地震中短期前兆某些特征的研究
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摘要
从前兆分段的物理基础出发 ,对强震和中强震的中短期异常 ( 1年尺度 )基本特征进行了归纳和总结。认为地震活动性中短期异常以在震中附近出现中短期 (约 1年 )平静为最主要特征 ,并出现中短期空区。对于多种学科中短期前兆异常的特征 ,从总体上看尚处于中期阶段的整体发展过程之中。由于不同震级强度的地震 ,其约 1年的时间尺度对其孕震过程的内涵来说有较显著的差异 ,对 7级以上大震和中强地震的中短期前兆异常特征分别进行了研究和总结。
On the basis of physical precursory segmentation, the mid and short term anomalies (one year long scale) of strong and moderately strong earthquakes are summed up in this paper. It is thought that the mid and short term anomaly of seismicity is characterized by showing mid short term quiescence (one year or so) beside the epicenter, as well as the mid short term gap. The developing process of mid term stage as a whole characterizes the mid and short term precursory anomalies of multi disciplines. Since different sized earthquakes show obvious difference to connotation of the seismogenic process in about one year or so, the mid and short term precursory characteristics of strong earthquakes (more than M S 7) and moderately strong earthquakes are studied and summarized respectively in this paper.
On the basis of physical precursory segmentation, the mid and short term anomalies (one year long scale) of strong and moderately strong earthquakes are summed up in this paper. It is thought that the mid and short term anomaly of seismicity is characterized by showing mid short term quiescence (one year or so) beside the epicenter, as well as the mid short term gap. The developing process of mid term stage as a whole characterizes the mid and short term precursory anomalies of multi disciplines. Since different sized earthquakes show obvious difference to connotation of the seismogenic process in about one year or so, the mid and short term precursory characteristics of strong earthquakes (more than M S 7) and moderately strong earthquakes are studied and summarized respectively in this paper.
引文
1孙加林等 ,地震活动性图像演化在短临跟踪预报中的应用研究 ,国家地震局“八五”攻关二级课题研究报告 ,1 995
1 钱家栋等 ,地电地磁学科张北 -尚义地震科学总结与反思报告 ,1 998
[1 ] 郭增建 ,秦保燕 .地震成因和地震预报 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 991 .337- 338.
[2 ] 梅世蓉 .一九七六年唐山地震 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 982 .1 81 - 1 98.
[3] 孙加林 ,陆远忠 ,曹井泉 ,等 .地震活动性图像演化及有序性在短临预报中应用研究的新进展 [J].地震 ,1 995(增刊 ) :1 1 0 - 1 1 7.
[4] 张国民 .一九九八年张北地震 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 999.99- 1 31
1 钱家栋等 ,地电地磁学科张北 -尚义地震科学总结与反思报告 ,1 998
[1 ] 郭增建 ,秦保燕 .地震成因和地震预报 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 991 .337- 338.
[2 ] 梅世蓉 .一九七六年唐山地震 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 982 .1 81 - 1 98.
[3] 孙加林 ,陆远忠 ,曹井泉 ,等 .地震活动性图像演化及有序性在短临预报中应用研究的新进展 [J].地震 ,1 995(增刊 ) :1 1 0 - 1 1 7.
[4] 张国民 .一九九八年张北地震 [M].北京 :地震出版社 ,1 999.99- 1 31