南丰县关键气象因子变化对蜜橘产量的影响
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摘要
通过对南丰县1981—2017年气象资料与蜜橘(Citrus reticulata Blanco.)统计产量数据,采用线性气候倾向、SPSS相关性等方法进行分析,探讨了蜜橘产量与气象因子的关系。结果表明,南丰县近37年的柑橘面积、总产量呈增加趋势;年平均气温、年积温与年平均产量呈显著相关,与降水量、降水日数、日照时数相关不显著。柑橘年平均产量与3月下旬、6月中旬、7月下旬、8月上旬、9月上旬、11月上旬、11月中旬最低气温,6月中旬平均气温,11月中旬降水量呈显著正相关,与6月上旬日照时数呈显著负相关。
Based on the ground meteorological data from 1981 to 2017 and the statistical output data of citrus(Citrus reticulata Blanco.),the relationship between citrus output and meteorological factors was discussed by linear climate trend rate and correlation coefficient analysis. The results show that the planting area and total yield of citrus and year average yield in Nanfeng County in the past 37 years revealed an increasing trend. Through correlation analysis, mean annual temperatures,annual accumulated temperature were significantly positively correlated with citrus year average yield, however the annual precipitation,rainy days,sunshine duration were uncorrelated or un-significant. Average maximum air temperature in late March and June,in middle July and Novembe,in front July and August and November;average minimum air temperature in middle June,annual precipitation in middle November were significantly positively correlated with citrus of year average yield; however the sunshine in front June were significantly negatively correlated with it.
Based on the ground meteorological data from 1981 to 2017 and the statistical output data of citrus(Citrus reticulata Blanco.),the relationship between citrus output and meteorological factors was discussed by linear climate trend rate and correlation coefficient analysis. The results show that the planting area and total yield of citrus and year average yield in Nanfeng County in the past 37 years revealed an increasing trend. Through correlation analysis, mean annual temperatures,annual accumulated temperature were significantly positively correlated with citrus year average yield, however the annual precipitation,rainy days,sunshine duration were uncorrelated or un-significant. Average maximum air temperature in late March and June,in middle July and Novembe,in front July and August and November;average minimum air temperature in middle June,annual precipitation in middle November were significantly positively correlated with citrus of year average yield; however the sunshine in front June were significantly negatively correlated with it.
引文
[1]黄寿波,金志凤.柑橘优质高产栽培与气象[M].第一版.北京:气象出版社,2010.
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[3]吴红敏,杨清培,曾娇,等.不同生草间作处理对柑橘园温度及产量的影响[J].江西农业大学学报,2015,37(2):239-248.
[4]殷剑敏,缪启龙,李迎春,等.南丰蜜桔冻害的气候指标及风险评估[J].中国农业气象,2008,29(4):507-510.
[5]卢冬梅.90年代以来2次严重冻害对江西柑桔生产的影响与今后对策[J].江西农业大学学报,2001,23(5):125-128.
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[8]李振轮,谢德体.柑橘生长与生态因子的关系研究进展[J].中国农学通报,2003,19(6):181-184,189.
[9]何寿仁.南丰柑桔物候与气象关系分析及物候期预测[J].江西农业学报,2012,24(6):187-190.
[10]南丰蜜桔种植面积70万亩总产量15亿公斤综合产值90亿元[EB/OL].http://www.jxnf.cn/zixun/1391.html,2015-6-16.
[11]南丰县第十七届人民代表大会第三次会议上政府工作报告[EB/OL].http://www.jxnf.gov.cn/main/zwgk/gzbg/1_19920/default.shtm,2018-07-02
[12]邓秀新,彭抒昂.柑橘学[M].2013年8月第1版.北京:中国农业出版社,2013.
[13]黄寿波,金志凤.柑橘优质高产栽培与气象[M].2010年12月第1版.北京:气象出版社,2010.
[14]何亮,谢远玉,金国花.去年11月以来多雨寡照和冻害造成今年柑橘花量异常偏少[EB/OL].http://nyqx.xn121.com/nqxw/lb/1838250.shtml,2016-5-11.
[15]谢远玉,赖晓桦,朱凌金,等.气象条件对柑桔果实膨大速度的影响[J].中国农业气象,2007,28(4):406-408.
[2]何寿仁,齐伟.江西南丰蜜橘3次典型异常气象灾害分析与思考[J].中国园艺文摘,2015(3):8-11.
[3]吴红敏,杨清培,曾娇,等.不同生草间作处理对柑橘园温度及产量的影响[J].江西农业大学学报,2015,37(2):239-248.
[4]殷剑敏,缪启龙,李迎春,等.南丰蜜桔冻害的气候指标及风险评估[J].中国农业气象,2008,29(4):507-510.
[5]卢冬梅.90年代以来2次严重冻害对江西柑桔生产的影响与今后对策[J].江西农业大学学报,2001,23(5):125-128.
[6]倪超,顾海敏,何永坤,等.涪陵区关键气候因子变化对柑橘产量的影响[J].江西农业学报,2017,29(8):29-33.
[7]何寿仁.江西南丰县南丰蜜桔主要气象灾害变化趋势[J].中国南方果树,2013,42(6):42-45.
[8]李振轮,谢德体.柑橘生长与生态因子的关系研究进展[J].中国农学通报,2003,19(6):181-184,189.
[9]何寿仁.南丰柑桔物候与气象关系分析及物候期预测[J].江西农业学报,2012,24(6):187-190.
[10]南丰蜜桔种植面积70万亩总产量15亿公斤综合产值90亿元[EB/OL].http://www.jxnf.cn/zixun/1391.html,2015-6-16.
[11]南丰县第十七届人民代表大会第三次会议上政府工作报告[EB/OL].http://www.jxnf.gov.cn/main/zwgk/gzbg/1_19920/default.shtm,2018-07-02
[12]邓秀新,彭抒昂.柑橘学[M].2013年8月第1版.北京:中国农业出版社,2013.
[13]黄寿波,金志凤.柑橘优质高产栽培与气象[M].2010年12月第1版.北京:气象出版社,2010.
[14]何亮,谢远玉,金国花.去年11月以来多雨寡照和冻害造成今年柑橘花量异常偏少[EB/OL].http://nyqx.xn121.com/nqxw/lb/1838250.shtml,2016-5-11.
[15]谢远玉,赖晓桦,朱凌金,等.气象条件对柑桔果实膨大速度的影响[J].中国农业气象,2007,28(4):406-408.