISTA R,GUERRIERI P,MELICIANI V.The economic impact of digital technologies in Europe[J].Economics of innovation & new technology,2014,23(8):802-824.
[22] LITAN R E,RIVLIN A M.Projecting the economic impact of the internet[J].American economic review,2001,91(2):313-317.
[23] DELPACHITRA S,VAN Dai,P.The determinants of TFP growth in middle income economies in ASEAN:Implication of financial crises.[J].International journal of business and economics,2012,11(1),63-88.
[24]赵慧,范祚军.基于技术视角的东盟国家全要素生产力分析:1980—2011[J].南洋问题研究,2016(1):54-64.
[25] ROLLER L H,WAVERMAN L.Telecommunications infrastructure and economic development:A simultaneous approach[J].American economic review,2001,91(4):909-923.
[26] GRUBER H,H?t?nen J,KOUTROUMPIS P.Broadband access in the EU:An assessment of future economic benefits [J].Telecommunications policy,2014,38(11):1046-1058.
[27]程惠芳,陆嘉俊.知识资本对工业企业全要素生产率影响的实证分析[J].经济研究,2014(5):174-187.
[28]郭秀珍,刘胜天.国外固定资产折旧模式及特别折旧的经济杠杆性[J].沈阳理工大学学报,2000(2):73-78.
[29] ASIEDU E.Foreign direct investment in Africa:The role of natural resources,market size,government policy,institutions and political instability[J].World economy,2006,29(1):63–77.
[30]姜巍,陈万灵.东盟基础设施发展与FDI流入的区位选择:机理与实证[J].经济问题探索,2016(1):132-139.