基于专家知信度的应急物流方案评价
|
摘要
为了对应急物流方案选择进行量化评价,构建应急物流方案选择评价指标体系,提出了一种将可拓层次分析与专家知信度相结合的评价方法。借助可拓区间数来代替具体数值建立判断矩阵,将专家评分偏差权重和专家知信度权重结合分析,构造了一个新的综合可拓判断矩阵,并使矩阵自然服从一致性条件,从而确定各级评价指标的权重系数并进行排序。最后以某景点F为例,说明了该方法的实现流程和可行性。
In order to quantitatively evaluate the selection of emergency logistics schemes and build an evaluation index system for the selection of emergency logistics schemes, an evaluation method combining extension hierarchical analysis with expert knowledge and belief is proposed. By using the extension interval number to replace the specific value to establish the judgment matrix, combining the expert scoring deviation weight and the expert knowledge and belief weight, a new comprehensive extension judgment matrix is constructed,and the matrix naturally obeys the consistency condition, thus determining the weight coefficient of each evaluation index and sorting. Finally, a scenic spot F is taken as an example to illustrate the implementation process and feasibility of the method.
In order to quantitatively evaluate the selection of emergency logistics schemes and build an evaluation index system for the selection of emergency logistics schemes, an evaluation method combining extension hierarchical analysis with expert knowledge and belief is proposed. By using the extension interval number to replace the specific value to establish the judgment matrix, combining the expert scoring deviation weight and the expert knowledge and belief weight, a new comprehensive extension judgment matrix is constructed,and the matrix naturally obeys the consistency condition, thus determining the weight coefficient of each evaluation index and sorting. Finally, a scenic spot F is taken as an example to illustrate the implementation process and feasibility of the method.
引文
[1]何明珂.应急物流的成本损失无处不在[J].中国物流与采购,2003(23):18-19.
[2] Sheu B. Dynamic relief-demand management for emergency logistics operations under large-scale disasters[J]. Transportation Research Part E-Logistics and Transportation Review, 2010,46(1):1-17.
[3] Liu M, Zhao L. An integrated and dynamic optimisation model for the multi-level emergency logistics network in anti-bioterrorism system[J]. International Journal of System Science, 2012,43(8):1464-1478.
[4]张吉军.模糊层次分析法(FAHP)[J].模糊系统与数学,2002,14(2):80-88.
[5]王青.基于网络技术的应急资源管理平台探讨[J].物流技术,2010(9):136-139.
[6]任雪洁,叶春明.基于模糊层次分析法的应急物流方案选择[J].物流科技,2008(10):4-5.
[7] Trevor Hale, Christopher R. Moberg. Improving supply chain disaster preparedness decision process for secure site location[J].International Journal of Physical Distribution&Logistics Management, 2005(5):197-207.
[8] AIKENS C H. Facility location models for distribution Planning[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 1985,22(2):263-279.
[9] Jiuh Biing Sheu. Dynamic relief-demand management foremergency logistics under large-scale disasters[J]. Transportion Research Part E, 2010(46):1-17.
[10]王丰,姜玉宏.应急物流[M].北京:中国物资出版社,2007.
[11]杨斌,文洪蕊.突发情景下应急物资分配决策研究[J].安全与环境工程,2015,22(5):7-12.
[12]朱炜,胡安辉.层次分析法在应急物流方案选择中的应用[J].物流技术,2005(3):45-47.
[13]冉启斌,张艳冰.基于模糊层次分析模型的绿色物流评价系统[J].中国商论,2006(10):47-48.
[14]孔令明,王云峰.基于可拓层次分析法的物流中心选址评价[J].技术经济与管理研究,2009(6):25-27.
[15]曾寿金,刘志峰,江吉彬.基于模糊AHP的机电产品绿色再制造综合评价方法及应用[J].现代制造工程,2012(7):1-6.
[16]孟参,王长琼.应急物流系统运作流程分析及其管理[J].物流技术,2006(9):15-17.
[17]王松,李庚银,周明. VSC—MTDC控制系统的参数优化及柔性调整策略[J].电网技术,2015,39(2):380-386.
[18]伍俊舟,王玫,袁敏.基于模糊可拓层次分析法的机电产品再制造性评价方法及应用[J].组合机床与自动化加工技术,2016(9):153-156.
[19] Ercanoglu M, Kasmer O, Temiz N. Adaptation and comparison of expert opinion to analytical hierarchy process for landslide susceptibility mapping[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2008,67(4):565-578.
[2] Sheu B. Dynamic relief-demand management for emergency logistics operations under large-scale disasters[J]. Transportation Research Part E-Logistics and Transportation Review, 2010,46(1):1-17.
[3] Liu M, Zhao L. An integrated and dynamic optimisation model for the multi-level emergency logistics network in anti-bioterrorism system[J]. International Journal of System Science, 2012,43(8):1464-1478.
[4]张吉军.模糊层次分析法(FAHP)[J].模糊系统与数学,2002,14(2):80-88.
[5]王青.基于网络技术的应急资源管理平台探讨[J].物流技术,2010(9):136-139.
[6]任雪洁,叶春明.基于模糊层次分析法的应急物流方案选择[J].物流科技,2008(10):4-5.
[7] Trevor Hale, Christopher R. Moberg. Improving supply chain disaster preparedness decision process for secure site location[J].International Journal of Physical Distribution&Logistics Management, 2005(5):197-207.
[8] AIKENS C H. Facility location models for distribution Planning[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 1985,22(2):263-279.
[9] Jiuh Biing Sheu. Dynamic relief-demand management foremergency logistics under large-scale disasters[J]. Transportion Research Part E, 2010(46):1-17.
[10]王丰,姜玉宏.应急物流[M].北京:中国物资出版社,2007.
[11]杨斌,文洪蕊.突发情景下应急物资分配决策研究[J].安全与环境工程,2015,22(5):7-12.
[12]朱炜,胡安辉.层次分析法在应急物流方案选择中的应用[J].物流技术,2005(3):45-47.
[13]冉启斌,张艳冰.基于模糊层次分析模型的绿色物流评价系统[J].中国商论,2006(10):47-48.
[14]孔令明,王云峰.基于可拓层次分析法的物流中心选址评价[J].技术经济与管理研究,2009(6):25-27.
[15]曾寿金,刘志峰,江吉彬.基于模糊AHP的机电产品绿色再制造综合评价方法及应用[J].现代制造工程,2012(7):1-6.
[16]孟参,王长琼.应急物流系统运作流程分析及其管理[J].物流技术,2006(9):15-17.
[17]王松,李庚银,周明. VSC—MTDC控制系统的参数优化及柔性调整策略[J].电网技术,2015,39(2):380-386.
[18]伍俊舟,王玫,袁敏.基于模糊可拓层次分析法的机电产品再制造性评价方法及应用[J].组合机床与自动化加工技术,2016(9):153-156.
[19] Ercanoglu M, Kasmer O, Temiz N. Adaptation and comparison of expert opinion to analytical hierarchy process for landslide susceptibility mapping[J]. Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment, 2008,67(4):565-578.