试论长江三峡库区地震、地质灾害及其监测、预报与防治
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摘要
通过大量资料对长江三峡库区的地震、地质灾害现状与蓄水后可能出现的潜在危险性作了深入的分析与客观的评估，从科学对策到技术措施对减轻这些灾害的可能性作了较详细的论述。文中指出，长江三峡库区的防灾问题是一项影响整个国民经济与长江中下游人民生命财产安全的大事，要防患于未然。基于地震灾害与地质灾害成因大致相同，监测方法相似，相互又存在伴生、连发的紧密关系，建议将两个灾害的有关管理部门有机结合起来，统一规划，取长补短，将多个监测小网合成一个大网阵，联成一个大体系，责任共担，信息共享，这是长江三峡库区防灾工作的一条捷径。
Seismic and geological disasters and thier potential hazards in Three Gorge's reservoir area deeply analyzed and objectively evaluated on basis of a number of data. The possibility mitigating these disasters with countermeasures in science and technology is discussed. This paper pointes out that the disaster prevention in Three Gorge's reservoir area is an important matter to influence na- tional economy and people's safety on life and property in middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River and must be taken on ahead. Based on the similarity of cause and mornitoring between seismic and geological disasters and their co-occurence, it is suggested that either disaster's management organizations should be associated with an integrate planning and some small mornitoring network should be assembled to a large network array. This will be a shortcut for disaster prevention in Three Gorges.
Seismic and geological disasters and thier potential hazards in Three Gorge's reservoir area deeply analyzed and objectively evaluated on basis of a number of data. The possibility mitigating these disasters with countermeasures in science and technology is discussed. This paper pointes out that the disaster prevention in Three Gorge's reservoir area is an important matter to influence na- tional economy and people's safety on life and property in middle and lower reaches of Changjiang River and must be taken on ahead. Based on the similarity of cause and mornitoring between seismic and geological disasters and their co-occurence, it is suggested that either disaster's management organizations should be associated with an integrate planning and some small mornitoring network should be assembled to a large network array. This will be a shortcut for disaster prevention in Three Gorges.
引文
[1]马宗普.中国重大自然灾害及减灾对策[M].北京:科技出版社,1994.
[2]郭增建,陈鑫连.地震对策[M].北京:地震出版社,1986.
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[12]张文甫、水库地震诱震区预测与强度评估[J].地震地磁观测与研究,1999,20(2):47-51.
[13]张绍波.长江三峡水库诱发地震问题的分析研究[J].自然灾害学报.2000,9(2):130-134.
[14]谭万沛,王成华.暴雨泥石流滑坡的区域预测与预报[M].成都:四川科学技术出版社.1994.
[15]罗德富,吴积善.西南自然灾害及其防治对策[M].北京:科学出版社,1991.
[16]陆业海.新滩滑坡的监测和预测预报[M].北京:中国铁道出版社, 1988.
[17]王劲峰,等.中国自然灾害区划[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1995.
[18]张年学,等.长江三峡工程库区顺层岸坡研究[M].北京:地震出版社,1993.
[19]陈学波,等.长江三峡工程坝区及外围深部构造特征研究[M].北京:地震出版社,1994.
[2]郭增建,陈鑫连.地震对策[M].北京:地震出版社,1986.
[3]中国科学院成都地理所.泥石流[M].北京:科学文献出版社.1983.
[4]山田刚二.滑坡和斜坡崩塌及其防治[M].北京:科学出版社,1980.
[5]胡毓良.我国的水库地震及有关成因问题的讨论[J].地震地质,1979,1(4):45-47.
[6]薛佳谋.克里马斯塔水库地震[J].地震,1981,(3):43-45.
[7]梁贻昌.葛洲坝水库地震地质背景及水库地震问题的初步探讨[J].地震学刊,1984,(1):22-38.
[8]于品清.水在水库地震中的作用[J].地震研究,1984,7(4):441-452.
[9]常宝琦,梁纪彬.水库‘规模’与水库地震震级的关系[J].华南地震.1987,7(1):94-99.
[10]谭国地,薄景山.水库地震──人类工程活动诱发的灾害[J].华南地震,1989,9(5):55-66.
[11]于品清·周明礼·杨淑贤·未来三峡水库诱发岩溶型水库地震的可能震级[J].华南地震,1992,12(2):81-87.
[12]张文甫、水库地震诱震区预测与强度评估[J].地震地磁观测与研究,1999,20(2):47-51.
[13]张绍波.长江三峡水库诱发地震问题的分析研究[J].自然灾害学报.2000,9(2):130-134.
[14]谭万沛,王成华.暴雨泥石流滑坡的区域预测与预报[M].成都:四川科学技术出版社.1994.
[15]罗德富,吴积善.西南自然灾害及其防治对策[M].北京:科学出版社,1991.
[16]陆业海.新滩滑坡的监测和预测预报[M].北京:中国铁道出版社, 1988.
[17]王劲峰,等.中国自然灾害区划[M].北京:中国科学技术出版社,1995.
[18]张年学,等.长江三峡工程库区顺层岸坡研究[M].北京:地震出版社,1993.
[19]陈学波,等.长江三峡工程坝区及外围深部构造特征研究[M].北京:地震出版社,1994.
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