支撑新型装备系统需求论证的体系贡献度评估
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摘要
针对支撑新型武器装备系统需求论证的装备体系贡献度评估涉及学科领域广、不确定性因素众多、关联关系复杂、研究难度大的问题,提出了有无型与替代型、相对与绝对等多类型装备体系贡献度概念模型,构建了以支撑需求方案优化为目标,以问题背景分析、装备体系建模、评估指标构建、评估方法创新、综合分析评估为主线,迭代递进的装备体系贡献度评估过程模型,明确了装备体系贡献度评估的基本流程、规范原则、指标体系及技术方法,阐明了其实用性和有效性,为装备体系贡献度评估提供了总体框架和顶层指导。
In allusion to the problem that contribution rate evaluation supporting requirement demonstration of a new weapon equipment system has highly complexity and great difficulty due to involving a wide range of disciplines,multitudinous uncertain factors,complex relationships,multi-type contribution rate evaluation models,which included having or not having type,replacing type,relative type and absolute type,are proposed firstly.Then,with the aim of optimizing requirement scheme of a new weapon equipment system,an iterative and progressive process model based on the main clue of problem background analyzing,the armament system of systems modeling,evaluation index system constructing,evaluation method innovating,synthetically analyzing and evaluating is established and discussed,elucidating the basic procedure,norms and principles,evaluation index system,and techniques and methods.Finally,its practicability and effectiveness are demonstrated,providing the general framework and top guidelines for contribution rate evaluation of weapon equipment system.
In allusion to the problem that contribution rate evaluation supporting requirement demonstration of a new weapon equipment system has highly complexity and great difficulty due to involving a wide range of disciplines,multitudinous uncertain factors,complex relationships,multi-type contribution rate evaluation models,which included having or not having type,replacing type,relative type and absolute type,are proposed firstly.Then,with the aim of optimizing requirement scheme of a new weapon equipment system,an iterative and progressive process model based on the main clue of problem background analyzing,the armament system of systems modeling,evaluation index system constructing,evaluation method innovating,synthetically analyzing and evaluating is established and discussed,elucidating the basic procedure,norms and principles,evaluation index system,and techniques and methods.Finally,its practicability and effectiveness are demonstrated,providing the general framework and top guidelines for contribution rate evaluation of weapon equipment system.
引文
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[23]CARES R J.Distributed networked operations:the foundations of network centric warfare[M].Bloomington:iUniverse,Inc.,2005.
[24]DELLER S,BELL M I,BOWLING S R.Applying the information age combat model:quantitative analysis of network centric operations[J].C2Journal,2009,3(1):1-19.
[25]DEKKER A H.Network topology and military performance[C]∥Proc.of the International Congress on Modeling and Simulation,Modeling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand,2005:2174-2180.
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[29]李际超,吴俊,谭跃进,等.基于有向自然连通度的作战网络抗毁性研究[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2015,12(4):29-35.LI J C,WU J,TAN Y J,et al.Robustness of combat networks based on directed natural connectivity[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2015,12(4):29-35.
[30]谭东风.基于网络整体效能的战斗毁伤模型[J].系统工程理论与实践,2013,33(2):522-527.TAN D F.An attrition model with global network efficiency[J].Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice,2013,33(2):522-527.
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[34]LI J C,FU C,CHEN Y,et al.An operational efficiency evaluation method for weapon system-of-systems combat networks based on operation loop[C]∥Proc.of the IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering,2014:219-223.
[35]LI J C,TAN Y J,YANG K W,et al.Structural robustness of combat networks of weapon system-of-systems based on the operation loop[J].International Journal of Systems Science,2016,48(3):659-674.
[2]李玉凤.海南省出口贸易对经济增长的贡献度研究[J].价值工程,2006,25(5):16-17.LI Y F.Study on contribution degree of export trade to economy increase in Hainan[J].Value Engineering,2006,25(5):16-17.
[3]冯哲.互联网对中国GDP贡献度测算研究[D].北京:北京邮电大学,2011.FENG Z.Research on contribution degree evaluation of Internet to China’s GDP[D].Beijing:Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications,2011.
[4]王雷震,张帆,李春光.旅游对区域经济发展贡献度定量测度方法及其应用[J].系统工程理论与实践,2006,26(5):54-62.WANG L Z,ZHANG F,LI C G.The quantitative methods and its applications on the tourist contribution to regional economic development[J].System Engineering Theory and Practice,2006,26(5):54-62.
[5]姜超雁,张婕姝,真虹.国际航运中心建设对上海经济发展的贡献度研究[J].科学发展,2012(7):18-24.JIANG C Y,ZHANG J S,ZHEN H.Research on economic contribution estimation of Shanghai international shipping center to Shanghai economy[J].Scientific Development,2012(7):18-24.
[6]吴建宁,王选华.中国科技进步贡献度测度:一种新视角[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2013,34(8):1-10.WU J N,WANG X H.Contribution rate on the progress of science and technology in China:a new perspective[J].Science of Science and Management of Science&Technology,2013,34(8):1-10.
[7]USAF SAB.System of systems engineering for air force capability development[J].Executive Summary and Annotated Brief,SAB-TR-05-04,2005.
[8]CJCSI 3170.01C.Joint capabilities integration and development system(JCIDS)[S].The United States:Organization of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,2003.
[9]DoD architecture framework working group.DoD architecture framework version 2.0[R].The United States:Department of Defense,2009.
[10]陈文英,张兵志,谭跃进,等.基于体系工程的武器装备体系需求论证[J].系统工程与电子技术,2012,34(12):2479-2484.CHEN W Y,ZHANG B Z,TAN Y J,et al.Requirement demonstration of armament system of systems based on system of systems engineering[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2012,34(12):2479-2484.
[11]管清波,于小红.新型武器装备体系贡献度评估问题探析[J].装备学院学报,2015,26(3):1-5.GUAN Q B,YU X H.Research on evaluation of equipment’s contribution to system war fighting[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2015,26(3):1-5.
[12]陈文英,张兵志,焦爱泉,等.装甲装备体系贡献率评估指标体系构建[C]∥全军武器装备体系研究第九届学术研讨会论文集,2015:146-150.CHEN W Y,ZHANG B Z,JIAO A Q,et al.Contribution ratio evaluation index system construction of the armoured combat system[C]∥Proc.of the 9th Whole Army Symposium on Weapon Equipment System of Systems Research,2015:146-150.
[13]李怡勇,李智,管清波,等.武器装备体系贡献度评估刍议与示例[J].装备学院学报,2015,26(4):5-10.LI Y Y,LI Z,GUAN Q B,et al.Discussion and demonstration on contribution evaIuation of weapon equipment system[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2015,26(4):5-10.
[14]陈文英,张兵志,史力晨,等.新型智能装甲作战系统体系贡献率评估研究[J].兵工学报,2018,39(9):1841-1849.CHEN W Y,ZHANG B Z,SHI L C,et al.Research on contribution rate evaluation of a new intelligent armoured combat system to army weapon system of systems[J].Acta Armamentarii,2018,39(9):1841-1849.
[15]罗小明,杨娟,何榕,等.基于任务-能力-结构-演化的武器装备体系贡献度评估与示例分析[J].装备学院学报,2016,27(3):7-13.LUO X M,YANG J,HE R,et al.Research and demonstration on contribution evaluation of weapon equipment system based on task-capability-structure-evolution[J].Journal of Equipment Academy,2016,27(3):7-13.
[16]李际超,杨克巍,张小可,等.基于武器装备体系作战网络模型的装备贡献度评估[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2016,13(3):1-7.LI J C,YANG K W,ZHANG X K,et al.Equipment contribution degree evaluation method based on combat network of weapon system-of-systems[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2016,13(3):1-7.
[17]罗小明,朱延雷,何榕.基于复杂网络的武器装备体系贡献度评估分析方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(2):83-87.LUO X M,ZHU Y L,HE R.Research on evaluation method of contribution to system warfighting for weapons and equipment system based on complex network[J].Fire Control and Command Control,2017,42(2):83-87.
[18]李炜,张恒,王玮.评价舰船装备体系贡献度的一种方法[J].舰船科学技术,2015,37(10):1-5.LI W,ZHANG H,WANG W.An evaluation method for the contribution margin of a ship in the combat system of systems[J].Ship Science and Technology,2015,37(10):1-5.
[19]吕惠文,武庆春,张炜.基于灰色证据理论的装备体系贡献率评估[J].军事交通学院学报,2017,19(5):22-27.LYU H W,WU Q C,ZHANG W.Equipment system contribution evaluation based on gray evidence theory[J].Journal of Military Transportation University,2017,19(5):22-27.
[20]罗小明,朱延雷,何榕.武器装备体系结构贡献度评估[J].装甲兵工程学报,2016,30(4):1-5.LUO X M,ZHU Y L,HE R.Research on evaluation of contribution to weapon equipment system architecture[J].Journal of Academy of Armored Force Engineering,2016,30(4):1-5.
[21]杨克巍,杨志伟,谭跃进,等.面向体系贡献率的装备体系评估方法研究综述[J].系统工程与电子技术,2019,41(2):331-321.YANG K W,YANG Z W,TAN Y J,et al.Review of the evaluation methods of equipment system of systems facing the contribution rate[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2019,41(2):331-321.
[22]马力,张明智.基于复杂网络的战争复杂体系建模研究进展[J].系统仿真学报,2015,27(2):217-225.MA L,ZHANG M Z.Research progress on war complex system of systems modeling based on complex network[J].Journal of System Simulation,2015,27(2):217-225.
[23]CARES R J.Distributed networked operations:the foundations of network centric warfare[M].Bloomington:iUniverse,Inc.,2005.
[24]DELLER S,BELL M I,BOWLING S R.Applying the information age combat model:quantitative analysis of network centric operations[J].C2Journal,2009,3(1):1-19.
[25]DEKKER A H.Network topology and military performance[C]∥Proc.of the International Congress on Modeling and Simulation,Modeling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand,2005:2174-2180.
[26]谭跃进,张小可,杨克巍.武器装备体系网络化描述与建模方法[J].系统管理学报,2012,21(6):781-786.TAN Y J,ZHANG X K,YANG K W.Research on networked description and modeling methods of armament system-of-systems[J].Journal of Systems&Management,2012,21(6):781-786.
[27]胡晓峰.战争工程:走向信息时代的战争方法学[J].国防科技,2007(1):18-25.HU X F.On war system engineering methodology towards information age’s war[J].National Defense Science&Technology,2007(1):18-25.
[28]金伟新.体系对抗复杂网络建模与仿真[M].北京:电子工业出版社,2010.JIN W X.SoS-Ops M&S based on the complex network[M].Beijing:Electronic Industry Press,2010.
[29]李际超,吴俊,谭跃进,等.基于有向自然连通度的作战网络抗毁性研究[J].复杂系统与复杂性科学,2015,12(4):29-35.LI J C,WU J,TAN Y J,et al.Robustness of combat networks based on directed natural connectivity[J].Complex Systems and Complexity Science,2015,12(4):29-35.
[30]谭东风.基于网络整体效能的战斗毁伤模型[J].系统工程理论与实践,2013,33(2):522-527.TAN D F.An attrition model with global network efficiency[J].Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice,2013,33(2):522-527.
[31]狄鹏,胡涛,胡斌,等.基于复杂网络的作战网络模型抗毁性研究[J].系统仿真学报,2011,23(1):56-60.DI P,HU T,HU B,et al.Research on invulnerability of combat net model based on complex networks[J].Journal of System Simulation,2011,23(1):56-60.
[32]CHI Y,LI J C,YANG K W,et al.An equipment offering degree evaluation method for weapon system-of-systems combat network based on operation loop[C]∥Proc.of the 22nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management,2015:477-488.
[33]WU J,TAN S Y,TAN Y J,et al.Analysis of invulnerability in complex networks based on natural connectivity[J].Complex Systems&Complexity Science,2014,11(1):77-86.
[34]LI J C,FU C,CHEN Y,et al.An operational efficiency evaluation method for weapon system-of-systems combat networks based on operation loop[C]∥Proc.of the IEEE International Conference on System of Systems Engineering,2014:219-223.
[35]LI J C,TAN Y J,YANG K W,et al.Structural robustness of combat networks of weapon system-of-systems based on the operation loop[J].International Journal of Systems Science,2016,48(3):659-674.