中国水泥工业节能和减排潜力分析
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摘要
本文通过对国际不同水泥消费量的分析,基于中国水泥工业发展状况,预估了中国水泥产量从2015年到2040年的三种可能发展趋势;评估每种产量下中国水泥工业的节能潜力及CO_2、SO_2、NO_x减排潜力。结果显示中国水泥行业在能源消耗及CO_2、SO_2、NO_x排放都具有很大的潜力,它们潜力分别11.73%～12.68%、12%～13.3%、31%～35%、29%～33%,并累积带来约4.22亿吨标煤的节约量、约26.53亿吨CO_2减排量、约1648万吨SO_2减排量、约1260万吨NO_x减排量。
Based on the analysis of different international cement consumption and the development of China's cement industry,this paper predicts three possible development trends of China's cement production from 2015 to 2040, and evaluates the energysaving potential and CO_2, SO_2 and NO_X emission reduction potential of China's cement industry under each output. The results show that China's cement industry has great potential in energy consumption and emission of CO_2, SO_2 and NO_X, with the potential of 11.73%～12.68%, 12%～13.3%, 31%～35% and 29%～33% respectively, and the cumulative reduction of 422 million tons of standard coal, 2.653 billion tons of CO_2 emission, 16.48 million tons of SO_2 emission and 12.6 million tons of NO_X emission.
Based on the analysis of different international cement consumption and the development of China's cement industry,this paper predicts three possible development trends of China's cement production from 2015 to 2040, and evaluates the energysaving potential and CO_2, SO_2 and NO_X emission reduction potential of China's cement industry under each output. The results show that China's cement industry has great potential in energy consumption and emission of CO_2, SO_2 and NO_X, with the potential of 11.73%～12.68%, 12%～13.3%, 31%～35% and 29%～33% respectively, and the cumulative reduction of 422 million tons of standard coal, 2.653 billion tons of CO_2 emission, 16.48 million tons of SO_2 emission and 12.6 million tons of NO_X emission.
引文
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[12]International Energy Agency.Tracking industrial energy use and CO_2 emissions[R].Paris:IEA/OECD,2007.
[13]中华人民共和国工业和信息化部原材料工业司.《建材工业发展规划》(2016-2020年)》解读[J].建材发展导向,2016,14(11):2-5.
[2]国家统计局工业交通统计司.中国能源统计年鉴2016[J].2017.
[3]程婷.水泥行业温室气体减排潜力分析[D].合肥工业大学,2014.
[4]王旭.基于生产流程的我国水泥工业碳减排潜力分析[J].中国管理信息化,2015,18(1):117-121.
[5]袁纯清.高性价设备是降低水泥行业能耗的关键[J].工程机械,2013.
[6]崔素萍,刘伟.水泥生产过程CO_2减排潜力分析[J].中国水泥,2008(4):57-59.
[7]戴林,孙勇,房晶瑞,等.水泥工业二氧化硫减排的途径[C]//环境工程2017增刊2.2017.
[8]Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.National Industrial Energy Efficiency Guide 2014[M].
[9]陈章水.水泥工业大气污染物排放标准达标实用技术及实例[M].中国建材工业出版社,2014.
[10]Enerdata.Global energy&CO_2 database[DB/OL].2017[2018-01-15].www.enerdata.fr.
[11]Xu J H,EichhammerW,Fleiter T,et al.China’s energy consumption and CO_2 emissions in cement industry:a perspective from LMDI decomposition analysis[J].Energy Policy,2012,50:821-832.
[12]International Energy Agency.Tracking industrial energy use and CO_2 emissions[R].Paris:IEA/OECD,2007.
[13]中华人民共和国工业和信息化部原材料工业司.《建材工业发展规划》(2016-2020年)》解读[J].建材发展导向,2016,14(11):2-5.