兵团农业全要素生产率与金融发展互动关系研究
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摘要
提高农业全要素生产率对新疆兵团发展尤其是农业发展具有重要意义。基于农村金融发展对农业全要素发展作用机理视角,选取新疆兵团2001-2015年的有关数据,利用DEA-Malmquist的指数法测算农业全要素生产率,并进一步采用VAR模型对农业全要素生产率与金融支持的动态关系进行研究。结果说明:新疆兵团农业全要素生产率和金融支持之间存在长期稳定均衡关系;农业金融和农业全要素之间存在单向的互动关系;脉冲响应和方差分解均表明农业全要素和农业金融之间存在较弱的互动关系。提出完善农村金融体系,提升农村金融供给水平,完善农村金融的市场监管,提高金融效率。以提高兵团农村金融的发展。
Improving the total factor productivity of agriculture is of great significance to the development of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, especially for agriculture. Based on the perspective of the mechanism of rural financial development on agricultural TFP, this paper selects the relevant data of Xinjiang Corps from 2001 to 2015, uses DEA-Malmquist index method to calculate agricultural TFP, and further uses VAR model to study the dynamic relationship between agricultural TFP and financial support. The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium between agricultural TFP and financial support in Xinjiang Corps and that there is a one-way interaction between agricultural finance and agricultural TFP. Impulse response and variance decomposition show that there is a weak interaction between agricultural TFP and agricultural finance. It is proposed to improve the rural financial system, enhance the level of rural financial supply, strengthen the market supervision of rural finance and promote financial efficiency for facilitating the development of rural finance in the Corps.
Improving the total factor productivity of agriculture is of great significance to the development of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, especially for agriculture. Based on the perspective of the mechanism of rural financial development on agricultural TFP, this paper selects the relevant data of Xinjiang Corps from 2001 to 2015, uses DEA-Malmquist index method to calculate agricultural TFP, and further uses VAR model to study the dynamic relationship between agricultural TFP and financial support. The results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium between agricultural TFP and financial support in Xinjiang Corps and that there is a one-way interaction between agricultural finance and agricultural TFP. Impulse response and variance decomposition show that there is a weak interaction between agricultural TFP and agricultural finance. It is proposed to improve the rural financial system, enhance the level of rural financial supply, strengthen the market supervision of rural finance and promote financial efficiency for facilitating the development of rural finance in the Corps.
引文
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[13]吴宗杰,苏宏枝,张志新,苏旭峰.山东省农业经济增长、农村金融与农业全要素生产率关系研究[J].农村金融研究,2018(3):67-72.
[14]吴宗杰,刘广亮,董会忠.山东省工业化、城镇化与农业现代化互动关系研究[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(8):12-17.
[15]苏旭峰,苏宏枝.新疆金融发展影响对外贸易的实证分析[J].塔里木大学学报,2018,30(1):39-47.
[2]刘立军,王健,秦伟.金融发展对我国现代农业的影响分析——基于结构方程模型和31省份的实证分析[J].经济问题,2017(4):70-75.
[3]李健,卫平.金融发展与全要素生产率增长——基于中国省际面板数据的实证分析[J].经济理论与经济管理,2015(8):47-64.
[4]尹雷,沈毅.农村金融发展对中国农业全要素生产率的影响:是技术进步还是技术效率——基于省级动态面板数据的GMM估计[J].财贸研究,2014(2):32-40.
[5]陈治国,辛冲冲,李成友.新疆农村金融发展与农业技术进步关系实证研究[J].科技与经济,2016,29(1):52-56.
[6]孙智勇,刘潇.金融发展与全要素生产率关系探讨[J].山东理工大学学报(社会科学版),2016,3(32):10-17.
[7]赵海燕,何忠伟.我国低碳农业效率测算及影响因素分析[J].统计与决策,2014(12):83-86.
[8]Caves D, Christensen L, Diewert W E. The Economic Theory of Index Numbers and the Measurement of Input,Output and Productivity[J].Econometrica,1982,50(6):1393-1414.
[9]徐祎.新能源消费与我国经济增长关系的实证研究[J].经济纵横,2017(5):69-74.
[10]吴宗杰,董会忠.水资源利用与经济增长时序变量动态关系实证研究——以山东省为例[J].东岳论丛,2013,34(7):68-72
[11]李谷成,范丽霞,成刚等.农业全要素生产率增长:基于一种新的窗式DEA生产率指数的再估计[J].农业技术经济,2013(5):4-17.
[12]肖干,徐鲲.农村金融发展对农业科技进步贡献率的影响——基于省级动态面板数据模型的实证研究[J].农业技术经济,2012(8):87-95.
[13]吴宗杰,苏宏枝,张志新,苏旭峰.山东省农业经济增长、农村金融与农业全要素生产率关系研究[J].农村金融研究,2018(3):67-72.
[14]吴宗杰,刘广亮,董会忠.山东省工业化、城镇化与农业现代化互动关系研究[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(8):12-17.
[15]苏旭峰,苏宏枝.新疆金融发展影响对外贸易的实证分析[J].塔里木大学学报,2018,30(1):39-47.