张家口矾山泉水氡资料变化特征分析
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摘要
深入研究了矾山泉水氡资料的趋势变化和年变化特征,对水氡与气温的正相关特性进行了分析,并对该泉水氡资料的映震能力作了统计分析。结果表明,矾山泉水氡资料从长期到中短期的异常变化与本区的中强地震活动有较好的对应关系,根据中短期异常可作出6个月以内中等地震发生的概率为68.70%。
The tendency and annual variation of radon data from Fanshan Spring are studied,and the correlation of radon with air temperature is also analyzed.The analysis to the earthquake reflecting ability of the radon data shows that the long term and medium or short term anomalies picked from the data are corresponding well with the medium and strong earthquakes in the region.According to medium and short term anomalies,the medium earthquake probability within 6 month is 0.687.
引文
[1]张炜,林颐耀.利用地下水化学预报地震的探讨[J].地震学报,1981,3(1):55-60.
    [2]张炜,邢玉安,邢如英.地下水中氡含量离散度变化与地震的短临前兆[J].地震学报,1987,9(3):312-318.
    [3]蒋骏,李胜乐,张雁滨,等.地震前兆信息处理与软件系统(EIS2000)[M].北京:地震出版社,2000.

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