摘要
The applicability of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for determination of mean velocity and discharge of natural streams is investigated. The 2,184 field data obtained from four different sites on the Sarimsakli and Sosun streams in central Turkey were used in the study. ANNs and ANFIS models use the inputs, water surface velocity and water surface slope, to estimate the mean velocity and discharges of natural streams. The accuracies of both models were compared with the multiple-linear regression (MLR) model. The comparison results showed that the ANFIS model performed better than the ANNs and regression models for estimating mean velocity and discharge. The ANN model also showed better accuracy than the MLR model. The root mean square errors (RMSE) and mean absolute relative errors (MARE) of the MLR model were reduced by 88 and 91?% using the ANFIS model in estimating discharges, respectively. It is found that the optimal ANFIS model with RMSE of 0,063, MARE of 3,47 and determination coefficient (R2) of 0,996 in the test period is superior in estimation of discharge than the MLR model with RMSE of 0,532, MARE of 38,9 and R2 of 0,776, respectively. The study reveals that the ANFIS technique can be successfully used for estimating the mean velocity and discharge of natural streams by using only the inputs of water surface velocity and water surface slope.