LNG船舶港口泄漏事故情景构建及危害程度分析
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摘要
情景构建理论是处理重大突发事件的前沿应急管理理论。提高突发事件的应急处理能力,是提前开展战略性研究和应急准备工作的一种有效的科学手段。针对LNG船舶港口碰撞发生泄漏事故,结合重大突发事件情景构建所需要的"情景-应对"模式进行描述,建立LNG船舶在港口卸船期间发生泄漏事故的情景构建方案,通过分析得到LNG船舶碰撞后发生意外泄漏后产生的火灾、爆炸等危害。此案例的研究方法对LNG船舶港口泄漏事故应急管理体系具有较好的参考和指导意义。
The theory of scenario constriction is one of the frontier emergency management theories for dealing with major emergencies,which can improve the disposal capability of emergencies,and it's an effective scientific method to carry out the strategic research and emergency preparedness in advance. Aiming at the leakage accident of LNG ship in port caused by collision,the scenario-response mode required by the scenario constriction of major emergencies was described. The construction scheme about the leakage accident of LNG ship in port during the unloading period was established,and the hazards of fire and explosion caused by the unexpected leakage of LNG ship after collision were obtained through the analysis. The research method of this case has good reference and guiding significance for the emergency management system on the leakage accident of LNG ship in port.
The theory of scenario constriction is one of the frontier emergency management theories for dealing with major emergencies,which can improve the disposal capability of emergencies,and it's an effective scientific method to carry out the strategic research and emergency preparedness in advance. Aiming at the leakage accident of LNG ship in port caused by collision,the scenario-response mode required by the scenario constriction of major emergencies was described. The construction scheme about the leakage accident of LNG ship in port during the unloading period was established,and the hazards of fire and explosion caused by the unexpected leakage of LNG ship after collision were obtained through the analysis. The research method of this case has good reference and guiding significance for the emergency management system on the leakage accident of LNG ship in port.
引文
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[3]陈国华,成松柏.LNG泄漏事故后果模拟与定量风险评估[J].天然气工业,2007,27(6):133-135.CHEN Guohua,CHENG Songbai.Consequence simulation on LNGleakage accidents and its quantitative risk assessment[J].Natural Gas Industry,2007,27(6):133-135.
[4]高建丰,袁健威,徐文祥,等.基于事故树分析的薄膜型LNG船泄漏事故原因分析[J].水运管理,2018,40(3):5-8,12.GAO Jianfeng,YUAN Jianwei,XU Wenxiang,et al.Reason analysis of thin film type LNG ship leakage accident based on fault tree analysis[J].Shipping Management,2018,40(3):5-8,12.
[5]王强,杨眉.LNG储罐泄漏事故后果分析[J].重庆科技学院学报(自然科学版),2013,15(2):72-75.WANG Qiang,YANG Mei.Analysis on the accident consequence of leaking risk for LPG Tank[J].Journal of Chongqing University of Science&Technology,2013,15(2):72-75.
[6]盛勇,孙庆云,王永明.突发事件情景演化及关键要素提取方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(1):17-21.SHENG Yong,SUN Qingyun,WANG Yongming.Emergency scenario evolution and extraction method of key elements[J].Journal of Safety Science&Technology,2015,11(1):17-21.
[7]夏正霖,夏登友.基于模糊规则推理的商业综合体火灾情景构建方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(10):75-79.XIA Zhenglin,XIA Dengyou.Study on scenario construction method of commercial complex fire based on fuzzy rule reasoning[J].Journal of Safety Science&Technology,2017,13(10):75-79.
[8]何守慧,朱汉华,范世东,等.LNG船舶泄漏及事故后果预测研究[J].武汉理工大学学报,2014,36(1):88-93.HE Shouhui,ZHU Hanhua,FAN Shidong,et al.Research on spills from LNG carriers and forecast of accident consequences[J].Journal of Wuhan University of Technology,2014,36(1):88-93.
[9]孙山.民航重大飞行事故情景构建研究[D].北京:首都经济贸易大学,2014.
[10]王旭坪,杨相英,樊双蛟,等.非常规突发事件情景构建与推演方法体系研究[J].电子科技大学学报(社科版),2013,15(1):22-27.WANG Xuping,YANG Xiangying,FAN Shuangjiao,et al.A methodology of scenario construction and deduction of unconventional emergency[J].Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition),2013,15(1):22-27.
[11]王永明.事故灾难类重大突发事件情景构建概念模型[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(2):5-8.WANG Yongming.Conceptual model on scenario construction for major accidents[J].Journal of Safety Science&Technology,2016,12(2):5-8.
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