林甸M_S 5.1地震前地震活动图像分析和综合预报方法

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英文篇名：Analysing the earthquake activity maps and the compositive earthquake forecast method before Lindian's MS5.1 earthquake 中文刊名：地震地磁观测与研究 英文刊名：Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research 作者：林存东 ; 戴昕志 ; 李贵明 ; 曹雷 ; 朱伟平 英文作者：Lin Cundong ; Dai Xinzhi ; Li Guiming ; Cao Lei and Zhu Weiping Heihe Seismic Station ; Heilongjiang Province 164300 ; China Earthquake Administration of Heihe ; Heilongjiang Province 164300 ; China 中文关键词：地震活动图像 ; 地震预报 ; 依舒断裂 ; 嫩江断裂 ; 东北深震 英文关键词：the earthquake activity maps ; the earthquake forecast ; the Yishu fracture belt ; the Nenjiang fracture belt ; Northeast China deep-seated earthquake 出版日期：2006-04-25 机构：黑河地震台,黑河市地震局,黑河地震台,黑河地震台,黑河地震台, 年：2006 期：02 出版单位：地震地磁观测与研究

摘要

通过对黑龙江亚板块及其临近区域的不同时段地震活动图像研究分析,发现了中强震前地震活动图像的一些特点,再回归到地震动力学环境中去,建立了理论解释模型和两条判据假说。以此为基础并结合近年来地震活动图像综合分析后,我们在2005年下半年黑龙江省地震趋势会商意见中提出:松嫩盆地是5级以上中强震的主要孕震区。2005年7月25日林甸Ms 5．1地震对此给予了验证。本文对此过程阐述并作进一步分析,希望这种综合预报方法对地震预报工作有所帮助。
Through analysing the earthquake activity maps in Heilongjiang inferior board block in the different period of time, we found some characteristics before the middle intensity earthquake occur. Considering the kinetic environment, we build the theory explaining model and two guessing criterions. After analyzing the earthquake activity maps completely, we gave the opinions about the earthquake tendency in the late half year of 2005 that the Songnen basin is the central area where gestates earthquake as large as MS 5.1. Our view was validated by the MS 5.1 earthquake in Lindian on July 25, 2005. In this paper, we expatiated the process and gave further analyses, and hope the earthquake forecast method is helpful to our work.

引文

黑龙江省地质矿产局．1993．黑:黑龙江省区域地质志·断裂构造系统[M]．北京:地质出版社,578～590