基于水位波动关联度的济南西部与济南泉群地下水关系研究
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摘要
济南市以"泉城"闻名,近年来城市化进程的加快及地下水开采量的增大,对济南市区泉群喷涌产生了一定程度的影响。对2014～2017年济南西部玉符河下游的杜家庙、南八里、朱家庄等地及市区泉群的趵突泉、黑虎泉的岩溶水位波动规律进行分析,在地下水位波动幅度计算的基础上,利用灰色关联分析方法,从一个新的评价指标"水位波动关联度"的角度探寻济西与济南市区泉群地下水间的联系,为济南市保泉供水提供探索依据。以15d为地下水位均值计算周期,先计算全年的水位波动关联度,再将关联度的计算结果划分为:4～7月、8～11月和12月至次年3月三个时段,分别分析济西各岩溶井水位与泉水位的波动关联度。结果表明,12月至次年3月关联度的计算结果受外界干扰最小,这一时段济西与市区泉群水位波动关联度的均值为0.854,属高关联度,两者地下水位变化规律极其相似,两个地下水系统在统计学上存在着极强的联系。
Jinan is famous for its "Spring City". In recent years, the acceleration of urbanization and increase in groundwater exploitation have a certain impact on the Spring waters spewing of Jinan city. This paper analyzed the fluctuation of karst water table in the villages of Dujiamiao, Nanbali and Zhujiazhuang in the downstream of the Yufu River in western Jinan during 2014-2017, and the Baotu Spring and Black Tiger Spring in the spring area of Jinan City. Based on the calculation of the fluctuating range of groundwater table, the groundwater relationship between western Jinan and spring area was studied based on the gray relational analysis method of the point of view of the relevance to water table fluctuation in a new evaluation index. The spring protection, and urban water supply to provide a basis for exploration. Taking 15 days as the period of average groundwater table calculation, the correlation degree of water table fluctuation in the whole year was calculated first, and then the calculation results of the correlation degree were divided into three periods: April-July,August-November and December-next March. The fluctuation correlation degree of western Jinan and Jinan Spring catchment were analyzed, respectively. The results show that the correlation between December and next March is the least disturbed by the outside world.During this period, the mean value of the correlation between the water table fluctuation in western Jinan and Jinan spring area is 0.854,which is a high correlation, the variation law of the groundwater table very similar, there is a strong connection between the two groundwater systems.
Jinan is famous for its "Spring City". In recent years, the acceleration of urbanization and increase in groundwater exploitation have a certain impact on the Spring waters spewing of Jinan city. This paper analyzed the fluctuation of karst water table in the villages of Dujiamiao, Nanbali and Zhujiazhuang in the downstream of the Yufu River in western Jinan during 2014-2017, and the Baotu Spring and Black Tiger Spring in the spring area of Jinan City. Based on the calculation of the fluctuating range of groundwater table, the groundwater relationship between western Jinan and spring area was studied based on the gray relational analysis method of the point of view of the relevance to water table fluctuation in a new evaluation index. The spring protection, and urban water supply to provide a basis for exploration. Taking 15 days as the period of average groundwater table calculation, the correlation degree of water table fluctuation in the whole year was calculated first, and then the calculation results of the correlation degree were divided into three periods: April-July,August-November and December-next March. The fluctuation correlation degree of western Jinan and Jinan Spring catchment were analyzed, respectively. The results show that the correlation between December and next March is the least disturbed by the outside world.During this period, the mean value of the correlation between the water table fluctuation in western Jinan and Jinan spring area is 0.854,which is a high correlation, the variation law of the groundwater table very similar, there is a strong connection between the two groundwater systems.
引文
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[11]施红星,刘思峰,方志耕,等.灰色振幅关联度模型[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2010,30(10):1828-1833.(SHI Hongxing, LIU Sifeng,FANG Zhigeng, et al. Grey amplitude incidence model[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice, 2010,30(10):1828-1833.(in Chinese))
[12]罗上华,马蔚纯,王祥荣,等.城市环境保护规划与生态建设指标体系实证[J].生态学报, 2003,23(1):45-55.(LUO Shanghua,MA Weichun, WANG Xiangrong, et al. A case study on indicator system of urban environmental protection and ecological construction[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2003,23(1):45-55.(in Chinese))
[13]张郑贤,刘艺,张锋贤.基于Holt-Winters模型的济南泉群地下水资源保护研究[J].地球环境学报, 2018,9(3):257-265.(ZHANG Zhengxian, LIU Yi, ZHANG Fengxian. Study on groundwater resources protection in Jinan spring area based on holt-winters model[J]. Journal of Earth Environment, 2018,9(3):257-265.(in Chinese))
[2]韩合忠,高淑会,国伟华.基于加权马尔可夫模型的济南市降水丰枯状况预测研究[J].水文, 2012,32(5):72-76.(HAN Hezhong,GAO Shuhui, GUO Weihua. Research on precipitation forecasting based on weighted Markov model for Jinan city[J]. Journal of China Hydrology, 2012,32(5):72-76.(in Chinese))
[3]董咏梅,苏光星,李占华.从济西抽水试验探济南泉群西边界[J].水资源保护, 2004,20(3):58-59.(DONG Yongmei, SU Guangxing,LI Zhanhua. Exploration of west boundary of Jinan spring region based on pumping test in west area of Jinan city[J]. Water Resources Protection, 2004,20(3):58-59.(in Chinese))
[4]吴兴波,牛景涛,牛景霞,等.人工回灌对济南泉水系统修复的影响[J].人民黄河, 2004,26(8):20-22.(WU Xingbo, NIU Jingtao,NIU Jingxia, et al. Influence of artificial recharge of groundwater on rehabilitation of spring system in Jinan[J]. Yellow River,2004,26(8):20-22.(in Chinese))
[5]张杰,茅樵,宋玉琴.济南市玉符河回灌补源保泉研究[J].水利水电科技进展, 2002,22(3):19-20.(ZHANG Jie, MAO Qiao, SONG Yuqin. Preserving springs of Jinan city by recharge of Yufu river[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources,2002,22(3):19-20.(in Chinese))
[6]牛景涛,吴兴波,宋星原,等.济南回灌补源与抽水试验研究[J].人民长江, 2004,35(11):47-48.(NIU Jingtao, WU Xingbo, SONG Xingyuan, et al. Test and study of underground water recharge for water sources supplement and water pumping in Jinan city[J].Yangtze River, 2004,35(11):47-48.(in Chinese))
[7]商广宇,王明海.新水源开发与济南保泉供水[J].水文, 2000,20(4):46-47.(SHANG Guangyu, WANG Minghai. Alternative water source development for spring conservation and water supply in Jinan[J]. Journal of China Hydrology, 2000,20(4):46-47.(in Chinese))
[8] Wang W, Page D, Zhou Y, et al. Roof runoff replenishment of groundwater in Jinan, China[J]. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2015,20(3):B5014005.
[9]祁晓凡,杨丽芝,韩晔,等.济南泉群地下水位动态及其对降水响应的交叉小波分析[J].地球科学进展, 2012,27(9):969-978.(QI Xiaofan, YANG Lizhi, Han Ye, et al. Cross wavelet analysis of groundwater level regimes and precipitation-groundwater level regime in Jinan spring region[J]. Advances in Earth Sciences,2012,27(9):969-978.(in Chinese))
[10]冷爱国,刘福臣.济南泉群滞迟效应及泉流量预测分析[J].人民黄河, 2011,33(4):36-37.(LENG Aiguo, LIU Fuchen. Analysis on lag effect of spring groups and spring discharge forecast of Jinan[J]. Yellow River, 2011,33(4):36-37.(in Chinese))
[11]施红星,刘思峰,方志耕,等.灰色振幅关联度模型[J].系统工程理论与实践, 2010,30(10):1828-1833.(SHI Hongxing, LIU Sifeng,FANG Zhigeng, et al. Grey amplitude incidence model[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory&Practice, 2010,30(10):1828-1833.(in Chinese))
[12]罗上华,马蔚纯,王祥荣,等.城市环境保护规划与生态建设指标体系实证[J].生态学报, 2003,23(1):45-55.(LUO Shanghua,MA Weichun, WANG Xiangrong, et al. A case study on indicator system of urban environmental protection and ecological construction[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2003,23(1):45-55.(in Chinese))
[13]张郑贤,刘艺,张锋贤.基于Holt-Winters模型的济南泉群地下水资源保护研究[J].地球环境学报, 2018,9(3):257-265.(ZHANG Zhengxian, LIU Yi, ZHANG Fengxian. Study on groundwater resources protection in Jinan spring area based on holt-winters model[J]. Journal of Earth Environment, 2018,9(3):257-265.(in Chinese))
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