军用机场消防风险指标权重确定方法
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摘要
军用机场消防风险因素复杂多样,为消除火灾隐患,对其风险评估指标及权重计算方法进行分析研究。在分析军用机场消防风险特征的基础上,对军用机场消防建设指标进行分析,建立风险评估指标体系;在传统指标权重确定方法的基础上,基于主成分分析法和层次分析法,分别得到客观权重和主观权重;基于最大方差的思想,通过主客观权重的线性组合得到集成权重,并通过实例验证。结果表明:该方法能最大程度减小因方法导致的权重偏差,具有较强的实用性和可操作性。
In view of the complex and diverse risk factors of military airport fire risk,the risk assessment index and weight calculation method are analyzed and studied.Based on the analysis of the fire risk characteristics of military airport,the indicators of military airport fire prevention are analyzed and the risk assessment index system is established.With traditional weighting ascertaining method,based on the principal component analysis method and AHP,the objective weight and subjective weight are obtained.Based on the idea of maximum variance,acquire the integrated weight by linear combination of objective weight and subjective weight,and verified the weight by test.The results show that the method can greatly reduce the weight variance with practicability and operability.
In view of the complex and diverse risk factors of military airport fire risk,the risk assessment index and weight calculation method are analyzed and studied.Based on the analysis of the fire risk characteristics of military airport,the indicators of military airport fire prevention are analyzed and the risk assessment index system is established.With traditional weighting ascertaining method,based on the principal component analysis method and AHP,the objective weight and subjective weight are obtained.Based on the idea of maximum variance,acquire the integrated weight by linear combination of objective weight and subjective weight,and verified the weight by test.The results show that the method can greatly reduce the weight variance with practicability and operability.
引文
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[14]孙莹,鲍新中.一种基于方差最大化的组合赋权评价方法及其应用[J].中国管理科学,2011,19(6):141-148.
[2]万星火,檀亦丽.主成分分析原始数据的预处理问题[J].中国卫生统计,2005,22(5):327-329.
[3]李婉棣,罗东坤.油气区块优选客观权重确定方法[J].行业论坛,2015,34(10):18-20.
[4]BRYSON N,MOBOLURIN A.An action learning evaluation procedure for multiple criteria decision making problems[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1997,96(2):379-386.
[5]姚泽清,张洛嘉,熊安邦,等.基于层次分析的主成分分析法及其应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2016,46(18):176-183.
[6]姜鹏远,赵夫来,刘松林,等.基于AHP和群体决策的土地定级因素权重的确定[J].测绘科学技术学报,200926(1):73-75.
[7]DU X Y,YIN Q J,HUANG K D,et al.Transformation between qualitative variables and quantity based on cloud models and its application[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics.2008,30(4):772-776.
[8]WANG T C,LEE H S D.Developing a fuzzy TOP-SISapproach based on subjective weights and objective weights[J].Expert Systems with Applications,2009,36(5):8980-8985.
[9]XU X Z.A note on the subjective and objective integrated approach to determine attribute weights[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2004,156(2):530-532.
[10]WANG Y M,LUO Y.Integration of correlations with standard deviations for determining attribute weights in multiple attribute decision making[J].Mathematical and Computer Modeling,2010,51(1-2):1-12.
[11]蒋慧峰,朱文杰.一种最优组合赋权算法[J].湖北工业大学学报,2007,22(5):78-80.
[12]郑兰祥,王燕.基于组合赋权分析的系统重要性银行识别研究[J].长沙大学学报,2016,30(2):102-104,121.
[13]FU C,YANG S L.An attribute weight based feedback model for multiple attributive group decision analysis problems with group consensus requirements in evidential reasoning[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2011,212(1):179-189.
[14]孙莹,鲍新中.一种基于方差最大化的组合赋权评价方法及其应用[J].中国管理科学,2011,19(6):141-148.