摘要
房地产业关联度高、带动力强,已经成为国民经济的支柱产业之一,由于房地产市场的不完全竞争性、外部性和准“公共产品”等属性,使得房地产市场并不能保证资源的有效配置,为了达到经济的健康运行政府需要对房地产市场进行宏观调控。由于我国房地产发展严重不平衡,局部地区房地产发展过热,房价上涨过快;局部地区供应结构性矛盾突出;局部地区银行贷款比例过高,金融风险大,融资渠道窄;住房保障体系不够健全。面对我国房地产市场的复杂情况,近年来国家出台了一系列的宏观调控政策,“8.31”大限、国八条、国六条、国十五条、土地增值税、完全付清土地款、连续18次上调银行准备金率等都是采取了“一刀切”的调控方式,并没有充分考虑各个房地产市场的差异性。
本论文在广泛研究分析国内外房地产市场宏观调控及其相关领域研究现状的基础上,根据房地产经济学和宏观调控原理,结合我国房地产市场的特点,首次对我国房地产市场分类宏观调控进行了系统性的研究。
本文构建了房地产市场价格波动理论模型,定量研究了国内房地产市场价格波动特征和非均衡特征。在国内房地产市场非均衡特征研究基础上,设计了基于房地产市场宏观调控的房地产市场分类指标体系,构建了房地产市场分类方法,为我国房地产市场的分类提供了科学分类方法和依据。
系统地提出了我国房地产市场分类宏观调控思路及方案,填补了国内房地产市场分类宏观调控研究的空白,研究结论为我国房地产市场宏观调控政策的优化和完善提供了重要的参考依据。
Real Estate industry turns into Chinese mainstay industry because of its dirve force and high correlation with others industries. Real Estate Market can not allocate its market resource by itself market malfunction of imprecate competition, externalities and quasi-public characteristi. Goverment need macro control Real Estate Market. Chinese Real Estate Market is an unbalance market for different provinces, the developing speed is too rapidly and housing price rised so quickly and the supply structure is irrationality in partly provinces. In the face of complex condition, Chinese government puts forward and implements some measures to control the market, for example, "8.31" Deadline, the Nation Eight Items, the Nation Six Items, the Nation Fifteen Items, land value increment tax, payoff the land fee, continuously raised reserve requirements for commercial lenders the eighteen times and so on, but the Macro-Control policies did not take into account the characterictic of different region.
According to Real Estate economy principle and Macro-Control principle, the paper firstly systematically researched the classing Macro-Control of Chinese Real Estate Market based on a general review on the status of knowledge on real estate macro-control.
The paper constructed the housing price volatility model and empirically studied the characterictic of Chinese Real Estate price volatility and the unbalance market characterics, designed system of classing macro-control, constructed the clustering metheod of Chinese Real Estate Market based on the unbalance market characterics.
The paper systematically put forward the classified Macro-Control policy. The results will optimize and perfect Chinese Real Estate Market Macro-Control and provides the scientific decision on Chinese Real Estate Market Macro-Control.
引文
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