中国与“一带一路”沿线国家农产品贸易网络结构与合作态势
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摘要
对中国与"一带一路"沿线国家农产品贸易网络结构、贸易特征和合作伙伴关系的实证分析表明,"一带一路"沿线国家农产品贸易空间关联网络密度较高,中国在这一空间关联网络内处于中心位置; 2007～2016年,中国仍然存在一定程度的贸易逆差,但进出口贸易差额逐步趋缓;中国与"一带一路"沿线国家间的农产品进出口贸易关系日渐紧密,双方贸易间互补性与竞争性并存,互补性强度大于竞争性强度;"一带一路"沿线国家在中国的农产品贸易市场中居于不同的战略位势,与中国形成了差异化的贸易合作伙伴关系。为此,中国应采取强化区域间战略对接、加大政府政策支持力度、完善区域合作网络等农产品贸易合作措施,促进农产品贸易合作的顺利开展。
An empirical analysis of China's agricultural product trade network structure, trade characteristics and partnership relationship along the Belt and Road Initiatives(BRI) shows that the density of the spatial correlation network of agricultural products trade along the BRI is relatively high, and China is in the central position in this spatial correlation network; China still exists a certain degree of trade deficit in 2007 ～2016, but the balance of import and export trade is gradually slowing down. The relationship between China's agricultural products import and export trade with the countries along the BRI is becoming more and closer. The complementation and competitiveness coexist in bilateral trade, and the intensity of complementation is greater than that of competitiveness. In the exchange market, they occupy different strategic positions and form different trade partnerships with China. To this end, China should take such measures as strengthening strategic docking between regions, increasing government policy support and improving regional cooperation network to promote the smooth development of agricultural trade cooperation.
An empirical analysis of China's agricultural product trade network structure, trade characteristics and partnership relationship along the Belt and Road Initiatives(BRI) shows that the density of the spatial correlation network of agricultural products trade along the BRI is relatively high, and China is in the central position in this spatial correlation network; China still exists a certain degree of trade deficit in 2007 ～2016, but the balance of import and export trade is gradually slowing down. The relationship between China's agricultural products import and export trade with the countries along the BRI is becoming more and closer. The complementation and competitiveness coexist in bilateral trade, and the intensity of complementation is greater than that of competitiveness. In the exchange market, they occupy different strategic positions and form different trade partnerships with China. To this end, China should take such measures as strengthening strategic docking between regions, increasing government policy support and improving regional cooperation network to promote the smooth development of agricultural trade cooperation.
引文
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[22]季凯文,周吉.“一带一路”建设下中国对外直接投资效率及其影响因素——基于随机前沿引力模型[J].经济与管理评论,2018(4):138-148.
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[2]罗明忠,林家宝,张奕婧.制度创新与农业发展:中国经验与国际比较[J].中国农村经济,2017(11):90-96.
[3]孙红雨,佟光霁.绿色贸易壁垒对中俄农产品出口贸易的影响研究[J].改革,2019(2):149-157.
[4]孙楚仁,张楠,刘雅莹.“一带一路”倡议与中国对沿线国家的贸易增长[J].国际贸易问题,2017(2):83-96.
[5]何敏,张宁宁,黄泽群.中国与“一带一路”国家农产品贸易竞争性和互补性分析[J].农业经济问题,2016(11):51-60.
[6]赵东麒,桑百川.“一带一路”倡议下的国际产能合作——基于产业国际竞争力的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2016(10):3-14.
[7]徐海俊,武戈,戴越.“一带一路”建设与农业国际合作:开放共享中的农业转型[J].中国农村经济,2016(4):91-95.
[8]李富佳,董锁成,原琳娜,等.“一带一路”农业战略格局及对策[J].中国科学院院刊,2016(6):678-688.
[9]朱晶,毕颖.贸易便利化对中国农产品出口深度和广度的影响——以“丝绸之路经济带”沿线国家为例[J].国际贸易问题,2018(4):60-71.
[10]余妙志,梁银锋,高颖.中国与南亚地区农产品贸易的竞争性与互补性——以“一带一路”战略为背景[J].农业经济问题,2016(12):83-94.
[11]曹慧,郭永田,刘景景,等.现代农业产业体系建设路径研究[J].华中农业大学学报,2017(2):31-36.
[12]张芸,张斌.农业合作:共建“一带一路”的突破口[J].农业经济,2016(8):3-5.
[13]曹云华,胡爱清.“一带一路”战略下中国-东盟农业互联互通合作研究[J].太平洋学报,2015(12):73-82.
[14]沈琼.“一带一路”战略背景下中国与中亚农业合作探析[J].河南农业大学学报,2016(1):140-146.
[15]詹淼华.“一带一路”沿线国家农产品贸易的竞争性与互补性——基于社会网络分析方法[J].农业经济问题,2018(2):103-114.
[16]姜巍.“一带一路”沿线基础设施建设与中国的策略选择[J].国际贸易,2017(12):44-52.
[17]辛娜,袁红林.全球价值链嵌入与全球高端制造业网络地位:基于增加值贸易视角[J].改革,2019(3):61-71.
[18]徐梁.基于中国与“一带一路”国家比较优势的动态分析[J].管理世界,2016(2):170-171.
[19]邱斌,周勤,刘修岩,等.“‘一带一路’背景下的国际产能合作:理论创新与政策研究”学术研讨会综述[J].经济研究,2016(5):188-192.
[20]卓丽洪,贺俊,黄阳华.“一带一路”战略下中外产能合作新格局研究[J].东岳论丛,2015(10):175-179.
[21]侯敏,邓琳琳.中国与中东欧国家贸易效率及潜力研究——基于随机前沿引力模型的分析[J].上海经济研究,2017(7):105-116.
[22]季凯文,周吉.“一带一路”建设下中国对外直接投资效率及其影响因素——基于随机前沿引力模型[J].经济与管理评论,2018(4):138-148.
[23]肖红军,程俊杰,黄速建.可持续发展视角下推进“一带一路”建设的政策取向[J].改革,2018(7):31-42.