新疆乌什6.2级地震的中期预测
|
摘要
介绍了利用地倾斜资料和中国地壳运动网络工程GPS复测资料对新疆地区震情进行跟踪研究的基本依据、方法和过程,对2005年2月15日发生的乌什Ms6.2地震给出了较好的年度预测意见。
The main basis, method and the course of the tracking study on the seismic condition of Xinjiang with the ground tilt data and repeatedly measured GPS data in the Project of “China Crust Movement Measuring Network” are introduced. A yearly prediction of Wushi Ms 6.2 earthquake occurred on Feb. 15, 2005 of Xinjiang had been given before the event.
The main basis, method and the course of the tracking study on the seismic condition of Xinjiang with the ground tilt data and repeatedly measured GPS data in the Project of “China Crust Movement Measuring Network” are introduced. A yearly prediction of Wushi Ms 6.2 earthquake occurred on Feb. 15, 2005 of Xinjiang had been given before the event.
引文
[1]中国地震局第一监测中心.2005年度震情趋势研究报告,2004年12月
1 吴翼麟,周克昌.孕震区形变前兆的配套和有序[J].地壳形变与地震,1993,13(增2):3~8.
1 Wu Yilin and Zhou Kechang.The regular distribution of crust deformation precursors at earthquake generated are-a both in ti me and space[J].Crustal Deformation and Earthquake,1993,13(sup.2):3-8.(in Chinese)
2 薄万举,高福旺.地倾斜异常的一个特征及其应用[A].见:陈运泰,等.中国大陆地震学与地球内部物理学研究进展[C].北京:地震出版社,2004,895~897.
2 Bo Wanju and Gao Fuwang.Afeature of earth crust tlit-ing andits application[A].Chen Yuntai,et al.The devel-opment of seismology and earth interior physics in China continent[C].Beijing:Seismological Press,2004.895-897.(in Chinese)
3 Bo Wanju,Guo Liangqian,Dong Guiying,et al.ASeis-mogenic Pattern Akin to'Dam Bursting[J].Journal Geo-logical Society of India,2003,61:549-556.
4 刘蒲雄.华北成组强震孕育过程及预测研究[J].地震,2005,25(3):9~19.
4 Liu Puxiong.The preparatory process of strong earth-quake in groups in North China and their prediction re-search[J].Earthquake,2005,25(3):9-19.(in Chinese)
5 张永仙,刘桂萍,陈棋福等.顺义Ms4.0地震前兆演化特征及利用响应比进行的震前和震后趋势判断[J].地震,1998,18(1):49~56.
5 Zhang Yongxian,Liu Guiping,Chen Qifu et al.Charac-teristics of precursory evolution before Shunyi earth-quake withMs4.0and thejudgment of tendencies before and after the shock by using theload/unload response ra-tio[J].Earthquake,1998,18(1):49-56.(in Chinese)
6 赵卫明,金延龙,柴炽章,等.海原4.9级地震前兆异常和预报[J].地震,1999,19(4):403~407.
6 Zhao Wei ming,Jin Yanlong,Chai Zhizhang et al.Precur-sory anomalies and prediction of the Ms4.9earthquake in Haiyuan,Ningxia region[J].Earthquake,1999,19(4):403-407.(in Chinese)
7 王晓青,石绍先,丁香.Bayes判别分析法与地震短临预测[J].地震,1999,19(1):32~40.
7 Wang Xiaoqing,Shi Shaoxian,Ding Xiang.Bayes discrin-inant analysis and its application to short-i mpending earthquake prediction[J].Earthquake,1999,19(1):32-40.(in Chinese)
8 牛安福,等.地壳持续加速变形与地震关系的研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2002,22(1):29~33.
8 Niu Anfu,et al.Study on the continuously accelerated de-formation and the relationship with earthquakes[J].Jour-nal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2002,22(1):29-33.(in Chinese)
9 张四新,等.地震前后垂直形变场动态演化的量化指标[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2004,24(3):35~39.
9 Zhang Sixin,et al.Quantizedindex of evolution of vertical deformation field before and after earthquake[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2004,24(3):35-39.(in Chinese)
10 杨又陵,高国英.北天山西段中强地震前地倾斜异常的演化[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2005,25(1):98~101.
10 Yang Youling and Gao Guoying.Analysis of tilt anoma-ly evolution before mid-strong earthquakes in west of northern Tianshan[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geody-namics,2005,25(1):98-101.(in Chinese)
1 吴翼麟,周克昌.孕震区形变前兆的配套和有序[J].地壳形变与地震,1993,13(增2):3~8.
1 Wu Yilin and Zhou Kechang.The regular distribution of crust deformation precursors at earthquake generated are-a both in ti me and space[J].Crustal Deformation and Earthquake,1993,13(sup.2):3-8.(in Chinese)
2 薄万举,高福旺.地倾斜异常的一个特征及其应用[A].见:陈运泰,等.中国大陆地震学与地球内部物理学研究进展[C].北京:地震出版社,2004,895~897.
2 Bo Wanju and Gao Fuwang.Afeature of earth crust tlit-ing andits application[A].Chen Yuntai,et al.The devel-opment of seismology and earth interior physics in China continent[C].Beijing:Seismological Press,2004.895-897.(in Chinese)
3 Bo Wanju,Guo Liangqian,Dong Guiying,et al.ASeis-mogenic Pattern Akin to'Dam Bursting[J].Journal Geo-logical Society of India,2003,61:549-556.
4 刘蒲雄.华北成组强震孕育过程及预测研究[J].地震,2005,25(3):9~19.
4 Liu Puxiong.The preparatory process of strong earth-quake in groups in North China and their prediction re-search[J].Earthquake,2005,25(3):9-19.(in Chinese)
5 张永仙,刘桂萍,陈棋福等.顺义Ms4.0地震前兆演化特征及利用响应比进行的震前和震后趋势判断[J].地震,1998,18(1):49~56.
5 Zhang Yongxian,Liu Guiping,Chen Qifu et al.Charac-teristics of precursory evolution before Shunyi earth-quake withMs4.0and thejudgment of tendencies before and after the shock by using theload/unload response ra-tio[J].Earthquake,1998,18(1):49-56.(in Chinese)
6 赵卫明,金延龙,柴炽章,等.海原4.9级地震前兆异常和预报[J].地震,1999,19(4):403~407.
6 Zhao Wei ming,Jin Yanlong,Chai Zhizhang et al.Precur-sory anomalies and prediction of the Ms4.9earthquake in Haiyuan,Ningxia region[J].Earthquake,1999,19(4):403-407.(in Chinese)
7 王晓青,石绍先,丁香.Bayes判别分析法与地震短临预测[J].地震,1999,19(1):32~40.
7 Wang Xiaoqing,Shi Shaoxian,Ding Xiang.Bayes discrin-inant analysis and its application to short-i mpending earthquake prediction[J].Earthquake,1999,19(1):32-40.(in Chinese)
8 牛安福,等.地壳持续加速变形与地震关系的研究[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2002,22(1):29~33.
8 Niu Anfu,et al.Study on the continuously accelerated de-formation and the relationship with earthquakes[J].Jour-nal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2002,22(1):29-33.(in Chinese)
9 张四新,等.地震前后垂直形变场动态演化的量化指标[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2004,24(3):35~39.
9 Zhang Sixin,et al.Quantizedindex of evolution of vertical deformation field before and after earthquake[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,2004,24(3):35-39.(in Chinese)
10 杨又陵,高国英.北天山西段中强地震前地倾斜异常的演化[J].大地测量与地球动力学,2005,25(1):98~101.
10 Yang Youling and Gao Guoying.Analysis of tilt anoma-ly evolution before mid-strong earthquakes in west of northern Tianshan[J].Journal of Geodesy and Geody-namics,2005,25(1):98-101.(in Chinese)
版权所有：© 2023 中国地质图书馆 中国地质调查局地学文献中心