Feltham-Ohlson模型适用性的实证研究
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
对上市公司价值的估计历来都是证券市场各利益相关方所关注的问题,同时如何利用会计信息对上市公司价值进行估计,也是会计学术界孜孜以求的重要课题。中国证券市场的兴起,在这一方面提出了新的研究课题,即国外的Feltham-Ohlson模型等经典理论能否应用于中国这样的新兴市场、如何应用。本文对Feltham-Ohlson模型的国内外研究进行了回顾,并在详细阐述Feltham-Ohlson模型的基础上,采用2001年-2008年833家A股公司的6664个观察值作为研究样本,对Feltham-Ohlson模型三种不同形式的线性信息动态方程和估值回归方程进行了实证研究,力图完善和规范Feltham-Ohlson模型在中国的实证应用基础。本文的研究结果支持Feltham-Ohlson模型在中国A股市场上的适用性,并且发现三种不同形式的线性信息动态方程及估值方程的适用程度不同。
Valuation of listed companies has always been concerned by all stakeholders of stock market, and how to use accounting information to estimate the value of listed companies is also an important topic of accounting academics. New research topic comes up in regard of the rise of China’s stock market. That is whether foreign classical theory, such as Feltham-Ohlson model, could be applied to emerging stock market like China and if so, how to apply. In this paper, Feltham-Ohlson model studies at home and abroad are reviewed. Based on the analysis of Feltham-Ohlson model, an empirical research about the three different forms of linear information dynamic and valuation function is carried out, using a research sample of 6664 observations from 833 listed companies between 2001 and 2008. The purpose is to improve and standardize the basis of the empirical application of Feltham-Ohlson model. The result of this study supports the applicability of Feltham-Ohlson model in Chinese stock market, and the degrees of applicability of the three forms of linear information dynamic and valuation function are different.
引文
[1]陈晓,陈小悦,刘钊. A股盈余报告的有用性研究——来自上海、深圳股市的实证证据.经济研究. 1999(6):21-28
    [2]陈信元,陈冬华,朱红军.净资产、剩余收益与市场定价:会计信息的价值相关性.金融研究. 2002(4):59-70
    [3]陈旭东.公司估值理论与Ohlson(1995)、Feltham-Ohlson(1995)估价模型的实证检验[MBA学位论文].四川:四川大学. 2004
    [4]程小可,卿小权,佟岩.基于会计信息的权益估值研究:线形信息动态过程视野.会计研究. 2008(3):23-30
    [5]党建忠,陈军,褚俊红.基于Feltham-Ohlson模型的中国上市公司股票价格影响因素检验.统计研究. 2004(3):57-61
    [6]郭艳霞,徐文学.基于会计信息的企业内在价值评估方法——Feltham-Ohlson模型的拓展分析.财会通讯(综合版). 2004(16):29-31
    [7]李雪琼.非流通股缺乏市场流通性折扣研究[硕士学位论文].北京:北京交通大学. 2006
    [8]陆宇峰.净资产倍率和市盈率的投资决策有用性——基于费森—奥尔森估值模型的实证研究[博士学位论文].上海:上海财经大学. 1999
    [9]田志龙,李玉清.一种基于账面价值和未来收益的公司财富评估方法.会计研究. 1997(5):47-49
    [10]汤云为,陆建桥.论证券市场中的会计研究:发现与启示.经济研究. 1998(7):50-59
    [11]王跃堂,孙铮,陈世敏.会计改革与会计信息质量——来自中国证券市场的经验证据.会计研究. 2001(7):16-26
    [12]赵春光.会计信息价值相关性的变迁.经济管理. 2003(2):52-60
    [13]赵强,苏一纯.企业价值评估中股权缺乏流通性减值折扣研究.中国资产评估. 2002(1):25-28
    [14]赵宇龙.会计盈余披露的信息含量——来自上海股市的经验证据.经济研究. 1998(7):41-49
    [15]Ball, R., and Brown, P. An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers. Journal of Accounting Research. 1968(6) No.2(Autumn): 159-178
    [16]Beaver, W. The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements. Journal of Accounting Research. 1968 supplement: 67-92
    [17]Bernard, V. L. The Feltham-Ohlson Framework: Implications for Empiricists. Contemporary Accounting Research. 1995(11) No. 2(Spring): 733-747
    [18]Dechow, P., A Hutton and R. Sloan An Empirical Assessment of The Residual Income Valuation Model. Journal of Accounting and Economics. 1999(26): 1-34
    [19]Edwards, E. O., and Bell P. W. The Theory of Measurement of Business Income. Berkley: University of California Press. 1961
    [20]Feltham, G., and Ohlson, J. Valuation and Clean Surplus Accounting for Operating and Financial Activities. Contemporary Accounting Research. 1995(11) No. 2(Spring): 689-731
    [21]Feltham, G., and Ohlson, J. Uncertainty Resolution and The Theory of Depreciation Measurement. Journal of Accounting Research. 1996(34) No. 2(Autumn): 209-234
    [22]Garman, M. B. and Ohlson, J. Information and the Sequential Valuation of Assets in Arbitrage-Free Economics. Journal of Accounting Research. 1980(V18): 420-440
    [23]Gordon, M. J. Optimal Investment and Financing Policy. The Journal of Finance 1963(18): 264-272
    [24]Myers, J. Implementing Residual Income Valuation with Linear Information Dynamics. The Accounting Review. 1999(74): 1-23
    [25]Ohlson, J. A Synthesis of Security Valuation Theory and the Role of Dividends, Cash Flows and Earnings. Contemporary Accounting Research. 1990(V7): 648-676
    [26]Ohlson, J. Earnings, Book Values and Dividends in Equity Valuation. Contemporary Accounting Research. 1995(11) No. 2(Spring): 661-687
    [27]Ohlson, J. Ungarbled Earnings and Dividends: An Analysis and Extension of Beaver, Lambert and Morse Valuation Model. Journal of Accounting and Economics. 1989(July): 109-116
    [28]Peasnell, K. V. Some Formal Connections between Economic Values and Yields and Accounting Numbers. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting. 1982(October): 361-381
    [29]Penman, S., and Sougiannis, T. A Comparison of Dividend, Cash Flow, and Earnings Approaches to Equity Valuation. Contemporary Accounting Research. 1998(15) No. 3(Fall): 343-383