我国耕地非农化研究进展及展望
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摘要
[目的]通过梳理我国耕地非农化的研究进展,研判现有研究成效及不足,并结合新时代耕地非农化的诉求,厘定未来研究导向和重点,为增强耕地非农化成果精准性提供参考和借鉴。[方法]该文采用文献综述法和对比分析法总结我国耕地非农化的研究及发展趋势。[结果](1)从研究内容上看,我国耕地非农化研究内容丰富,耕地非农化发展现状主要涉及耕地非农化时空演变特征及规律,发展异质性显著;耕地非农化对经济发展的正面影响较为明显,但对社会及生态环境的负面影响更为突出;驱动力及驱动机制对耕地非农化的作用具有两面性;耕地非农化体制机制、技术层面的调控因地区性发展差异而有所不同;研究多以耕地非农化的静态为主,动态性不强,对耕地非农化发展过程的控制与管控研究存在不足。(2)从研究尺度上看,我国耕地非农化研究集中在以全国和省市域为主的宏观地域上,对全国以及各省份及其内部范畴的耕地非农化做出研究分析,该尺度范围内耕地非农化发展大体呈不均衡态势,而目前我国对于微观层面上的研究相对较少。(3)从研究方法上看,学者们多以定性方法为主,采用定性与定量相结合的方法研究土地利用问题,通过数理统计分析研究耕地非农化的驱动机制,并结合遥感与GIS技术对土地利用变化进行动态监测,但多目标、多学科综合集成的智能体技术应用较少。[结论]创新耕地非农化的研究方法,构建智能决策模型;加强耕地非农化过程管控研究,提高实时监控力度与吻合度;厘清微观主体的行为特征,完善多尺度、多层次结构是今后研究的重点。
Through combing the progress of the research on the non-agriculture of cultivated land in China,the author analyzed the existing research results and shortcomings,and combined the demands of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in the new era to determine the future research orientation and focus,so as to provide reference and reference for enhancing the precision of the non-agriculture of cultivated land. This paper summarized the research and development trend of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in China by means of literature review method and comparative analysis method. The result showed that (1) From the perspective of research content,the research content of non-agricultural arable land in China was rich,and the development status of non-agricultural arable land mainly involved the characteristics and laws of the non-agricultural space-time evolution of arable land,and the development heterogeneity was significant; The positive impact of the non-agriculture of cultivated land on economic development was more obvious,but the negative impact on the social and ecological environment was more prominent; The driving force and driving mechanism had two sides on the role of the non-agriculture of cultivated land;The regulation of the system,mechanism and technology of the non-agricultural land varied according to the regional development. The research mainly focused on the static and dynamic development of arable land,and the research on the control and control of the process of the development of arable land non-agriculture was insufficient. (2) From the research scale,the research on the non-agricultural cultivation of cultivated land in China focused on the macro-region,which was dominated by the whole country,provinces and cities,and made a research and analysis on the non-agricultural cultivation of arable land throughout the country,provinces and their internal areas.The development of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in this scale was generally uneven,and there was relatively little research on the microscopic level in China at present. (3) From the point of view of research methods,scholars mainly used qualitative methods,qualitative and quantitative methods to study land use problems,and used mathematical statistical analysis to study the driving mechanism of non-farming of arable land. In combination with remote sensing and GIS technology,the dynamic monitoring of land use changes was carried out,but the multi-objective,multi-disciplinary integrated agent technology had less application. In the future,the focus of research will be on innovating the research methods of the non-farming of arable land,constructing intelligent decision-making models,strengthening the research on the control of the non-farming process of arable land,improving the real-time monitoring and coincidence,clarifying the behavior characteristics of the microsubjects,and improving the multi-scale and multi-level structure.
Through combing the progress of the research on the non-agriculture of cultivated land in China,the author analyzed the existing research results and shortcomings,and combined the demands of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in the new era to determine the future research orientation and focus,so as to provide reference and reference for enhancing the precision of the non-agriculture of cultivated land. This paper summarized the research and development trend of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in China by means of literature review method and comparative analysis method. The result showed that (1) From the perspective of research content,the research content of non-agricultural arable land in China was rich,and the development status of non-agricultural arable land mainly involved the characteristics and laws of the non-agricultural space-time evolution of arable land,and the development heterogeneity was significant; The positive impact of the non-agriculture of cultivated land on economic development was more obvious,but the negative impact on the social and ecological environment was more prominent; The driving force and driving mechanism had two sides on the role of the non-agriculture of cultivated land;The regulation of the system,mechanism and technology of the non-agricultural land varied according to the regional development. The research mainly focused on the static and dynamic development of arable land,and the research on the control and control of the process of the development of arable land non-agriculture was insufficient. (2) From the research scale,the research on the non-agricultural cultivation of cultivated land in China focused on the macro-region,which was dominated by the whole country,provinces and cities,and made a research and analysis on the non-agricultural cultivation of arable land throughout the country,provinces and their internal areas.The development of the non-agriculture of cultivated land in this scale was generally uneven,and there was relatively little research on the microscopic level in China at present. (3) From the point of view of research methods,scholars mainly used qualitative methods,qualitative and quantitative methods to study land use problems,and used mathematical statistical analysis to study the driving mechanism of non-farming of arable land. In combination with remote sensing and GIS technology,the dynamic monitoring of land use changes was carried out,but the multi-objective,multi-disciplinary integrated agent technology had less application. In the future,the focus of research will be on innovating the research methods of the non-farming of arable land,constructing intelligent decision-making models,strengthening the research on the control of the non-farming process of arable land,improving the real-time monitoring and coincidence,clarifying the behavior characteristics of the microsubjects,and improving the multi-scale and multi-level structure.
引文
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[40]LEE L.Factors affecting land use change at the urban-rural fringe.Growth and Change,1979,10(4):25-31.
[41]吴先华.耕地非农化研究综述.地理与地理信息科学,2006,22(1):51-56.
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[2]折晓婷,吕雷.城镇化与耕地非农化空间特征及协调关系研究---以四川省为例.南方农村,2015,3:31-35.
[3]马才学,赵利利,柯新利.湖北省耕地非农化压力的时空演变格局.长江流域资源与环境,2016,25(1):71-78.
[4]李瑞华,王锐,李明秋.河南省耕地非农化规模及时空配置研究.湖南农业科学,2009,6:65-68.
[5]任平,吴涛,周介铭.耕地非农化的空间过程与扩散路径研究---以成都市龙泉驿区为例.中国土地科学,2015,29(12):68-73.
[6]汤莉,周宝同,邓健.重庆市耕地非农化时空变化与调控途径研究.安徽农业科学,2009,37(1):293-295.
[7]熊念,胡红兵.基于TM图像的黄冈市耕地非农化时空变化特征与驱动力分析.湖北农业科学,2015,54(18):4424-4428.
[8]张孝宇,谢新朋,张安录.武汉市耕地非农化的空间非均衡发展与空间扩散路径分析.自然资源学报,2014,29(10):1649-1659.
[9]张孝宇,张安录.武汉市耕地非农化的空间自相关分析.长江流域资源与环境,2015,24(5):781-788.
[10]张孝宇,赖宗裕,张安录.基于地块尺度的耕地非农化驱动力空间异质性研究---以武汉市为例.长江流域资源与环境,2015,24(6):994-1002.
[11]谭荣,曲福田,郭忠兴.中国耕地非农化对经济增长贡献的地区差异分析.长江流域资源与环境,2005,3:277-281.
[12]张基凯,吴群,黄秀欣.耕地非农化对经济增长贡献的区域差异研究---基于山东省17个地级市面板数据的分析.资源科学,2010,32(5):959-969.
[13]黄秀欣.耕地非农化对经济增长的贡献研究---以山东省为例.南京农业大学,2009.
[14]李晓龙.经济增长与耕地非农化的互动关系研究---以湖北省为例.华中农业大学,2007.
[15]刘丽辉.广东耕地占用对经济增长贡献的时空特点及区域差异性研究.广东农业科学,2017,44(8):157-162.
[16]梁霄,董利民.我国耕地非农化管制的风险及其防范.湖北师范学院学报,2015,35(2):97-100.
[17]宋戈,霍圣夫,邹朝晖.耕地非农化风险及增值收益分配机制研究---以哈尔滨市为例.中国土地科学,2015,29(3):53-61.
[18]ERIC M W,ANTA T M,RALPH J A.Past and projected rural land conversion in the US at State,regional and national levels.Landscape and Urban Planning.2009,89(1):37-48.
[19]ANKE D L,JOHN C.Optional land conversions and growth with Uncertain Biodiversity Costs.Ecological Economics,2007,61(2):542-549.
[20]DALGARRD T,HUTCHINGS N,DRAGOSITS U,et al.Effects of farm heterogeneity and methods for upscaling on modelled nitrogen losses in agricultural landscapes.Environmental Pollution,2011,11(159):3183-3192.
[21]RASHID M,HAMID F,BYERLEE D.The trade-off between economic efficiency and food self-sufficiency in using Sudan's irrigated land resources.Food Policy,2000,25(1):35-54.
[22]HARUN T.Agricultural land use change and sustainable use of land resources in the Mediterranean region of Turkey.Arid Environments,2003,54(5):553-564.
[23]袁美训,黄茹华,张锡森.浅论耕地非农化对土地保护的影响.科学论坛,2009,11:134.
[24]慕智玉.四川省城市化进程中容许耕地非农转化量研究.绵阳师范学院学报,2014,33(5):93-97.
[25]路燕,路晓明.城市化进程中耕地保护研究---以河南省为例.安徽农业科学,2011,39(11):6772-6774.
[26]汤莉.重庆市耕地非农化与耕地保护研究.西南大学,2010.
[27]李双双.我国经济发展过程中耕地非农化问题初步研究.华中农业大学,2008.
[28]刘沛,段建南,周卫军,等.城镇化发展下县域耕地非农化及其粮食安全评价---以湖南省邵东县为例.农村经济与科技,2017,9:3-6.
[29]唐沿源.对我国土地非农化问题的经济学分析---基于地方政府博弈的角度.经济经纬,2011,4:116-120.
[30]孔宪华,褚小山.农村耕地非农化过程中农民利益保护机制探索.吉林农业,2010,6:21-23.
[31]隆宗佐.耕地非农化问题研究.科技进步与对策,2003,18:165-167.
[32]叶宇航.我国耕地非农化的驱动因素研究.科学决策,2015,9:33-50.
[33]张光宏,崔许锋.耕地资源非农化驱动机制及其区域差异性.中国农业科学,2015,48(8):1632-1640.
[34]崔许锋.中低山区耕地资源非农化的驱动因素分析.农业经济与管理,2014,1:65-72.
[35]温利华,刘红耀,张广录,等.资源型城市耕地非农化及关联因子研究---以河北省邯郸市为例.西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2013,41(8):125-132.
[36]高杨,张红梅,苏海民.淮南市耕地非农化驱动因素的灰色关联分析.安阳师范学院学报,2016,2:61-64.
[37]周长江,刘新平.基于多驱动力的乌鲁木齐市耕地非农化因素分析.新疆农垦经济,2012,7:13-16.
[38]周长江,赵俊.乌鲁木齐市耕地非农化多驱动力因素分析.安徽农学通报,2012,18(11):11-12.
[39]SETO K C,KAUFMANN R K.Modeling the drivers of urban land use change in the pearl river delta,China:Integrating remote sensing with socioeconomic data.land Economics,2003,79(1):106-121.
[40]LEE L.Factors affecting land use change at the urban-rural fringe.Growth and Change,1979,10(4):25-31.
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