体系对抗仿真实验动态控制问题研究
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摘要
针对体系对抗问题复杂、传统静态仿真实验设计方法难以快速求解的问题,提出了动态仿真实验的解决方法。其总体思路是将复杂大问题分解为若干层子问题,进行多分辨率实验,利用实时实验结果控制实验方向和速度,进行序贯实验,最终提高实验效率。按照原理由易到难的顺序,依次探讨了实验次数的动态控制、实验方向的动态控制和多分辨率实验的动态控制问题。为了说明原理,具体介绍了参数估计和假设检验的实验次数控制方法和基于0.618法及梯度法的实验方向控制方法,最后给出了多分辨率仿真实验的求解框架。
To solve the complex problem of system of systems( SOS) countermeasure,a dynamic simulation experiment method is advanced. Firstly,the complex problem is disassembled into several sub-problems to conduct multi-resolution experiments. Secondly,the direction and velocity of the experiments is controlled based on the real-time results to conduct sequential experiments. The dynamic control methods of experiment times,experiment velocity and resolution are discussed in turn.To show the principle of dynamic control,experiment times control methods of parametric estimation and hypothesis testing,and experiment direction control based on 0. 618 method and gradient method are discussed in detail. In the end,the multi-resolution framework of SOS simulation experiment is studied.
To solve the complex problem of system of systems( SOS) countermeasure,a dynamic simulation experiment method is advanced. Firstly,the complex problem is disassembled into several sub-problems to conduct multi-resolution experiments. Secondly,the direction and velocity of the experiments is controlled based on the real-time results to conduct sequential experiments. The dynamic control methods of experiment times,experiment velocity and resolution are discussed in turn.To show the principle of dynamic control,experiment times control methods of parametric estimation and hypothesis testing,and experiment direction control based on 0. 618 method and gradient method are discussed in detail. In the end,the multi-resolution framework of SOS simulation experiment is studied.
引文
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[12]胡运权.运筹学教程[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2007.
[2]胡剑文,常青,张岱,等.作战仿真实验设计与分析[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2010.
[3]李梦汶.联合作战仿真实验的几个基本问题[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2008,22(1):25-29.
[4]吕跃广,方胜良.作战实验[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2007.
[5]柯加山,江敬灼,许仁杰,等.联合作战体系对抗效能评估探索性分析框架[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2005,19(4):58-61.
[6]张明智,胡晓峰,司光亚,等.基于Agent的体系对抗仿真建模方法研究[J].系统仿真学报:2005,17(11):2785-2788.
[7]胡晓峰.战争复杂性与复杂体系仿真问题[J].军事运筹与系统工程,2010,24(3):27-34.
[8]吴红,王磊,杨峰,等.体系对抗仿真中实验次数的自适应控制方法[J].计算机工程,2011,37(3):254-256.
[9]师义民,徐伟,秦超英.数理统计[M].北京:科学出版社,2009.
[10]王凌,张亮,郑大钟.仿真优化研究进展[J].控制与决策,2003,18(3):257-262.
[11]吴冰.相关向量回归元建模关键技术及其应用研究[D].长沙:国防科技大学,2011.
[12]胡运权.运筹学教程[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2007.