中国年度间动态投入产出模型研究
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摘要
文章基于1987—2012年中国投入产出表,探索了年度间动态投入产出模型的构建方法,并将2005—2012年6部门表的编制实例作了简要介绍。其中对可比价表的转换以列和总投入作为控制数进行调整平衡;对年度间动态投入产出表上三角形矩阵的流量分解问题提出了"流量分解三步法"。研究表明:"年度间动态投入产出表"可编,也可构建相应的"年度间动态投入产出模型"。
Based on Chinese input-output tables from 1987 to 2012, this paper explores the method of building an inter-annual dynamic input-output model and briefly introduces the examples of compiling the table of 6 departments from 2005 to 2012,among which column and total input are used as control numbers to adjust and balance the conversion of comparable price tables.Meanwhile, a three-step flow decomposition method is proposed to solve the flow decomposition problem in upper triangular matrix of the annual dynamic input-output table. The research shows that the "inter-annual dynamic input-output table" can be compiled, and the corresponding "inter-annual dynamic input-output model" can also be constructed.
Based on Chinese input-output tables from 1987 to 2012, this paper explores the method of building an inter-annual dynamic input-output model and briefly introduces the examples of compiling the table of 6 departments from 2005 to 2012,among which column and total input are used as control numbers to adjust and balance the conversion of comparable price tables.Meanwhile, a three-step flow decomposition method is proposed to solve the flow decomposition problem in upper triangular matrix of the annual dynamic input-output table. The research shows that the "inter-annual dynamic input-output table" can be compiled, and the corresponding "inter-annual dynamic input-output model" can also be constructed.
引文
[1]王晓辉.中国产业结构的动态投入产出模型分析[D].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工程大学博士学位论文,2010.
[2]Wu X M,Jiang L.Computer Analysis Algorithm for Stability of the Extended Dynamic Leontief Input-output Model[R].International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Natural Computing,2009.
[3]Kieddrowski R,Turnpike A.Theorem in the Closed Dynamic Leontief Model With a Singular Matrix of Capital Coefficients[J].Economic Systems Reseach,2001,(2).
[4]Silva M S,Lima T P.Looking for Nonnegative Solutions of a Leontief Dynamic Model[J].Linear Algebra and Its Applications,2003,(364).
[5]张金水.多重嵌套的可计算非线性动态投入产出模型及其平衡增长解[J].系统科学与数学,2000,(20).
[6]Zhou P,Fan L W,Tang H W.On Stability Analysis of Multiple Objective Dynamic Input-Output Model[J].Applied Mathematics and Computation,2006,(177).
[7]Tong L,Wang L Y,Ding R,et al.Study on the Dynamic Input-Outpu Model With Coal Mine Safety[J].Procedia Engineering.2011,(26).
[8]郝晓红,张金水.动态投入产出模型及其在高等教育成本分析中的应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2007,(37).
[9]成定平.扩大消费和出口的产业结构调整方向--基于动态投入产出模型的分析[J].经济学家,2011,(5).
[10]董承章.投入产出分析[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2000.
[11]刘起运,彭志龙.中国1992-2005年可比价投入产出序列表及分析[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2010.
[12]李强,薛天栋.中国经济发展部门分析兼新编可比价投入产出序列表[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1998.
[13]高雪敏,李静萍,许健.国民经济核算原理与中国实践[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[14]陈锡康,王会娟.投入占用产出技术[M].北京:科学出版社,2016./
[2]Wu X M,Jiang L.Computer Analysis Algorithm for Stability of the Extended Dynamic Leontief Input-output Model[R].International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Natural Computing,2009.
[3]Kieddrowski R,Turnpike A.Theorem in the Closed Dynamic Leontief Model With a Singular Matrix of Capital Coefficients[J].Economic Systems Reseach,2001,(2).
[4]Silva M S,Lima T P.Looking for Nonnegative Solutions of a Leontief Dynamic Model[J].Linear Algebra and Its Applications,2003,(364).
[5]张金水.多重嵌套的可计算非线性动态投入产出模型及其平衡增长解[J].系统科学与数学,2000,(20).
[6]Zhou P,Fan L W,Tang H W.On Stability Analysis of Multiple Objective Dynamic Input-Output Model[J].Applied Mathematics and Computation,2006,(177).
[7]Tong L,Wang L Y,Ding R,et al.Study on the Dynamic Input-Outpu Model With Coal Mine Safety[J].Procedia Engineering.2011,(26).
[8]郝晓红,张金水.动态投入产出模型及其在高等教育成本分析中的应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2007,(37).
[9]成定平.扩大消费和出口的产业结构调整方向--基于动态投入产出模型的分析[J].经济学家,2011,(5).
[10]董承章.投入产出分析[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,2000.
[11]刘起运,彭志龙.中国1992-2005年可比价投入产出序列表及分析[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2010.
[12]李强,薛天栋.中国经济发展部门分析兼新编可比价投入产出序列表[M].北京:中国统计出版社,1998.
[13]高雪敏,李静萍,许健.国民经济核算原理与中国实践[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2007.
[14]陈锡康,王会娟.投入占用产出技术[M].北京:科学出版社,2016./