能源价格改革对碳减排影响效应研究——基于电价与碳排放强度的实证分析
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摘要
我国能源价格改革进一步深化,有利于更好地发挥价格杠杆引导资源优化配置的作用,对于推进污染防治、促进绿色发展具有重要意义。本文以电价为切入点,研究我国能源价格改革对碳减排的影响效应。首先分析了1999-2017年我国碳排放的趋势,研究发现:我国碳排放量表现出先升后降的趋势,碳排放强度则基本呈逐年下降趋势,我国碳减排取得成效显著。然后,本文通过实证检验发现:一方面,工业电价是碳减排的重要推动因素;另一方面,政府通过煤电价格联动等政策渠道,形成中介作用,进一步降低了碳排放水平。研究结论表明:能源价格改革有效降低了碳排放强度,有利于推进我国生态文明建设。
The further deepening of China's energy price reform is conducive to better exerting the role of price leverage to guide the optimal allocation of resources, which is of great significance for promoting pollution prevention and promoting green development. This paper takes electricity price as the entry point to study the impact of China's energy price reform on carbon emission reduction. Firstly,the trend of China's carbon emissions from 1999 to 2017 is analyzed. The research finds that China's carbon emissions show a trend of rising first and then decreasing, while carbon emission intensity is basically declining year by year. China's carbon emission reduction has achieved remarkable results. Then,this paper finds through empirical test that on the one hand, industrial electricity price is an important driving factor for carbon emission reduction; on the other hand, the government forms an intermediary role through policy channels such as coal price linkage, which further reduces carbon emission levels. The research conclusions show that energy price reform effectively reduces the intensity of carbon emissions and is conducive to promoting the construction of ecological civilization in China.
The further deepening of China's energy price reform is conducive to better exerting the role of price leverage to guide the optimal allocation of resources, which is of great significance for promoting pollution prevention and promoting green development. This paper takes electricity price as the entry point to study the impact of China's energy price reform on carbon emission reduction. Firstly,the trend of China's carbon emissions from 1999 to 2017 is analyzed. The research finds that China's carbon emissions show a trend of rising first and then decreasing, while carbon emission intensity is basically declining year by year. China's carbon emission reduction has achieved remarkable results. Then,this paper finds through empirical test that on the one hand, industrial electricity price is an important driving factor for carbon emission reduction; on the other hand, the government forms an intermediary role through policy channels such as coal price linkage, which further reduces carbon emission levels. The research conclusions show that energy price reform effectively reduces the intensity of carbon emissions and is conducive to promoting the construction of ecological civilization in China.
引文
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[2]何凌云、林祥燕.能源价格变动对我国碳排放的影响机理及效应研究[J].软科学2011(11).9
[3]高明.以低碳电价促低碳发展[J].中国电力企业管理,2014(23).
[4]董锋、高新起.能源价格对碳排放强度的影响研究--基于独立变量与交叉变量影响的分析[J].价格理论与实践,2016(9).
[5]周亚敏、冯永晟.中国的电价改革与二氧化碳排放--来自市级层面的实证研究与政策启示[J].城市与环境研究,2017(1).
[6]徐晓亮.清洁能源补贴改革对产业发展和环境污染影响研究--基于动态CGE模型分析[J].上海财经大学学报:哲学社会科学版,2018(5).
[7]刘自敏、朱朋虎、李兴.递增阶梯电价政策的价格优化与效果评估--基于个人碳交易视角[J].经济与管理研究,2018(8).
[8]王富忠.物流业碳强度的影响因素研究--基于能源价格和货物周转量的分析[J].价格理论与实践,2018(11).
[9]陈帆、王富忠、李崇岩.能源价格、能源替代与低碳物流发展研究--以浙江省为例[J].价格理论与实践,2019(2).