入侵害虫菊方翅网蝽在中国的潜在分布预测
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摘要
菊方翅网蝽Corythucha marmorata(Uhler,1878)是我国新近发现的外来入侵害虫,研究明确菊方翅网蝽在我国的潜在分布范围对其监测预警及科学防控具有重要意义。本研究根据菊方翅网蝽的地理分布数据及相关环境变量,运用Maxent生态位模型与ArcGIS预测了菊方翅网蝽在中国的潜在地理分布范围。预测结果表明:菊方翅网蝽在我国的适生区主要分布于100°～125°E,20°～40°N的亚热带、暖温带区域,其中高适生区主要集中在长江中下游地区,包括浙江、江苏、湖南、上海大部分地区、安徽南部、湖北南部、江西西部及南部、贵州东部、福建东部、广西北部、山东中部、河南南部以及重庆、台湾局部;此外,极端气温、平均气温、最干月份降雨量对菊方翅网蝽的潜在分布影响较大。菊方翅网蝽已在我国成功入侵并迅速蔓延成灾,应在疫区边缘地带加强监测,并采取措施防止其进一步扩散。
Corythucha marmorata is a newly invasive pest in recent years, a profound understanding of the pest's potential distribution will be beneficial for its monitoring and controlling in China. The potential geographic distributions of C.marmorata was analyzed by maximum-entropy(Maxent) model and geographic information system(ArcGIS) using the pest's occurrence records and environmental variables. The results indicated that C.marmorata had a wide potential range in China, which mainly lying at latitude 20°～40°N and longitude 100°～125°E in the subtropical and warm temperate zone. The high suitable distribution mainly included most of Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Hunan, Shanghai, south of Anhui, south of Hubei, west of Jiangxi, east of Guizhou, east of Fuzhou, north of Guangxi, central of Shandong, south of Henan, part of Chongqing, Taiwan, along with the Lower Yangtze Region. Moreover, the potential distribution was greatly influenced by max temperature of warmest month, annual mean temperature, precipitation of driest month and min temperature of coldest month. C.marmorata had successfully invaded China and spreaded rapidly. We should enhance the monitoring in the edge of its epidemic area and take measures to prevent its further expansion.
Corythucha marmorata is a newly invasive pest in recent years, a profound understanding of the pest's potential distribution will be beneficial for its monitoring and controlling in China. The potential geographic distributions of C.marmorata was analyzed by maximum-entropy(Maxent) model and geographic information system(ArcGIS) using the pest's occurrence records and environmental variables. The results indicated that C.marmorata had a wide potential range in China, which mainly lying at latitude 20°～40°N and longitude 100°～125°E in the subtropical and warm temperate zone. The high suitable distribution mainly included most of Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Hunan, Shanghai, south of Anhui, south of Hubei, west of Jiangxi, east of Guizhou, east of Fuzhou, north of Guangxi, central of Shandong, south of Henan, part of Chongqing, Taiwan, along with the Lower Yangtze Region. Moreover, the potential distribution was greatly influenced by max temperature of warmest month, annual mean temperature, precipitation of driest month and min temperature of coldest month. C.marmorata had successfully invaded China and spreaded rapidly. We should enhance the monitoring in the edge of its epidemic area and take measures to prevent its further expansion.
引文
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Ju RT,Chen GB,Wang F,et al.Effects of heat shock,heat exposure pattern,and heat hardening on survival of the sycamore lace bug,Corythucha ciliata (Say) (Hemiptera:Tingidae) [J].Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata,2011,141 (2):168-177.
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Kim DE,Kil J.Geographical distribution and host plants of Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Korean Society of Applied Entomology,2014,53 (2):185-191.
Lee GS,Lee SM.A new exotic tingid species,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Korean Society of Applied Entomology,2012,10:159.
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Phillips SJ,Anderson RP,Schapire RE.Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions [J].Ecological Modelling,2006,190 (3/4):231-259.
Qi GJ,Gao Y,Huang DC,et al.Historical invasion,expansion process and the potential geographic distributions for the rice water weevil,Lissorhoptrus oryzophilus in China based on MAXENT [J].Acta Phytophylacica Sinica,2012,39 (2):129-136.[齐国君,高燕,黄德超,等.基于MAXENT的稻水象甲在中国的入侵扩散动态及适生性分析 [J].植物保护学报,2012,39 (2):129-136]
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Verbruggen H,Tyberghein L,Belton GS,et al.Improving transferability of introducedspecies' distribution models,new tools to forecast the spreadof a highly invasive seaweed [J].PLoS ONE,2013,8 (6):e683337.
Wang ML,Fan JY,Li M,et al.Potential geographical distribution of the introduced banana moth,Opogona sacchari (Lepidoptera:Tineidae) in China [J].Journal of Biosafety,2017,26 (2):129-133.[王梦琳,范靖宇,李敏,等.入侵害虫蔗扁蛾在我国的潜在分布区 [J].生物安全学报,2017,26 (2):129-133]
Wang RL,Li Q,Feng CH,et al.Predicting potential ecological distribution of Locusta migratoria tibetensis in China using MaxEnt ecological niche modeling [J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37 (24):8556-8566.[王茹琳,李庆,封传红,等.基于MaxEnt的西藏飞蝗在中国的适生区预测 [J].生态学报,2017,37 (24):8556-8566]
Wang YS,Xie BY,Wan FH,et al.Application of ROC curve analysis in evaluating the performance of alien species' potential distribution models [J].Biodiversity Science,2007,15 (4):365-372.[王运生,谢丙炎,万方浩,等.ROC曲线分析在评价入侵物种分布模型中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2007,15 (4):365-372]
Xing DL,Hao ZQ.The principle of maximum entropy and its applications in ecology [J].Biodiversity Science,2011,19 (3):295-302.[邢丁亮,郝占庆.最大熵原理及其在生态学研究中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2011,19 (3):295-302]
Yoon CS,Kim HG,Choi WY.First record on the exotic lace bug of Asteraceae,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Journal of Environmental Science International,2013,22 (12):1611-1614.
Yu GY.Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) [J].Plant Protection,2014,40 (5):7.[虞国跃.菊方翅网蝽 [J].植物保护,2014,40 (5):7]
Zhao JJ,Gao D,Feng JN.Potential geographic distribution of Daktulosphaira vitifoliae Fitch in China based on Maxent model [J].Journal of Northwest A & F University (Natural Science Edition),2015,43 (11):99-104,112.[赵晶晶,高丹,冯纪年.基于Maxent模型的葡萄根瘤蚜在中国的适生性分析 [J].西北农林科技大学学报 (自然科学版),2015,43 (11):99-104,112]
Zhu GP,Bu WJ,Gao YB,et al.Potential geographic distribution of brown marmorated stink bug invasion (Halyomorpha halys) [J].PLoS ONE,2012,7 (2):e31246.
Zhu GP,Liu GQ,Bu WJ,et al.Ecological niche modeling and its applications in biodiversity conservation [J].Biodiversity Science,2013,21 (1):90-98.[朱耿平,刘国卿,卜文俊,等.生态位模型的基本原理及其在生物多样性保护中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2013,21 (1):90-98]
Zhu GP,Liu Q,Gao YB.Improving ecological niche model transferability to predict the potential distribution of invasive exotic species [J].Biodiversity Science,2014,22 (2):223-230.[朱耿平,刘强,高玉葆.提高生态位模型转移能力来模拟入侵物种的潜在分布 [J].生物多样性,2014,22 (2):223-230]
Zhu ZJ,Wang GY,Qiao F,et al.Potential geographical distribution and habitat suitability analysis for two mirid predators Tytthus chinensis and Cyrtorhinus lividipennis (Hemiptera:Miridae) in rice fields based on MaxEnt model [J].Acta Entomologica Sinica,2017,60 (3):335-346.[祝梓杰,王桂瑶,乔飞,等.基于MaxEnt模型的两种捕食性盲蝽潜在分布区及其适生性分析 [J].昆虫学报,2017,60 (3):335-346]
Cao XF,Qian GL,Hu BS,et al.Prediction of potential suitable distribution area of Flaveria bidentis in China based on niche models [J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2010,21 (12):3063-3069.[曹向锋,钱国良,胡白石,等.采用生态位模型预测黄顶菊在中国的潜在适生区 [J].应用生态学报,2010,21 (12):3063-3069]
Cui SP,Luo X,Li CW,et al.Predicting the potential distribution of white-lipped deer using the MaxEnt model [J].Biodiversity Science,2018,26 (2):171-176.[崔绍朋,罗晓,李春旺,等.基于MaxEnt模型预测白唇鹿的潜在分布区 [J].生物多样性,2018,26 (2):171-176]
Dang K,Gao L,Zhu J.First record of the chrysanthemum lace bug,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler,1878),from China [J].Acta Zootaxonomica Sinica,2012,37 (4):894-898.[党凯,高磊,朱槿.菊方翅网蝽在中国首次记述 (半翅目,网蝽科) [J].动物分类学报,2012,37 (4):894-898]
Dong LK,Wang ZH,Zhang H,et al.The distribution and occurrence of the Corythucha marmorata in Wuhan [J].Hubei Agricultural Sciences,2015,54 (21):299-5302.[董立坤,王志华,张涵,等.菊方翅网蝽在武汉的分布与危害 [J].湖北农业科学,2015,54 (21):299-5302]
Evangelista PH,Kumar S,Stohlgren TJ,et al.Modelling invasion for a habitat generalist and a specialist plant species [J].Diversity and Distributions,2008,14 (5):808-817.
Han YY,Wang Y,Xiang Y,et al.Prediction of potential distribution of Bursaphelenchus xylophilus in China based on Maxent ecological niche mode [J].Journal of Nanjing Forestry University (Natural Science Edition),2015,39 (1):6-10.[韩阳阳,王焱,项杨,等.基于Maxent生态位模型的松材线虫在中国的适生区预测分析 [J].南京林业大学学报(自然科学版),2005,39 (1):6-10]
He JY,Zhao JY,Zhao ZH,et al.Potential geographical distribution of Rhagoletis batava Hering basing on Maxent [J].Plant Quarantine,2017,31 (2):22-29.[何佳遥,赵继羽,赵紫华,等.基于最大熵模型的沙棘绕实蝇适生性研究 [J].植物检疫,2017,31 (2):22-29]
Ju RT,Xiao YY,Wang F,et al.Super cooling capacity and cold hardiness of the adults of the sycamorelace bug,Corythucha ciliata (Hemiptera:Tingidae) [J].Cryoletters,2010,31 (6):445-453.
Ju RT,Chen GB,Wang F,et al.Effects of heat shock,heat exposure pattern,and heat hardening on survival of the sycamore lace bug,Corythucha ciliata (Say) (Hemiptera:Tingidae) [J].Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata,2011,141 (2):168-177.
Kato A,Ohbayashi N.Habitat expansion of an exotic lace bug,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae),on the Kii Peninsula and Shikoku Island in western Japan [J].Entomological Science,2009,12:130-134.
Kim DE,Kil J.Geographical distribution and host plants of Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Korean Society of Applied Entomology,2014,53 (2):185-191.
Lee GS,Lee SM.A new exotic tingid species,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Korean Society of Applied Entomology,2012,10:159.
Li BN,Wei W,Ma J,et al.Maximum entropy niche-based modeling (Maxent) of potential geographical distributions of fruit flies Dacus bivittatus,D.ciliatus and D.vertebrates (Diptera:Tephritidae) [J].Acta Entomologica Sinica,2009,52 (10):1122-1131.
Lu HP,Liu X,He YM,et al.Corythucha marmorata—An invasive pest newly recorded at Ganzhou City,China [J].Biological Disaster Science,2018,41 (1):55-57.[卢和平,刘湘,何益民,等.赣州新发现入侵物种菊方翅网蝽 [J].生物灾害科学,2018,41 (1):55-57]
Phillips SJ,Anderson RP,Schapire RE.Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions [J].Ecological Modelling,2006,190 (3/4):231-259.
Qi GJ,Gao Y,Huang DC,et al.Historical invasion,expansion process and the potential geographic distributions for the rice water weevil,Lissorhoptrus oryzophilus in China based on MAXENT [J].Acta Phytophylacica Sinica,2012,39 (2):129-136.[齐国君,高燕,黄德超,等.基于MAXENT的稻水象甲在中国的入侵扩散动态及适生性分析 [J].植物保护学报,2012,39 (2):129-136]
Qin YJ.Global Population Structure,Establishment Risk and Potential Geographical Distribution of Bactrocera dorsalis (Diptera:Tephritidae) [D].Beijing:China Agricultural University,2017.[秦誉嘉.橘小实蝇在全球的种群结构、定殖风险及潜在分布研究 [D].北京:中国农业大学,2017]
Sun PS,Jiang F,Zhang XL,et al.Invasion risk assessment of the Mediterranean fruit fly Ceratitis capitata into China [J].Acta Phytophylacica Sinica,2017,44 (3):436-444.[孙佩珊,姜帆,张祥林,等.地中海实蝇入侵中国的风险评估 [J].植物保护学报,2017,44 (3):436-444]
Verbruggen H,Tyberghein L,Belton GS,et al.Improving transferability of introducedspecies' distribution models,new tools to forecast the spreadof a highly invasive seaweed [J].PLoS ONE,2013,8 (6):e683337.
Wang ML,Fan JY,Li M,et al.Potential geographical distribution of the introduced banana moth,Opogona sacchari (Lepidoptera:Tineidae) in China [J].Journal of Biosafety,2017,26 (2):129-133.[王梦琳,范靖宇,李敏,等.入侵害虫蔗扁蛾在我国的潜在分布区 [J].生物安全学报,2017,26 (2):129-133]
Wang RL,Li Q,Feng CH,et al.Predicting potential ecological distribution of Locusta migratoria tibetensis in China using MaxEnt ecological niche modeling [J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37 (24):8556-8566.[王茹琳,李庆,封传红,等.基于MaxEnt的西藏飞蝗在中国的适生区预测 [J].生态学报,2017,37 (24):8556-8566]
Wang YS,Xie BY,Wan FH,et al.Application of ROC curve analysis in evaluating the performance of alien species' potential distribution models [J].Biodiversity Science,2007,15 (4):365-372.[王运生,谢丙炎,万方浩,等.ROC曲线分析在评价入侵物种分布模型中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2007,15 (4):365-372]
Xing DL,Hao ZQ.The principle of maximum entropy and its applications in ecology [J].Biodiversity Science,2011,19 (3):295-302.[邢丁亮,郝占庆.最大熵原理及其在生态学研究中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2011,19 (3):295-302]
Yoon CS,Kim HG,Choi WY.First record on the exotic lace bug of Asteraceae,Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) in Korea [J].Journal of Environmental Science International,2013,22 (12):1611-1614.
Yu GY.Corythucha marmorata (Uhler) (Hemiptera,Tingidae) [J].Plant Protection,2014,40 (5):7.[虞国跃.菊方翅网蝽 [J].植物保护,2014,40 (5):7]
Zhao JJ,Gao D,Feng JN.Potential geographic distribution of Daktulosphaira vitifoliae Fitch in China based on Maxent model [J].Journal of Northwest A & F University (Natural Science Edition),2015,43 (11):99-104,112.[赵晶晶,高丹,冯纪年.基于Maxent模型的葡萄根瘤蚜在中国的适生性分析 [J].西北农林科技大学学报 (自然科学版),2015,43 (11):99-104,112]
Zhu GP,Bu WJ,Gao YB,et al.Potential geographic distribution of brown marmorated stink bug invasion (Halyomorpha halys) [J].PLoS ONE,2012,7 (2):e31246.
Zhu GP,Liu GQ,Bu WJ,et al.Ecological niche modeling and its applications in biodiversity conservation [J].Biodiversity Science,2013,21 (1):90-98.[朱耿平,刘国卿,卜文俊,等.生态位模型的基本原理及其在生物多样性保护中的应用 [J].生物多样性,2013,21 (1):90-98]
Zhu GP,Liu Q,Gao YB.Improving ecological niche model transferability to predict the potential distribution of invasive exotic species [J].Biodiversity Science,2014,22 (2):223-230.[朱耿平,刘强,高玉葆.提高生态位模型转移能力来模拟入侵物种的潜在分布 [J].生物多样性,2014,22 (2):223-230]
Zhu ZJ,Wang GY,Qiao F,et al.Potential geographical distribution and habitat suitability analysis for two mirid predators Tytthus chinensis and Cyrtorhinus lividipennis (Hemiptera:Miridae) in rice fields based on MaxEnt model [J].Acta Entomologica Sinica,2017,60 (3):335-346.[祝梓杰,王桂瑶,乔飞,等.基于MaxEnt模型的两种捕食性盲蝽潜在分布区及其适生性分析 [J].昆虫学报,2017,60 (3):335-346]