中国城市人地异速关系演变特征及其驱动因素
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摘要
人地关系协调是促进区域经济持续发展的重要基础。基于分形理论的异速生长模型,对中国293个地级市人地异速关系的时空演变特征及影响因素进行了实证研究。结果显示:时间上,2006-2016年中国城市整体人地异速关系的协调性较弱,以正异速生长为主,正异速三级和正异速二级城市占城市总量的74%;空间上,正异速三级和正异速二级城市在空间上主要集中分布在胡焕庸线以东区域;影响因素上,城市行政区位和土地市场化率是影响异速生长系数变化的两大首要因素,在一定程度上,行政地位直接作用于人地关系,并影响着土地市场化进程。
The coordination of man-land relationship is a powerful guarantee to promote the sustainable development of regional economy. The allometric growth relationship of 293 cities in China is analyzed by using the Allometric Growth Model to reflect the characteristics of space and time evolution,and the driving factors of the allometric growth coefficient is analyzed.The study results show that: Firstly,in the past 2006-2016 years,the allometic coordination between urban land expansion and population growth in China is relatively weak,and all cities in China are dominated by cities with positive allometric level 3 and cities positive allometric level 2,which account for 74% of the total number of cities; From the spatial distribution point of view,the cities with positive allometric level 3 and cities positive allometric level 2 mainly aggloerates in the east of Huanyong Line; Among the basic factors influencing the allometric growth coefficient,the administrative position of the city and the land marketization rate of the city are the two most important factors,and,to a certain extent,the administrative status directly affects the relation between man and land,and influences the process of land market.
The coordination of man-land relationship is a powerful guarantee to promote the sustainable development of regional economy. The allometric growth relationship of 293 cities in China is analyzed by using the Allometric Growth Model to reflect the characteristics of space and time evolution,and the driving factors of the allometric growth coefficient is analyzed.The study results show that: Firstly,in the past 2006-2016 years,the allometic coordination between urban land expansion and population growth in China is relatively weak,and all cities in China are dominated by cities with positive allometric level 3 and cities positive allometric level 2,which account for 74% of the total number of cities; From the spatial distribution point of view,the cities with positive allometric level 3 and cities positive allometric level 2 mainly aggloerates in the east of Huanyong Line; Among the basic factors influencing the allometric growth coefficient,the administrative position of the city and the land marketization rate of the city are the two most important factors,and,to a certain extent,the administrative status directly affects the relation between man and land,and influences the process of land market.
引文
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[26]朱志远,崔玮,苗建军.城市土地集约利用测度及其空间溢出效应[J].华东经济管理,2017(6):45-51
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[28]徐康宁,王剑.自然资源丰裕程度与经济发展水平关系的研究[J].经济研究,2006(1):78-89
[29]王智勇.基础教育与人口集聚---基于地级市面板数据的分析[J].人口与发展,2017(6):14-25
[2]B Mandelbrot.The Fractal Geometry of Nature[M].San Francisco,1982:65-72
[3]M Batty,P Longley.A geometry of form and function[J].Academic Press,1994(6):1447-1472
[4]LA Staeheli.Growth Management:The Planning Challenge of the1990s[J].Economic Geography,1994(1):93-94
[5]Russ Lopes,Patricia Hynes.Sprawl in the 1990s:Measurement,distribution,and trends[J].Urban Affairs Review,2003(3):325-355
[6]Charles Hughes,Richard Spray.Smart communities and smart growth:maximizing benefits for the corporation[J].Journal of Corporate Real Estate,2002(3):207-214
[7]Faisal A Mubarak.Urban growth boundary policy and residential suburbanization:Riyadh Saudi Arabia[J].Habitat International,2004(28):125-129
[8]陈彦光.Beckmann城市体系异速生长模型的理论基础与实证分析[J].科技通报,2002(5):360-367
[9]刘继生,陈彦光.山东省城市人口-城区面积的异速生长特征探讨[J].地理科学,2005(2):135-141
[10]叶浩,庄大昌.城市体系规模结构研究的新方法---位序累积规模模型[J].地理科学,2017(6):825-832
[11]孙斌栋,李琬.城市规模分布的经济绩效---基于中国市域数据的实证研究[J].地理科学,2016(3):328-334
[12]刘建党,唐杰,梁植军.长三角珠三角城市人口和经济规模分布特征比较研究---基于齐普夫定律的视角[J].城市问题,2018(1):17-25
[13]周鹏超,杨永芳.中国城市人口和用地规模结构的演变及异速生长关系[J].城市问题,2018(6):4-13
[14]李郁,陈刚强,许学强.中国城市异速增长分析[J].地理学报,2009(4):399-407
[15]赵岑,冯长春.我国城市化进程中城市人口与城市用地相互关系研究[J].城市发展研究,2010(10):113-118
[16]董立峰,王林林,李德一.近20年来山东省城市异速生长分析[J].城市问题,2012(8):47-51
[17]鲁俊锋,李豫新.新疆城市经济发展中人口与用地关系研究---基于异速生长模型的分析[J].地域研究与开发,2013(6):121-126
[18]郑银龙,南灵.陕西省城市人口与城市用地异速生长关系研究[J].信阳师范学院学报(自然科学版),2013(3):370-373
[19]吴金华,吴国栋.基于城市人口-城区面积异速生长关系的西安市城市化水平测算模型研究[J].国土资源科技管理,2008(1):92-95
[20]陈彦光.分形城市系统:标度·对称·空间复杂性[M].科学出版社,2008:16-20
[21]陈彦光,张莉.信阳城市人口-城区用地异速生长分析[J].地理科学进展,2014(8):1058-1067
[22]贺三维,邵玺.京津冀地区人口-土地-经济城镇化空间集聚及耦合协调发展研究[J].经济地理,2018(1):95-102
[23]张鹏岩等.人口城镇化与土地城镇化的耦合协调关系---以中原经济区为例[J].经济地理,2018(8):145-154
[24]王成新,王波涛,王翔宇.基于结构视角的中国人口城市化与土地城市化异速增长研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016(8):135-141
[25]杨万平,张志浩,卢晓璐.中国经济发展的可持续性及其影响因素分析[J].管理学刊,2015(5):37-45
[26]朱志远,崔玮,苗建军.城市土地集约利用测度及其空间溢出效应[J].华东经济管理,2017(6):45-51
[27]王青等.中国土地市场化进程的时空特征分析[J].资源科学,2007(1):43-47
[28]徐康宁,王剑.自然资源丰裕程度与经济发展水平关系的研究[J].经济研究,2006(1):78-89
[29]王智勇.基础教育与人口集聚---基于地级市面板数据的分析[J].人口与发展,2017(6):14-25