基于错误损失视角的农产品第三方物流服务商的选择研究
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摘要
给农产品第三方物流服务商的选择过程提供科学依据,从错误损失的角度按照建立评价指标体系、确定错误函数、计算损失、方案排序选优的步骤提出一种新的决策方法。研究结果表明:农产品第三方物流服务商的选择受服务质量、物流成本、服务能力、企业发展前景四大因素的制约;决策者期望是否得到满足决定"错误"是否发生,决策者期望的被满足程度决定了错误值的大小;损失值的大小跟错误值和极限损失值两者关系极为密切。
To provide scientific basis for the selection of third party logistics(TPL)provider for agricultural products,a new selection method is proposed following the procedure of establishment of the evaluation index system,determination of the error function,calculation of the loss,ranking and selection of the alternatives from the perspective of error loss.Results show that the selection of TPL providers for agricultural products is subject to four factors of service quality,logistics costs,service capabilities and enterprise development prospects.The"error"happens only when the decision maker's expectation is not met.The extent to which the decision maker's expectation is satisfied determines the value of the error.The loss value is closely related to the value of error and the limit loss value.
To provide scientific basis for the selection of third party logistics(TPL)provider for agricultural products,a new selection method is proposed following the procedure of establishment of the evaluation index system,determination of the error function,calculation of the loss,ranking and selection of the alternatives from the perspective of error loss.Results show that the selection of TPL providers for agricultural products is subject to four factors of service quality,logistics costs,service capabilities and enterprise development prospects.The"error"happens only when the decision maker's expectation is not met.The extent to which the decision maker's expectation is satisfied determines the value of the error.The loss value is closely related to the value of error and the limit loss value.
引文
[1]李晔,秦梦.基于“农超对接”的生鲜农产品物流耗损研究[J].农业技术经济,2015,(4):54-60.
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[14]GOVINDAN K,KHODAVERDI R,VAFADARNIKJOO A.A Grey DEMATEL Approach To Develop ThirdParty Logistics Provider Selection Criteria[J].Industrial Management&Data Systems,2016,116(4):690-722.
[15]杜宏.基于C to C电子商务的物流服务供应商选择模型研究[J].图书情报工作,2010,54(18):130-134.
[16]秦娟,陈振颂,李延来.考虑专家风险偏好的物流服务供应商选择研究[J].工业工程与管理,2016,21(2):41-48.
[17]郭开仲.错误系统[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[18]黄灏然,江尚乐,蔡肯.关键重要型多属性消错决策方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2015,45(11):15-20.
[19]张震,郭崇慧.一种基于二元语义信息处理的多属性群决策方法[J].控制与决策,2011,18(12):1881-1885.
[20]HERRERA F,MARTINEZ L.A 2-tuple Fuzzy Linguistic Representation Model for Computing With Words[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2000,8(6):746-752.
[2]潘福斌,宋达.农超对接的农产品物流系统绩效评价体系研究[J].中国流通经济,2014,28(2):46-53.
[3]王静.基于交易视角的农产品物流内涵实质探析[J].辽宁大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2013,41(3):92-96.
[4]何明珂,贾衍慧.第三方物流主导的大城市鲜活农产品流通模式[J].广东农业科学,2013,40(6):204-207.
[5]孟蝶,韦恒,王飞.黑龙江省农产品第三方物流影响因素分析[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2009,(5):6-8.
[6]杨怀珍,熊炜.基于ANP的农产品第三方物流服务商评价研究[J].商业研究,2011,(3):171-176.
[7]BOWEN SUI,LIJUAN ZHUANG.Selection of Third party Logistics Provider for Agricultural Products Based on System Comprehensive Evaluation[J].Agricultural Science&Technology,2015,16(8):1824-1827.
[8]李彬,徐富明,王伟,等.损失规避产生的根源[J].心理科学进展,2014,22(8):1319-1327.
[9]K.L.MILKMAN,M.C.MAZZA,L.L.SHU,ET AL.Policy Bundling To Overcome Loss Aversion:A Method for Improving Legislative Outcomes[J].Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,2012,117(1):158-167.
[10]黄灏然,郑琦,黄利舒.多属性决策环境中的错误研究[J].广东工业大学学报,2016,33(3):1-05.
[11]吴隽,王兰义,李一军.基于模糊质量功能展开的物流服务供应商选择研究[J].中国软科学,2010,(3):145-151.
[12]黄灏然,俞守华,郭开仲.风险型混合多属性消错决策方法[J].运筹与管理,2015,24(1):122-128.
[13]MENON M K,MCGINNIS M A,ACKERMAN K B.Selection Criteria for Providers of Third-Party Logistics Services:An Exploratory Study[J].Journal of Business Logistics,1998,19(1):121-138.
[14]GOVINDAN K,KHODAVERDI R,VAFADARNIKJOO A.A Grey DEMATEL Approach To Develop ThirdParty Logistics Provider Selection Criteria[J].Industrial Management&Data Systems,2016,116(4):690-722.
[15]杜宏.基于C to C电子商务的物流服务供应商选择模型研究[J].图书情报工作,2010,54(18):130-134.
[16]秦娟,陈振颂,李延来.考虑专家风险偏好的物流服务供应商选择研究[J].工业工程与管理,2016,21(2):41-48.
[17]郭开仲.错误系统[M].北京:科学出版社,2012.
[18]黄灏然,江尚乐,蔡肯.关键重要型多属性消错决策方法[J].数学的实践与认识,2015,45(11):15-20.
[19]张震,郭崇慧.一种基于二元语义信息处理的多属性群决策方法[J].控制与决策,2011,18(12):1881-1885.
[20]HERRERA F,MARTINEZ L.A 2-tuple Fuzzy Linguistic Representation Model for Computing With Words[J].IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems,2000,8(6):746-752.