摘要
建立了绿色城镇化发展水平综合评价指标体系,采用熵值法对江西省11个地级市2011年至2016年间绿色城镇化发展水平进行测度,并结合城镇规模特征和集聚-碎化指数分析其空间格局的演变过程。选用Moran's I指数进行空间自相关检验,分别在经济、社会、生态环境等三个层面借助于空间计量模型对空间格局演化机理进行分析。研究表明:江西省绿色城镇化呈现高水平集聚分布,绿色城镇化高水平地区有向低水平地区扩散的趋势,且空间格局受到生态环境影响的程度较大,生态环境较好的地区发展水平也较高。
A comprehensive evaluation index system of green urbanization development level is established,and the development stages of green urbanization in 11 prefecture-level cities of Jiangxi Province in 2011-2016 are measured by the method of entropy,and the evolution process of spatial structure is analyzed through the way of combining the characteristics of urban scale and agglomeration-fragmentation index. Moran's I index is applied to conduct the spatial self-correlation test,and the spatial structure of evolution mechanism is analyzed respectively on the basis of the spatial econometric model from the three layers of economy,society and ecological environment. The results show: the green urbanization of Jiangxi Province demonstrates a high grade of agglomeration and distribution,and there is a tendency of the high level of green urbanization spreading over the weak areas,and the spatial structure is affected by the ecological environment and there shows a higher level of regional development in the areas with the advanced ecological environment
引文
[1]刘爱梅,王波.城镇化对经济结构转型升级的影响及实现路径——以山东城镇化发展为例[J].山东社会科学,2015(11):181-187.
[2]王亚力,彭保发,熊建新,张慧.环洞庭湖区人口城镇化的空间格局及影响因子[J].地理研究,2013(10):1912-1922.
[3]罗勇,城镇化的绿色路径与生态指向[J].辽宁大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2014(6):84-89.
[4]黄亚平,林小如.欠发达山区县域新型城镇化路径模式探讨——以湖北省为例[J].城市规划,2013(7):17-22.
[5]齐元静,杨宇.中国经济发展阶段及其时空格局演变特征[J].地理学报,2013(4):517-531.
[6]白彩全,温珍垠.鄱阳湖生态经济重点开发区新型城镇化空间效应[J].中国科学院大学学报,2015(6):760-767.
[7]宋慧琳,彭迪云.绿色城镇化测度指标体系及其评价应用研究[J].金融与经济,2016(7):4-15.
[8] Liu Wei,Wu Zhijiang,Liu Yaobin,Chen Yan. Evolution Study on Green Urbanization Spatial Pattern of Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone Based on Spatial Autocorrelation[J].Interational Journal of Earth Sciences and Engineering,2016(9):2643-2650.
[9]冯兴华,钟业喜,李建新,黄洁.长江中游城市群县域城镇化水平空间格局演变及驱动因子分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2015(6):899-908.
[10] Elhorst J P. Spatial Econometrics:From Cross-Sectional Datato Spatial Panels[M]. New York:Springer,2014.