基于Logistic的外来务工人员住房保障意愿影响因素研究——以广州为例
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摘要
基于广东省广州市2017年2164名外来务工人员的问卷调查数据,对来穗务工人员的个人特征、居住特征以及住房保障需求意愿等因素进行Logistics回归分析。发现年龄、月收入、来穗务工年长、留穗计划、住房满意度和住房类型六大因素对其保障意愿影响显著。建议以"租购并举"的住房制度为契机,综合考虑不同类型的外来务工人员住房需求意愿,设计多元化住房保障产品,并规范租赁市场,整治城中村,发展产权式保障房。
Based on the questionnaire survey data of 2164 migrant workers in Guangzhou,Guangdong Province in 2017,the logistic regression analysis was conducted on the basic situation of the migrant workers,their living conditions,and their willingness of housing security. The study found that the six factors have a significant impact on their willingness of housing security,which is age,monthly income,time to work in Guangzhou,plan to stay in Guangzhou,housing satisfaction,and type of residence. It is recommended that the housing system of renting and housing purchase should be taken as an opportunity to comprehensively consider the willingness of different types of migrant workers in housing needs,and design diversified housing security products,regulate the leasing market,rectify the village in the city,and develop property-based security housing.
Based on the questionnaire survey data of 2164 migrant workers in Guangzhou,Guangdong Province in 2017,the logistic regression analysis was conducted on the basic situation of the migrant workers,their living conditions,and their willingness of housing security. The study found that the six factors have a significant impact on their willingness of housing security,which is age,monthly income,time to work in Guangzhou,plan to stay in Guangzhou,housing satisfaction,and type of residence. It is recommended that the housing system of renting and housing purchase should be taken as an opportunity to comprehensively consider the willingness of different types of migrant workers in housing needs,and design diversified housing security products,regulate the leasing market,rectify the village in the city,and develop property-based security housing.
引文
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[3]Harris J R,Michael P Todaro.Migration,Unemployment,and Development:A Two-sector Analysis[J].American Economic Review,1970(60):126-142.
[4]Turner&F.C.John.Housingpatterns,SettlementPatterns,and UrbanDevelopmentinModernizingCountries[J].Journal of the American Planning Association,1968(6):34.
[5]Harris R.&C.Giles.A Mixed Messgage:The Agents and Forms of International Housing Policy[J].Habitat International,2003(27):167-191.
[6]王二红,冯长春.外来务工人员留城意愿影响因素研究--基于重庆市的实证分析[J].城市发展研究,2013,20(1):85-90.
[7]马万里,陈玮.建立健全面向农民工的城市住房保障体系研究--杭州农民工基本住房状况调查与政策建议[J].城市规划,2008,32(5):38-44.
[8]吴维平,王汉生.寄居大都市:京泸两地流动人口住房现状分析[J].社会学研究,2002(3):92-110.
[9]朱祥波,谭术魁,王斯亮,李燚.城市流动人口的住房选择:事实与解释[J].南方人口,2015(3):35-44.
[10]齐慧峰,王伟强.基于人口流动的住房保障制度改善[J].城市规划,2015,39(2):31-37.
[11]胡长明,马涛,郭斌奇,杨建华.保障人群住房需求度的研究--以西安市为例[J].工程管理学报,2014,28(4):133-137.
[12]吴翔华,虞敏敏,左龙.外来务工人员住房保障意愿研究--基于南京市外来务工人员调研[J].调研世界,2015(7):28-31.