基于网络层次分析法和模糊综合评判的配电网运行管理水平综合评价体系研究
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摘要
当前配电网运行管理工作缺乏明确的评价体系及方向性指导,通过综合运用网络层次分析法(analytic network process,ANP)和模糊综合评判方法,实现对配电网运行管理水平的综合评价。首先,考虑指标间的相互关联,利用ANP系统性地构建相关指标体系,并求解各指标权重;然后采用模糊综合评价方法,对相关定量及定性指标分别进行评价,从而建立完整的评价体系。选取2个区域配电网作为案例,分析其在运行管理中存在的优势与不足,为进一步加强配电网运行管理提供借鉴。
In view of the lack of a clear evaluation system and directional guidance for the current operation and management of distribution networks, a comprehensive evaluation method of ANP and Fuzzy is applied to assess the distribution network operation and management level. Firstly, the ANP structure is systematically used to establish the indicator system and to solve the weights of each index, considering the interrelationship between indicators. Then, the relevant quantitative and qualitative indicators are estimated respectively by Fuzzy to establish a complete evaluation system. On this basis, two regional distribution networks are selected as examples to analyze their advantages and disadvantages in operation management and some guidelines are proposed for further strengthening operation and management level of distribution network.
In view of the lack of a clear evaluation system and directional guidance for the current operation and management of distribution networks, a comprehensive evaluation method of ANP and Fuzzy is applied to assess the distribution network operation and management level. Firstly, the ANP structure is systematically used to establish the indicator system and to solve the weights of each index, considering the interrelationship between indicators. Then, the relevant quantitative and qualitative indicators are estimated respectively by Fuzzy to establish a complete evaluation system. On this basis, two regional distribution networks are selected as examples to analyze their advantages and disadvantages in operation management and some guidelines are proposed for further strengthening operation and management level of distribution network.
引文
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[20]林济铿,李童飞,赵子明,等.基于熵权模糊综合评价模型的电力系统黑启动方案评估[J].电网技术,2012,36(2):115-120.LIN Jikeng,LI Tongfei,ZHAO Ziming,et al.Assessment on power system black-start schemes based on entropy-weighted fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model[J].Power System Technology,2012,36(2):115-120.
[2]和敬涵,邓晓洋,苗友忠,等.考虑高压配网接线方式的综合电网可靠性评估[J].电网技术,2017,41(4):1204-1212.HE Jinghan,DENG Xiaoyang,MIAO Youzhong,et al.Reliability evaluation of integrated power systems considering connection modes of HV distribution network[J].Power System Technology,2017,41(4):1204-1212.
[3]丁家满,沈书琳,李川.基于区间偏好和MADM的配电网智能化规划方案评估方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2018,46(23):18-27.DING Jiaman,SHEN Shulin,LI Chuan.Evaluation method of intelligent planning for distribution network based on interval preference and MADM[J].Power System Protection and Control,2018,46(23):18-27.
[4]李晓军,于腾凯,刘翔宇.基于三角模糊数的配电网项目投资效益评价方法[J].供用电,2015,32(10):62-66.LI Xiaojun,YU Tengkai,LIU Xiangyu.An investment benefit assessment method based on triangular fuzzy numbers for distribution network[J].Distribution&Utilization,2015,32(10):62-66.
[5]谢晓帆,刘秋林,李斌,等.基于主成分分析法与对应分析法的县域配电网状况评估[J].智慧电力,2018,46(6):68-73.XIE Xiaofan,LIU Qiulin,LI Bin,et al.Evaluation of country distribution network status based on principal component analysis and correspondence analysis[J].Smart Power,2018,46(6):68-73.
[6]李峰,徐有琳,孙源文,等.配电台区低电压预判方法研究[J].电力需求侧管理,2017,19(6):37-41,53.LI Feng,XU Youlin,SUN Yuanwen,et al.Study on low voltage predictive method in distribution area[J].Power Demand Side Management,2017,19(6):37-41,53.
[7]刘苑红,张磐,马丽,等.智能配用电园区评价指标体系及评价方法研究[J].供用电,2017,34(7):49-53.LIU Yuanhong,ZHANG Pan,MA Li,et al.Research on the assessment indexes and assessment methods of smart power distribution and utilization park[J].Distribution&Utilization,2017,34(7):49-53.
[8]杨小彬,李和明,尹忠东,等.基于层次分析法的配电网能效指标体系[J].电力系统自动化,2013,37(21):146-150,195.YANG Xiaobin,LI Heming,YIN Zhongdong,et al.Energy efficiency index system for distribution network based on analytic hierarchy process[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2013,37(21):146-150,195.
[9]张心洁,葛少云,刘洪,等.智能配电网综合评估体系与方法[J].电网技术,2014,38(1):40-46.ZHANG Xinjie,GE Shaoyun,LIU Hong,et al.Comprehensive assessment system and method of smart distribution grid[J].Power System Technology,2014,38(1):40-46.
[10]冯新龙,孙岩,林声宏,等.配电网综合评价指标体系及评估方法[J].广东电力,2013,26(11):20-25,53.FENG Xinlong,SUN Yan,LIN Shenghong,et al.Comprehensive evaluation index system of distribution network and evaluation method[J].Guangdong Electric Power,2013,26(11):20-25,53.
[11]韩震焘,黄志伟,葛少云,等.城市配电网综合评价体系[J].电网技术,2012,36(8):95-99. HAN Zhentao,HUANG Zhiwei,GE Shaoyun,etal.Acomprehensive evaluation system of urban distribution network[J].Power System Technology,2012,36(8):95-99.
[12]SAATY T L.Decision making with dependence and feedback:the analytical network process[M].Pittsburgh:RWS Publications,1996:63-107.
[13]朱蕾,蒋浩.基于改进主成分分析的低压配电网供电所综合评价方法[J].电力工程技术,2018,37(4):38-44.ZHU Lei,JIANG Hao.Comprehensive evaluation method based on improved principal component analysis of low voltage distribution network power substations[J].Electric Power Engineering Technology,2018,37(4):38-44.
[14]田春筝,殷奕恒,关朝杰,等.基于供电分区的中高压配电网综合评价策略[J].电力系统保护与控制,2018,46(21):152-159.TIAN Chunzheng,YIN Yiheng,GUAN Chaojie,et al.Comprehensive evaluation strategy of medium and high voltage distribution network based on power supply division[J].Power System Protection and Control,2018,46(21):152-159.
[15]余松,吴延琳,王主丁,等.中压配电网规划项目优化排序混合方法[J].智慧电力,2018,46(1):93-99.YU Song,WU Yanlin,WANG Zhuding,et al.Hybrid method of optimal sorting for mid-voltage distribution network planning projects[J].Smart Power,2018,46(1):93-99.
[16]兰继斌,徐扬,霍良安,等.模糊层次分析法权重研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2006,26(9):107-112.LAN Jibin,XU Yang,HUO Liang'an,et al.Research on the priorities of fuzzy analytical hierarchy process[J].Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice,2006,26(9):107-112.
[17]王钦,文福拴,刘敏,等.基于模糊集理论和层次分析法的电力市场综合评价[J].电力系统自动化,2009,33(7):32-37.WANG Qin,WEN Fushuan,LIU Min,et al.Combined use of fuzzy set theory and analytic hierarchy process for comprehensive assessment of electricity markets[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2009,33(7):32-37.
[18]穆永铮,鲁宗相,乔颖,等.基于多算子层次分析模糊评价的电网安全与效益综合评价指标体系[J].电网技术,2015,39(1):23-28.MU Yongzheng,LU Zongxiang,QIAO Ying,etal.Acomprehensive evaluation index system of power grid security and benefit based on multi-operator fuzzy hierarchy evaluation method[J].Power System Technology,2015,39(1):23-28.
[19]刘俊娟,王炜,程琳.基于梯形隶属函数的区间数模糊评价方法[J].系统工程与电子技术,2009,31(2):390-392.LIU Junjuan,WANG Wei,CHENG Lin.Interval number fuzzy evaluation based on trapezoid subordinate function[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2009,31(2):390-392.
[20]林济铿,李童飞,赵子明,等.基于熵权模糊综合评价模型的电力系统黑启动方案评估[J].电网技术,2012,36(2):115-120.LIN Jikeng,LI Tongfei,ZHAO Ziming,et al.Assessment on power system black-start schemes based on entropy-weighted fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model[J].Power System Technology,2012,36(2):115-120.