基于博弈论组合赋权的水环境综合治理效果评价
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摘要
随着人们对水环境要求的提高和政府投资力度的加大,水环境综合整治取得了一定的效果,但目前还没有针对水环境综合整治效果的评价指标体系。从水体改善、景观、生态、功能和社会民生5个方面选取17项指标建立了水环境综合治理效果评价指标体系。基于博弈论均衡和协调的基本思想,利用AHP法确定主观权重,熵法确定客观权重,通过组合赋权得出综合权重,构建了基于博弈论组合赋权的水环境综合治理效果评价模型。结合宣城市2015—2017年水环境综合治理效果的相关数据进行评价,评价结果显示2015年宣城市水环境综合治理效果评价等级为中,2016年和2017年评价等级均为良;综合评价得分呈逐年上升趋势,表明治理效果不断提高。
With the increasing requirement of water environment and the enlargement of government investment,a comprehensive improvement of water environment takes shape to some extent,but no evaluation index system for the comprehensive improvement of water environment is proposed. 17 indexes are selected from aspects of water improvement,landscape,ecology,function and social people's livelihood to establish an evaluation index system.Based on the basic thoughts of game theory equilibrium and coordination,AHP is used to determine the subjective weight and entropic law is applied to confirm the objective weight. The comprehensive weight is thus obtained through the combined empowerment. A comprehensive improvement evaluation model for water environment based on the combined empowerment of game theory is constructed and evaluated by using the relevant data of comprehensive improvement effect for water environment in Xuancheng City in 2015-2017,showing that the comprehensive improvement evaluation grade for water environment in Xuancheng City in 2015 belongs to mediumgrade and that of 2016 and 2017 is within high-grade. The comprehensive evaluation on the upgrade,indicates that the improvement effect is constant,and that the evaluation index system provide a basis for evaluating and inspecting the comprehensive improvement of water environment in other cities.
With the increasing requirement of water environment and the enlargement of government investment,a comprehensive improvement of water environment takes shape to some extent,but no evaluation index system for the comprehensive improvement of water environment is proposed. 17 indexes are selected from aspects of water improvement,landscape,ecology,function and social people's livelihood to establish an evaluation index system.Based on the basic thoughts of game theory equilibrium and coordination,AHP is used to determine the subjective weight and entropic law is applied to confirm the objective weight. The comprehensive weight is thus obtained through the combined empowerment. A comprehensive improvement evaluation model for water environment based on the combined empowerment of game theory is constructed and evaluated by using the relevant data of comprehensive improvement effect for water environment in Xuancheng City in 2015-2017,showing that the comprehensive improvement evaluation grade for water environment in Xuancheng City in 2015 belongs to mediumgrade and that of 2016 and 2017 is within high-grade. The comprehensive evaluation on the upgrade,indicates that the improvement effect is constant,and that the evaluation index system provide a basis for evaluating and inspecting the comprehensive improvement of water environment in other cities.
引文
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[11]李岱远,高而坤,吴永祥,等.基于网络层次分析法的节水型社会综合评价[J].水利水运工程学报,2017(2):29-37.(LI Daiyuan,GAO Erkun,WU Yongxiang,et al. Comprehensive evaluation of water-saving society based on analytic network process[J]. Hydro-Science and Engineering,2017(2):29-37.(in Chinese))
[12]高峰,蔺欢欢,邓红卫.基于博弈论-模糊物元的地下水环境健康评价模型构建及应用[J].安全与环境学报,2017,17(4):1543-1547.(GAO Feng,LIN Huanhuan,DENG Hongwei. Construction and application of groundwater environmental health assessment model based on game theory and fuzzy matter element[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment,2017,17(4):1543-1547.(in Chinese))
[13]陈加良.基于博弈论的组合赋权评价方法研究[J].福建电脑,2003(9):15-16.(CHEN Jialiang. Based on game theory of combination weighting evaluation method[J]. Fujian Computer,2003(9):15-16.(in Chinese))
[14]任丽超,栗振锋.基于博弈论和模糊数学的桥梁风险评价模型[J].公路工程,2017,42(1):163-169.(REN Lichao,LI Zhenfeng. A new model based on the games theory and fuzzy mathematics in bridge engineering risk assessment[J]. Highway Engineering,2017,42(1):163-169.(in Chinese))
[15]汪磊,黄其松.基于博弈论组合赋权的西部地区生态脆弱性评价[J].江苏农业科学,2016,44(3):318-322.(WANG Lei,HUANG Qisong. Assessment of ecological vulnerability in western region based on game theory combined weight method[J]. Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2016,44(3):318-322.(in Chinese))
[16]吴小萍,储诚诚,李月光,等.博弈论在高速公路施工期环境影响评价中的应用[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2012,33(6):36-40.(WU Xiaoping,CHU Chengcheng,LI Yueguang,et al. Application of game theory in environmental impact assessment of expressway construction period[J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University(Engineering Edition),2012,33(6):36-40.(in Chinese))
[17]孟颖,唐德善,石蓝星,等.基于改进指标体系的水资源调控方案评价模型[J].长江科学院院报,2017,34(5):9-13.(MENG Ying,TANG Deshan,SHI Lanxing,et al. Evaluation model of water resources regulation and control schemes based on improved index system[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,2017,34(5):9-13.(in Chinese))
[2]程军蕊,徐继荣,郑琦宏,等.宁波市城区河道水环境综合整治效果评价方法及应用[J].长江流域资源与环境,2015,24(6):1060-1066.(CHENG Junrui,XU Jirong,ZHENG Qihong,et al. Evaluation method and application of comprehensive improvement of river water environment in Ningbo urban area[J]. Resources and Environment of the Yangtze River Basin,2015,24(6):1060-1066.(in Chinese))
[3]王俊敏.水环境治理的国际比较及启示[J].世界经济与政治论坛,2016(6):161-170.(WANG Junmin. International comparison and enlightenment of water environment governance[J]. World Economic and Political Forum,2016(6):161-170.(in Chinese))
[4]杨柳,宋健飞,宋波,等.主要污染物水质标识指数法在河流水质评价的应用[J].环境科学与技术,2015,38(11):239-245.(YANG Liu,SONG Jianfei,SONG Bo,et al. Application of main pollutant water quality identification index method in water quality evaluation[J]. Environmental Science and Technology,2015,38(11):239-245.(in Chinese))
[5]徐后涛.上海市中小河道生态健康评价体系构建及治理效果研究[D].上海:上海海洋大学,2016.(XU Houtao. Study on construction of ecosystem health evaluation system and governance effect of middle and small sized rivers in Shanghai[D].Shanghai:Shanghai Ocean University,2016.(in Chinese))
[6]郑靓.兴城市头道沟小流域河道治理效果评价研究[D].长春:东北师范大学,2014.(ZHENG Liang. A study on evaluation of river regulation at Toudaogou in Xingcheng[D]. Changchun:Northeast Normal University,2014.(in Chinese))
[7]汪伦焰,黄淑焕,廉国伟,等.基于物元可拓模型对城市黑臭水体治理效果的评价[J].人民珠江,2017,38(10):87-90.(WANG Lunyan,HUANG Shuhuan,LIAN Guowei,et al. Effect evaluation of urban black-stink water treatment based on matterelement extension model[J]. Pearl River,2017,38(10):87-90.(in Chinese))
[8]顾晓光,白艳丽,程锦.塞氏盘法对水质透明度的测定[J].辽宁城乡环境科技,2005(5):21-22.(GU Xiaoguang,BAI Yanli,CHENG Jin. Measurement of water transparency by means of secchi disc[J]. Liaoning Urban and Rural Environmental Science and Technology,2005(5):21-22.(in Chinese))
[9]顾春光.重视林带的两个效益作用的发挥——谈林带宽度及其栽植密度[J].新疆林业,1986(2):17-20.(GU Chunguang. Paying attention to the development of two benefits of forest belt—Talking about the width of forest belt and its planting density[J]. Forestry of Xinjiang,1986(2):17-20.(in Chinese))
[10]李雪松,孙博文.基于层次分析的城市水环境治理综合效益评价——以武汉市为例[J].地域研究与开发,2013,32(4):171-176.(LI Xuesong,SUN Bowen. Evaluation of comprehensive benefits of urban water environment governance based on AHP—Taking Wuhan as an example[J]. Regional Research and Development,2013,32(4):171-176.(in Chinese))
[11]李岱远,高而坤,吴永祥,等.基于网络层次分析法的节水型社会综合评价[J].水利水运工程学报,2017(2):29-37.(LI Daiyuan,GAO Erkun,WU Yongxiang,et al. Comprehensive evaluation of water-saving society based on analytic network process[J]. Hydro-Science and Engineering,2017(2):29-37.(in Chinese))
[12]高峰,蔺欢欢,邓红卫.基于博弈论-模糊物元的地下水环境健康评价模型构建及应用[J].安全与环境学报,2017,17(4):1543-1547.(GAO Feng,LIN Huanhuan,DENG Hongwei. Construction and application of groundwater environmental health assessment model based on game theory and fuzzy matter element[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment,2017,17(4):1543-1547.(in Chinese))
[13]陈加良.基于博弈论的组合赋权评价方法研究[J].福建电脑,2003(9):15-16.(CHEN Jialiang. Based on game theory of combination weighting evaluation method[J]. Fujian Computer,2003(9):15-16.(in Chinese))
[14]任丽超,栗振锋.基于博弈论和模糊数学的桥梁风险评价模型[J].公路工程,2017,42(1):163-169.(REN Lichao,LI Zhenfeng. A new model based on the games theory and fuzzy mathematics in bridge engineering risk assessment[J]. Highway Engineering,2017,42(1):163-169.(in Chinese))
[15]汪磊,黄其松.基于博弈论组合赋权的西部地区生态脆弱性评价[J].江苏农业科学,2016,44(3):318-322.(WANG Lei,HUANG Qisong. Assessment of ecological vulnerability in western region based on game theory combined weight method[J]. Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2016,44(3):318-322.(in Chinese))
[16]吴小萍,储诚诚,李月光,等.博弈论在高速公路施工期环境影响评价中的应用[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2012,33(6):36-40.(WU Xiaoping,CHU Chengcheng,LI Yueguang,et al. Application of game theory in environmental impact assessment of expressway construction period[J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University(Engineering Edition),2012,33(6):36-40.(in Chinese))
[17]孟颖,唐德善,石蓝星,等.基于改进指标体系的水资源调控方案评价模型[J].长江科学院院报,2017,34(5):9-13.(MENG Ying,TANG Deshan,SHI Lanxing,et al. Evaluation model of water resources regulation and control schemes based on improved index system[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,2017,34(5):9-13.(in Chinese))