le5>le="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; FONT-SIZE: 10pt" lang=EN-US>Brittle Failure Mechanism of Multiple Locked Patches in a Seismogenic Fault System and Exploration on a New Way for Earthquake Prediction
详细信息
- 责任者：Qin Siqing (Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics ; Institute of Geology and Geophysics ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Beijing 100029 ; China) ; Xu Tiwei
- 刊名：Chinese Journal of Geophysics
- 出版年：2010
- 卷期：53(4)
- 关键词：孕震构造 ; seismogenic tectonics ; 地震预测 ; earthquake prediction
- 页码：p.1001-1014
- 图表：15 illus., 50 refs.
- 分类号：0500
- issnNo：ISSN0001-5733
- isbnNo：CN11-2074/P
摘要
le="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal>le="LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体" lang=EN-US>///le="FONT-SIZE: 14pt" lang=EN-US>There is even now an opinion that earthquakes could be inherently unpredictable. The argument is that past failures and recent theories suggest fundamental obstacles to prediction. Here, the authors demonstrate that an exponential law for earthquake predictions has been discovered and this law has wide applicability for the predictions of catastrophe including earthquakes, landslides and avalanches.le="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>oft-com:office:office" />