基于耗散结构系统熵模型的乡村生产空间系统有序性研究
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摘要
通过分析乡村生产空间系统的耗散结构特征,建立系统熵模型,运用关联熵和运行熵,从系统的主体(多元主体)、客体(地)和环境三要素入手构建指标体系,讨论系统内部结构和运行状态的有序性,并以重庆市合川区龙市镇为研究区予以实证,研究表明:研究区乡村生产空间系统关联熵先增后减,系统内部结构有序性呈现阶段性特征,2008—2011年主要受城市化无序扩张和土地利用方式低效粗放等因素影响,系统内部结构趋于混乱无序,2011—2015年主要因财政支农力度增强、农业投入产出水平提高、生态修复力度加大等因素刺激,系统内部结构逐渐趋于有序化;2008—2015年,乡村生产空间系统运行熵逐年减小,在农业综合开发投入大幅增加引起的生产条件改善、产业结构调整与提档升级等驱动下,呈现出持续有序化的发展态势;围绕乡村生产空间系统的内部结构及运行状态的演化规律,从优化土地利用结构、构建现代农业产业体系、编制和完善相关规划、培育新产业新业态入手,提出相关策略,以促进乡村生产空间系统有序健康发展。
By analyzing the dissipative structure characteristics of rural production space system, and establishing system entropy model using correlation entropy and running entropy,this study establishes an index system following three elements: the subjects of rural production space system(the multiple subjects), the objects(the land), and the environment. Then, taking Longshi Town in Hechuan district in Chongqing as an example, this study discusses the order of internal structure and the order of running state of rural production space system. The results show the following aspects. The correlation entropy of the rural production space system of the study area increased first and then decreased, with its internal structure presenting a periodic characteristic from disordering to ordering. From 2008 to 2011, the system internal structure tended to be chaotic and disordered, resulting in irregular urban expansion and extensive land use. From 2011 to 2015, driven by the strengthened financial support to agriculture, the improvement of agricultural input-output level, the enhancement of ecological restoration and so on, the system internal structure gradually entered the stage of orderly development. From2008 to 2015, the running entropy of rural production space system decreased year by year,which showed a law of continuous ordering. This phenomenon is attributed to the industrial structure adjustment as well as the production conditions improvement brought by the substantially increased investment of comprehensive agricultural development. Therefore,centering on the evolution law of the internal structure and running state of rural production space system, this study puts forward strategies from the land use structure optimization, the modern agricultural industry system construction, the planning preparing and perfection, and the rise of new industries and new types of business. Hereby, rural production space system is expected to develop towards orderly and healthy way.
By analyzing the dissipative structure characteristics of rural production space system, and establishing system entropy model using correlation entropy and running entropy,this study establishes an index system following three elements: the subjects of rural production space system(the multiple subjects), the objects(the land), and the environment. Then, taking Longshi Town in Hechuan district in Chongqing as an example, this study discusses the order of internal structure and the order of running state of rural production space system. The results show the following aspects. The correlation entropy of the rural production space system of the study area increased first and then decreased, with its internal structure presenting a periodic characteristic from disordering to ordering. From 2008 to 2011, the system internal structure tended to be chaotic and disordered, resulting in irregular urban expansion and extensive land use. From 2011 to 2015, driven by the strengthened financial support to agriculture, the improvement of agricultural input-output level, the enhancement of ecological restoration and so on, the system internal structure gradually entered the stage of orderly development. From2008 to 2015, the running entropy of rural production space system decreased year by year,which showed a law of continuous ordering. This phenomenon is attributed to the industrial structure adjustment as well as the production conditions improvement brought by the substantially increased investment of comprehensive agricultural development. Therefore,centering on the evolution law of the internal structure and running state of rural production space system, this study puts forward strategies from the land use structure optimization, the modern agricultural industry system construction, the planning preparing and perfection, and the rise of new industries and new types of business. Hereby, rural production space system is expected to develop towards orderly and healthy way.
引文
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[6]宋洪远,赵海,等,中国新型农业经营主体发展研究,北京:中国金融出版社,2015.[Song Hongyuan,Zhao Hai,et al.Research on the Development of New Agricultural Business Entities in China.Beijing:China Financial Publishing House,2015.]
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[8]畅建霞,黄强,王义民,等.基于耗散结构理论和灰色关联熵的水资源系统演化方向判别模型研究.水利学报,2002,(11):107-112.[Chang Jianxia,Huang Qiang,Wang Yimin,et al.Water resources evolution direction distinguishing model based on dissipative structure theory and gray relational entropy.Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2002,(11):107-112.]
[9]郭治安,沈小峰.协同论.太原:山西经济出版社,1991.[Guo Zhian,Shen Xiaofeng.Synergy Theory.Taiyuan:Shanxi Economic Press,1991.]
[10]刘思峰.灰色系统理论的产生与发展.南京航空航天大学学报,2004,(2):267-272.[Liu Sifeng.Emergence and development of grey system theory and its forward trends.Journal of Nanjing University of Aeronautics&Astronautics,2004,(2):267-272.]
[11]张家其,吴宜进,葛咏,等.基于灰色关联模型的贫困地区生态安全综合评价:以恩施贫困地区为例,地理研究,2014,33(8):1457-1466.[Zhang Jiaqi,Wu Yijin,Ge Yong,et al.Eco-security assessments of poor areas based on gray correlation model:A case study in Enshi.Geographical Research,2014,33(8):1457-1466.]
[12]姜纪沂,张宇东,谷洪彪,等.基于灰色关联熵的地下水环境演化模式判别模型研究.吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2009,39(6):1111-1116.[Jiang Jiyi,Zhang Yudong,Gu Hongbiao,et al.Study on the evaluation model of groundwater environment evolution pattern based on grey correlation entropy.Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition),2009,39(6):1111-1116.]
[13]游达明,陈凡兵.基于耗散结构理论的产业创新系统熵变研究.统计与决策,2009,(4):21-24.[You Daming,Chen Fanbing.Entropy change of Industrial innovation system based on dissipative structure theory.Statistics&Decision,2009,(4):21-24.]
[14]朱桂菊.基于耗散结构的科技金融服务体系运行机制及有序性评价研究.湖南:中南大学硕士学位论文,2010.[Zhu Guiju.Operating mechanism and orderliness evaluation of sci-tech finance service system based on dissipative structure.Hunan:Master Dissertation of Central South University,2010.]
[15]赵晶,徐建华,梅安新,等.上海市土地利用结构和形态演变的信息熵与分维分析.地理研究,2004,23(2):137-146.[Zhao Jing,Xu Jianhua,Mei Anxin,et al.A study on the information entropy and fractal dimension of land use structure and form in Shanghai.Geographical Research,2004,23(2):137-146.]
[16]张佳书,苑会娜,傅晋华.日本发展“六次产业”的典型模式及对中国的启示.中国科技论坛,2016,(10):148-154.[Zhang Jiashu,Yuan Huina,Fu Jinhua.The typical model of“The Sixth-industrialization for Agriculture”in Japan and its Enlightenment to China.Forum on Science and Technology in China,2016,(10):148-154.]
[17]李裕瑞,刘彦随,龙花楼,等.大城市郊区村域转型发展的资源环境效应与优化调控研究:以北京市顺义区北村为例.地理学报,2013,68(6):825-838.[Li Yurui,Liu Yansui,Long Hualou,et al.Village Transformation development,resource and environment effects and their optimal regulation in the metropolitan suburbs:The case of Beicun in Shunyi District,Beijing.Acta Geographica Sinica,2013,68(6):825-838.]
[18]刘瑞翔.探寻中国经济增长源泉:要素投入、生产率与环境消耗.世界经济,2013,36(10):123-141.[Li Ruixiang.Exploring the source of China's economic growth:Factor input,productivity and environment consumption.The Journal of World Economy,2013,36(10):123-141.]
[19]栾大鹏,欧阳日辉.生产要素内部投入结构与中国经济增长.世界经济,2012,35(6):78-92.[Luan Dapeng,Ouyang Rihui.Internal input structure of factors of production and China's economic growth.The Journal of World Economy,2012,35(6):78-92.]
[20]沈小峰,胡岗,姜璐.耗散结构论.上海:上海人民出版社,1987.[Shen Xiaofeng,Hu Gang,Jiang Lu.Dissipative Structure Theory.Shanghai:Shanghai People’s Press,1987.]
[21]吴琳娜,杨胜天,刘晓燕,等.1976年以来北洛河流域土地利用变化对人类活动程度的响应.地理学报,2014,69(1):54-63.[Wu Linna,Yang Shengtian,Liu Xiaoyan,et al.Response analysis of land use change to the degree of human activities in Beiluo River basin since 1976.Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(1):54-63.]
[22]焦胜,杨娜,彭楷,等.沩水流域土地景观格局对河流水质的影响.地理研究,2014,33(12):2263-2274.[Jiao Sheng,Yang Na,Peng Kai,et al.The effects of land-use and landscape pattern on water quality in Weihe river watershed.Geographical Research,2014,33(12):2263-2274.]
[2]李志强,刘春梅.基于耗散结构的企业家创新行为系统熵变模型.中国软科学,2009,(8):162-166.[Li Zhiqiang,Liu Chunmei.Research on the entropy change model for entrepreneurs creative behavior system based on dissipative structure.China Soft Science,2009,(8):162-166.]
[3]杨山,潘婧,季增民.耗散结构视角下连云港港城系统演进机理及规律研究.地理科学,2011,31(7):781-787.[Yang Shan,Pan Jing,Ji Zengmin.The evolution mechanisms and law of Lianyungang port-city system based on principles of dissipative structure.Scientia Geographical Sinica,2011,31(7):781-787.]
[4]王正明,温桂梅,路正南.基于耗散结构系统熵模型的产业有序发展研究.中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(12):54-59.[Wang Zhengming,Wen Guimei,Lu Zhengnan.The research of industry developing orderly based on system entropy model in dissipative structure.China Population,Resources and Environment,2012,22(12):54-59.]
[5]颜泽贤.耗散结构与系统演化.福州:福建人民出版社,1987.[Yan Zexian.Dissipative Structure and System Evolution.Fuzhou:Fujian People’s Press,1987.]
[6]宋洪远,赵海,等,中国新型农业经营主体发展研究,北京:中国金融出版社,2015.[Song Hongyuan,Zhao Hai,et al.Research on the Development of New Agricultural Business Entities in China.Beijing:China Financial Publishing House,2015.]
[7]李一.乡村生态经济系统演替机理的耗散结构分析.生态经济,1990,(3):13-16.[Li Yi.Dissipative structure analysis of succession mechanism of rural eco economic system.Ecological Economy,1990,(3):13-16.]
[8]畅建霞,黄强,王义民,等.基于耗散结构理论和灰色关联熵的水资源系统演化方向判别模型研究.水利学报,2002,(11):107-112.[Chang Jianxia,Huang Qiang,Wang Yimin,et al.Water resources evolution direction distinguishing model based on dissipative structure theory and gray relational entropy.Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,2002,(11):107-112.]
[9]郭治安,沈小峰.协同论.太原:山西经济出版社,1991.[Guo Zhian,Shen Xiaofeng.Synergy Theory.Taiyuan:Shanxi Economic Press,1991.]
[10]刘思峰.灰色系统理论的产生与发展.南京航空航天大学学报,2004,(2):267-272.[Liu Sifeng.Emergence and development of grey system theory and its forward trends.Journal of Nanjing University of Aeronautics&Astronautics,2004,(2):267-272.]
[11]张家其,吴宜进,葛咏,等.基于灰色关联模型的贫困地区生态安全综合评价:以恩施贫困地区为例,地理研究,2014,33(8):1457-1466.[Zhang Jiaqi,Wu Yijin,Ge Yong,et al.Eco-security assessments of poor areas based on gray correlation model:A case study in Enshi.Geographical Research,2014,33(8):1457-1466.]
[12]姜纪沂,张宇东,谷洪彪,等.基于灰色关联熵的地下水环境演化模式判别模型研究.吉林大学学报(地球科学版),2009,39(6):1111-1116.[Jiang Jiyi,Zhang Yudong,Gu Hongbiao,et al.Study on the evaluation model of groundwater environment evolution pattern based on grey correlation entropy.Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition),2009,39(6):1111-1116.]
[13]游达明,陈凡兵.基于耗散结构理论的产业创新系统熵变研究.统计与决策,2009,(4):21-24.[You Daming,Chen Fanbing.Entropy change of Industrial innovation system based on dissipative structure theory.Statistics&Decision,2009,(4):21-24.]
[14]朱桂菊.基于耗散结构的科技金融服务体系运行机制及有序性评价研究.湖南:中南大学硕士学位论文,2010.[Zhu Guiju.Operating mechanism and orderliness evaluation of sci-tech finance service system based on dissipative structure.Hunan:Master Dissertation of Central South University,2010.]
[15]赵晶,徐建华,梅安新,等.上海市土地利用结构和形态演变的信息熵与分维分析.地理研究,2004,23(2):137-146.[Zhao Jing,Xu Jianhua,Mei Anxin,et al.A study on the information entropy and fractal dimension of land use structure and form in Shanghai.Geographical Research,2004,23(2):137-146.]
[16]张佳书,苑会娜,傅晋华.日本发展“六次产业”的典型模式及对中国的启示.中国科技论坛,2016,(10):148-154.[Zhang Jiashu,Yuan Huina,Fu Jinhua.The typical model of“The Sixth-industrialization for Agriculture”in Japan and its Enlightenment to China.Forum on Science and Technology in China,2016,(10):148-154.]
[17]李裕瑞,刘彦随,龙花楼,等.大城市郊区村域转型发展的资源环境效应与优化调控研究:以北京市顺义区北村为例.地理学报,2013,68(6):825-838.[Li Yurui,Liu Yansui,Long Hualou,et al.Village Transformation development,resource and environment effects and their optimal regulation in the metropolitan suburbs:The case of Beicun in Shunyi District,Beijing.Acta Geographica Sinica,2013,68(6):825-838.]
[18]刘瑞翔.探寻中国经济增长源泉:要素投入、生产率与环境消耗.世界经济,2013,36(10):123-141.[Li Ruixiang.Exploring the source of China's economic growth:Factor input,productivity and environment consumption.The Journal of World Economy,2013,36(10):123-141.]
[19]栾大鹏,欧阳日辉.生产要素内部投入结构与中国经济增长.世界经济,2012,35(6):78-92.[Luan Dapeng,Ouyang Rihui.Internal input structure of factors of production and China's economic growth.The Journal of World Economy,2012,35(6):78-92.]
[20]沈小峰,胡岗,姜璐.耗散结构论.上海:上海人民出版社,1987.[Shen Xiaofeng,Hu Gang,Jiang Lu.Dissipative Structure Theory.Shanghai:Shanghai People’s Press,1987.]
[21]吴琳娜,杨胜天,刘晓燕,等.1976年以来北洛河流域土地利用变化对人类活动程度的响应.地理学报,2014,69(1):54-63.[Wu Linna,Yang Shengtian,Liu Xiaoyan,et al.Response analysis of land use change to the degree of human activities in Beiluo River basin since 1976.Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(1):54-63.]
[22]焦胜,杨娜,彭楷,等.沩水流域土地景观格局对河流水质的影响.地理研究,2014,33(12):2263-2274.[Jiao Sheng,Yang Na,Peng Kai,et al.The effects of land-use and landscape pattern on water quality in Weihe river watershed.Geographical Research,2014,33(12):2263-2274.]