摘要
为研究厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件对登陆我国华南地区台风的影响,选用1951~2016年登陆华南地区台风的统计数据,并分析与厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件的关系。研究结果表明:(1)研究期间共发生19次厄尔尼诺事件与15次拉尼娜事件,且均在夏季爆发的频率最高。(2)厄尔尼诺(El Nino)事件发生时,登陆华南地区的台风数较正常年份偏少,但强度偏强;(3)拉尼娜(La Nina)事件发生时,登陆华南地区的台风数偏多,但强度偏弱。
In order to research the effect of El Nino or La Nina on the typhoon landed in South China,it was selected the statistical data of Typhoon from 1951 to 2016 to study the relationship with El Nino or La Nina event. The results showed that:(1)there were 19 El Nino events and 15 La Nina events occurred during the study period,with the highest frequency in summer.(2)El Nino is closely related to the intensity and frequency of typhoons landed in South China.Under the influence of El Nino event,the number of typhoons that landed in south China was less than normal year with strong intensity.(3)When La Nina event happened,the number of typhoons that landed in south China was more than normal year with weak intensity.
引文
[1]杨绮薇,黄增明,林爱兰.华南登陆台风频数的变化及其与ENSO事件的关系[J].气象,2001,27(3):12~15
[2]何敏,宋文玲,陈兴芳.厄尔尼诺和反厄尔尼诺事件与西北太平洋台风活动[J].热带气象学报,1999,15(1):18~26
[3]Gray,W.M.Atlantic seasonalhuarricane frequency part I:EI Nino and 30mb Qus-biennial oscillation influences Mon[J].Weather and Forecasting,1984,112:1649~1668
[4]Ramage,C.S.,Hori,A.M.Meteorology aspects of EI Nino,Monthly[J].Weather and Forecasting,1981,109:1827~1835
[5]Wang Shaowu,Zhao Zongzi,Zang Hengfan.Relationship between eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and subtropical high in the weastern Pacific[J].Tropical Ocean-atmosphere Newsletter,1984,15(1):13~14
[6]阮均石,Chu.P.S.厄尔尼诺现象与西北太平洋台风活动关系的初步分析[J].南京气象学院学报,1988,11(1):1~14
[7]唐晓春,彭鹏.厄尔尼诺事件的强度与登陆广东热带气旋数量的关系初探[J].地理科学,2005,25(6):6690~6696
[8]陈世发,查轩.1951~2016年ENSO对登陆广东省热带气旋的影响[J].应用海洋学学报,2018,37(1):26~34
[9]吴梦初,延军平.太阳活动与ENSO事件对云南省旱涝灾害的影响[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(4):280~284
[10]张冲,赵景波.厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件对长江流域气候的影响研究[J].水土保持通报,2011,31(3):1~6
[11]陈世发,查轩.福建省1956~2013年降雨侵蚀力与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)的关系[J].水土保持学报,2017,31(4):38~43