客运专线条件下铁路枢纽物流系统优化
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摘要
规模宏大的客运专线网络将从根本上改变我国铁路运输系统能力紧张的状况,长期制约铁路物流发展的能力瓶颈有望得到消除,使现代铁路物流业的发展具备了基本条件。本文以铁路枢纽物流系统为研究对象,借助系统工程、复杂网络和经济学等相关理论和方法,重点研究了客运专线对铁路枢纽物流系统的影响,以及客运专线条件下,铁路枢纽物流系统的空间网络、服务网络和组织网络的演化和优化问题。
     (1)客运专线对铁路枢纽物流系统的影响分析
     构建了客运专线对铁路枢纽物流系统的影响模型,提出客运专线须借助铁路货运系统和城市经济系统两个媒介,从能力供给和物流需求两方面影响铁路枢纽物流系统。构建铁路枢纽物流系统的耗散结构模型,提出在推动铁路枢纽物流系统演化的过程中,起关键作用的力量是铁路物流发展政策。在客运专线条件下,只有同步提升铁路枢纽的物流能力,才能克服串联型系统能力的相互制约,有效运用既有线释放的货运能力。建立了经济联系强度测度模型,并根据武广客运专线开通前后的数据,提出武广客运专线开通对城市经济联系强度具有显著影响。
     (2)铁路枢纽物流系统空间网络优化
     首先构建铁路枢纽物流系统空间网络概念模型,然后运用复杂网络理论和方法研究了我国铁路枢纽物流空间网络,并提出优化策略,最后建立基于三角模糊数的物流中心选址评价模型,并利用TOPSIS算法对郑州铁路枢纽物流系统空间网络进行了优化。在我国铁路枢纽物流空间网络中,各车站的重要性具有明显的层次性:少数车站的度很大,在网络中处于重要地位;大多数车站在网络中的重要性基本相同,处于较低层次;铁路枢纽近似无标度网络。铁路枢纽物流空间网络演化模型也表明:客运专线将促使铁路枢纽内的物流量趋向集聚,网络具有收敛性;节点的吸引力和边的权重影响使物流量不大可能全部集中在某一中心节点而形成单中心网络,而是会分化形成多中心的层次网络。所以,铁路枢纽物流空间网络优化策略首先是从铁路枢纽所有物流节点中选出少数节点作为物流中心;其次需要提高中心节点之间边的运输能力,使其承担网络“轴”的功能;最后将其它非中心节点连接到中心节点上,并根据需要在某些非中心节点间建立连接。
     (3)铁路枢纽物流系统服务网络优化
     构建了铁路枢纽物流系统服务网络模型,分析了其内涵和特征,并研究了客运专线条件下铁路枢纽的货物运输组织优化问题。在客运专线条件下,铁路枢纽运输组织具有以下特点:以物流中心为基地,组织直达运输;以运行图为核心,组织运输生产。通过引入随机决策优化理论,重点研究了列车解编时间随机变动情况下编组站阶段计划优化问题,构造了该问题的随机机会约束规划模型,通过对随机机会约束的清晰化处理,提出改进遗传算法进行问题的求解。通过对算例运算与不考虑随机因素的计算结果进行比较,表明机会约束优化能取得可靠性更高的调度计划。
     (4)铁路枢纽物流系统组织网络优化
     运用交易成本理论对铁路枢纽物流系统的组织网络进行了分析和优化,并利用纳什谈判模型研究了铁路枢纽物流横向联盟和纵向联盟的利益分配问题。分析表明:铁路枢纽必须要改变目前多头管理的现状,建立一个权威管理机构,统一管理枢纽内的货运站和货场。否则,各货运站由于其资产专用性低等交易特征,往往会采取市场模式,而不是趋向联合。应单独组建铁路枢纽物流中心,以企业模式开展物流业务;铁路运输企业与各专业运输公司在现阶段可建立紧密型的战略合作伙伴关系,并逐步过渡到企业模式;物流联盟等混合模式是铁路运输企业与路外大型工矿企业和第三方物流企业之间治理关系的合理选择。铁路枢纽物流联盟各成员在利益分配上,除了应获得各自联盟的利润以外,还应按比例分配溢出利润。
The massive network of passenger dedicated line is going to fundamentally transform current shortage of China railway transport capacity and remove the long-standing bottleneck impeding the advance of railway logistics. It sets ready for development of modern railway logistics. Using the theories and methods of System Engineering, Complex Networks and Economics, this dissertation mainly addresses the influence of passenger dedicated line on railway hub logistics system, also researches the evolution and optimization of spatial network, service network and organization network of railway hub logistics system on basis of passenger dedicated line.
     (1) Analysis of the influence of passenger dedicated line on railway hub logistics system. This dissertation studies the influence mechanism and specifically discusses on two aspects of such influence:logistics capability promotion and logistics demand increase. Passenger dedicated line affects railway hub logistics system on both capability supply and logistics demand through railway freight system and city economic system; meanwhile railway hub logistics system is a dissipative structure that the key power in its evolution is the policies on railway logistics development. Logistics capability must be strengthened simultaneously with passenger dedicated line; otherwise the releasing freight capability from existing line can not upgrade entire logistics capability of railway logistics system due to mutual constraint of series type system. The most direct effect of passenger dedicated line on hub cities is accelerating the flow of production factors among regions as well as within region, hence increasing logistics demands. The dissertation also studies the significant influence of Wuhan-Guangzhou passenger dedicated line on intensity of economic relationship between the two cities by measure model of economical relation intensity.
     (2) Optimization of spatial network of railway hub logistics system. The dissertation first constructs a concept model of spatial network of railway hub logistics system; then studies China railway hub logistics system by Complex Network methods and presents optimization strategy; finally develops the logistics centre location evaluation model on the basis of triangular fuzzy number, and optimizes spatial network of Zhengzhou railway hub logistics system by TOPSIS Algorithm. There exists a notable hierarchy in the importance of railway stations in spatial network of China railway hub logistics system:Only a few stations are with huge degree and high up in the network; the great majority of the stations are at same low levels of importance; besides, the railway hub is nearly a scale-free network. The spatial network evolution model of railway hub logistics also shows that impelled by passenger dedicated line, logistics volume in railway hub tends towards cluster, the network possesses convergence. However as a result of the attraction and weight of nodes, it is unlikely to concentrate in a single node forming one-canter network, but splitting up into multi-center tiered network. Therefore the optimization strategy is that first to appoint only a few nodes from entire railway hub as logistic centers; then improve line freight capability between center nodes to let act as axes of the network; lastly connect the non-center nodes with center nodes and join connection between non-center nodes where necessary.
     (3) Optimization of service network of railway hub logistics system. This dissertation builds a model for service network of railway hub logistics system and discusses its connotation and characters. Further it studies how to optimize freight organization of railway hub subject to passenger dedicated line, which has such characters that to plan direct transportation based on logistic centers and to plan transportation operation according to working diagram. This dissertation also addresses the problem of optimizing the marshalling station stage plan with the random break-up and assembly time by stochastic programming methods. It changes the chance constraints into their deterministic equivalents so that the stochastic model can be transformed to a deterministic model and presents an improved genetic algorithm to solve the problem. The calculation result shows that chance constraints optimization can obtain a more reliability marshalling station stage plan than that of stochastic factors not considered in the model.
     (4) Optimization of organization network of railway hub logistics system. This dissertation analyzes and optimizes the organization network by transaction cost theory. Using Nash negotiation, it also discusses the problem of profits distribution between horizontal alliance and vertical alliance of railway hub logistics. The analysis shows that current situation of multiple management of railway hub must be changed. An authoritative management organization shall be set up to supervise the freight stations and cargo yards; otherwise each station tends to adopt market mode instead of combination due to its low-level transaction feature of asset specificity. Moreover, railway hub logistics center shall be independently established to run logistics business in enterprise mode. Currently the railway freight company shall make close strategic partnership with other specialized freight companies and gradually transit to enterprise mode. Mixed mode such as logistic alliance is a reasonable choice for governing relationships among railway freight company, large-scale industrial-mineral company and third-party logistics company. In a logistic alliance overflow profits are distributed proportionally among the members besides of their respective original profits.
引文
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