Declining public concern about climate change: Can we blame the great recession?
- 作者：Lyle Scruggs ; lyle.scruggs@uconn.edu ; Salil Benegal
- 关键词：Public opinion ; Economic recession ; Climate change ; Global warming ; Unemployment ; United States ; Europe
- 刊名：Global Environmental Change
- 出版年：2012
- 期刊代码：36_09593780
- 类别：env
- 出版时间：May, 2012
- 卷：22
- 期：2
- 页码：505-515
- 文件大小：473 K
摘要
Social surveys suggest that the American public's concern about climate change has declined dramatically since 2008. This has led to a search for explanations for this decline, and great deal of speculation that there has been a fundamental shift in public trust in climate science. We evaluate over thirty years of public opinion data about global warming and the environment, and suggest that the decline in belief about climate change is most likely driven by the economic insecurity caused by the Great Recession. Evidence from European nations further supports an economic explanation for changing public opinion. The pattern is consistent with more than forty years of public opinion about environmental policy. Popular alternative explanations for declining support - partisan politicization, biased media coverage, fluctuations in short-term weather conditions - are unable to explain the suddenness and timing of opinion trends. The implication of these findings is that the 鈥渃risis of confidence鈥?in climate change will likely rebound after labor market conditions improve, but not until then.