关于软件开发效益风险优化评估仿真
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摘要
对软件开发效益风险的优化评估,能够有效提升软件开发收益,降低风险概率。对软件开发效益的风险评估,需要确定软件开发效益风险识别的权重,构建软件开发效益风险评估指标体系。传统方法根据各风险因素的重要程度不同,建立重要程度模型,但忽略了构建风险评估指标体系,导致评估精度偏低。提出基于模糊理论的软件开发效益风险评估方法,首先通过分析软件开发效益风险识别需要遵循的原则及软件开发效益风险识别特点,实现软件开发效益风险识别,在此基础上,通过确定软件开发效益风险识别的权重,并利用模糊理论对软件开发过程中成本、进度和质量的风险进行评估,构建软件开发效益风险评估指标体系,从而实现基于模糊理论的软件开发效益风险评估。实验结果表明,所提方法评估的准确度较高,评估的实时性较好,推动了相关课题的研究发展。
This paper presents an evaluation method of benefit risk of software development based on fuzzy theory.Firstly,principles and characteristics of benefit risk of software development are analyzed to realize identification of software development benefits risk. On this basis,fuzzy theory is used to evaluate the cost,schedule and quality risk in software development process through confirming the weight of software development benefit risk identification,and the software development risk benefit evaluation index system is built,so as to realize evaluation of software development benefit risk based on fuzzy theory. Simulation result shows that the proposed method has high accuracy. The real-time evaluation is good. It promotes the research and development of related topics.
This paper presents an evaluation method of benefit risk of software development based on fuzzy theory.Firstly,principles and characteristics of benefit risk of software development are analyzed to realize identification of software development benefits risk. On this basis,fuzzy theory is used to evaluate the cost,schedule and quality risk in software development process through confirming the weight of software development benefit risk identification,and the software development risk benefit evaluation index system is built,so as to realize evaluation of software development benefit risk based on fuzzy theory. Simulation result shows that the proposed method has high accuracy. The real-time evaluation is good. It promotes the research and development of related topics.
引文
[1]张俊林,ZHANGJun-lin.网络安全风险动态评估方法研究[J].计算机仿真,2016,33(10):356-360.
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[4]程菊,等.基于贝叶斯网络的医疗设备临床应用风险评估研究[J].中国医院管理,2016,36(5):78-80.
[5]唐成华,等.一种基于GA-FAHP的软件漏洞风险评估方法[J].计算机科学,2015,42(9):134-138.
[6]耿秀丽,张永政.基于犹豫模糊集的改进FMEA风险评估方法[J].计算机集成制造系统,2017,23(2):340-348.
[7]王浩伦,徐翔斌,甘卫华.基于三角模糊软集的FMEA风险评估方法[J].计算机集成制造系统,2015,21(11):3054-3062.
[8]唐爱国,胡春华.模糊理论在软件项目风险评估中的应用[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),2017,48(2):411-417.
[9]李从刚,童中文,曹筱珏.基于BP神经网络的P2P网贷市场信用风险评估[J].管理现代化,2015,35(4):94-96.
[10]刘沛清,等.考虑元件综合重要度的电网安全性风险评估方法[J].电力自动化设备,2015,35(4):132-138.
[2]张新杰,等.岩溶区高速公路改扩建工程基础施工安全风险评估[J].中外公路,2015,35(2):291-296.
[3]姜茸,等.云计算技术安全风险评估研究[J].电子技术应用,2015,41(3):111-115.
[4]程菊,等.基于贝叶斯网络的医疗设备临床应用风险评估研究[J].中国医院管理,2016,36(5):78-80.
[5]唐成华,等.一种基于GA-FAHP的软件漏洞风险评估方法[J].计算机科学,2015,42(9):134-138.
[6]耿秀丽,张永政.基于犹豫模糊集的改进FMEA风险评估方法[J].计算机集成制造系统,2017,23(2):340-348.
[7]王浩伦,徐翔斌,甘卫华.基于三角模糊软集的FMEA风险评估方法[J].计算机集成制造系统,2015,21(11):3054-3062.
[8]唐爱国,胡春华.模糊理论在软件项目风险评估中的应用[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),2017,48(2):411-417.
[9]李从刚,童中文,曹筱珏.基于BP神经网络的P2P网贷市场信用风险评估[J].管理现代化,2015,35(4):94-96.
[10]刘沛清,等.考虑元件综合重要度的电网安全性风险评估方法[J].电力自动化设备,2015,35(4):132-138.