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The Application of Sensitivity Analysis in the Source Rock Maturity History Simulation:An Example from Paleozoic Marine Source Rock of Puguang-5 Well in the Northeast of Sichuan Basin
详细信息   
摘要
By analyzing the influence of input model parameters to the output results, the sensitive parameters in the source rock maturity history simulation can be determined. In this paper, for an example of Puguang-5 well, the authors carry out the sensitivity analysis of erosion thickness during tectonic movements, paleo-surface temperature and paleo-geothermal gradient in the maturity history simulation of the Palaeozoic marine source rock in the northeast of Sichuan Basin, using Easy% Ro chemical kinetic model. The results showed that the present maturity of the Palaeozoic marine source rocks is fully controlled by the erosion thickness during Late-Yanshan to Himalayan movement (since Late Cretaceous), paleo-surface temperature and paleo-geothermal gradient during the late Early Cretaceous, while it is nothing to do with other factors. 

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