广西县域农村发展与交通优势度的空间协同性及互动效应研究
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摘要
本研究从社会经济基础、农业生产与农民生活水平、社会支撑基础3个方面构建农村发展评价模型,定量分析广西农村发展与交通优势度的空间协同性及二者相互驱动机制和效应。结果显示:1)在全域空间范围内,农村发展水平对交通优势度的驱动效应比交通优势度对农村发展水平的驱动效应大。2)在局域空间范围内,二者相互驱动效应存在空间异质性。两者相互驱动发展模式可分为相互强驱动、相互较强驱动、相互较弱驱动、相互弱驱动(无明显驱动)、农业发展水平强驱动、农业发展水平较强驱动、农业发展水平较弱驱动、交通优势度强驱动、交通优势度较强驱动和交通优势度较弱驱动十种。3)广西整体农村发展水平较低,增速较慢且县域间差异逐渐增大,农村发展水平与交通优势度水平耦合协调度不高。
Based on social-economic basis, agricultural productivity and farmers' living standard, and social support foundation and applying the quantitative analysis method, this paper examined the mechanism and interaction effects between rural development and transportation advantage in Guangxi Province. Result show that: 1) From the whole province perspective, the effects of rural development driven by transportation advantage were stronger than the effects of transportation advantage driven by rural development; 2) From regional perspective, the interaction mechanism between rural development and transportation advantage showed significant heterogeneity with ten different patterns,including: mutual strong to strong, mutual less than strong to less than strong, mutual better than weak to better than weak, mutual weak to weak, strong agricultural development driven, less than strong agricultural development driven,better than weak agricultural development driven, strong transportation advantage driven, less than strong transportation advantage driven, and better than weak transportation advantage driven; and 3) The provincial rural development level was low with slow growth and increasing regional heterogeneity, and the integration degree between rural development and transportation advantages was low, too.
Based on social-economic basis, agricultural productivity and farmers' living standard, and social support foundation and applying the quantitative analysis method, this paper examined the mechanism and interaction effects between rural development and transportation advantage in Guangxi Province. Result show that: 1) From the whole province perspective, the effects of rural development driven by transportation advantage were stronger than the effects of transportation advantage driven by rural development; 2) From regional perspective, the interaction mechanism between rural development and transportation advantage showed significant heterogeneity with ten different patterns,including: mutual strong to strong, mutual less than strong to less than strong, mutual better than weak to better than weak, mutual weak to weak, strong agricultural development driven, less than strong agricultural development driven,better than weak agricultural development driven, strong transportation advantage driven, less than strong transportation advantage driven, and better than weak transportation advantage driven; and 3) The provincial rural development level was low with slow growth and increasing regional heterogeneity, and the integration degree between rural development and transportation advantages was low, too.
引文
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[16]杨忍,刘彦随,龙花楼,等.中国乡村转型重构研究进展与展望--逻辑主线与内容框架[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(8):1019-1030.Yang R,Liu Y S,Long H L,et al.Research progress and prospect of rural transformation and reconstruction in China:Paradigms and main content[J].Progress in Geography,2015,34(8):1019-1030.
[17]刘彦随.中国东部沿海地区乡村转型发展与新农村建设[J].地理学报,2007,62(6):563-570.Liu Y S.Rural transformation development and new countryside construction in eastern coastal area of China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2007,62(6):563-570.
[18]杨友孝,蔡运龙.中国农村资源、环境与发展的可持续性评估--SEEA方法及其应用[J].地理学报,2000,55(5):596-606.Yang Y X,Cai Y L.Sustainable valuation for resources and environment and development in rural China-The SEEA and its application research[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2000,55(5):596-606.
[19]陈川,赵妮娜.交通环境变化对农村经济发展的影响-以湖北宜昌为例[J].农业现代化研究,2007,28(3):298-302.Chen C,Zhao N N.Influence of traffic environment diversification on Yichang rural economic development[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2007,28(3):298-302.
[20]孟召宜.地方小交通的构建与农村经济可持续发展研究-以江苏省为例[J].地域研究与开发,2002,21(4):20-23.Meng Z Y.The construction of local lower communication and the sustainable development of rural economy-The case of Jiangsu Province[J].Regional Research and Development,2002,21(4):20-23.
[21]陈春生,吴群琪.基于城乡经济“一体化”的农村交通运输发展研究[J].西安财经学院学报,2012,23(1):65-70.Chen C S,Wu Q Q.Research on development of rural traffic and transportation based on economic integration of urban and rural areas[J].Journal of Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,2012,23(1):65-70.
[22]邱菀华.管理决策与应用熵学[M].北京:机械工业出版社,2002.Qiu W H.Management Decision and Application Entropy[M].Beijing:Machinery Industry Press,2002.
[23]杨忍,刘彦随,龙花楼.中国环渤海地区人口-土地-产业非农化转型协同演化特征[J].地理研究,2015,34(3):475-486.Yang R,Liu Y S,Long H L.The study on non-agricultural transformation co-evolution characteristics of“population-landindustry”:Case study of the Bohai Rim in China[J].Geographical Research,2015,34(3):475-486.
[24]黄松,李燕林,李如友.桂西地区地质遗迹与民族文化资源的空间关系及成因机理[J].地理学报,2015,70(9):1434-1448.Huang S,Li Y L,Li R Y.Spatial relationship and formation mechanism of geological relics and ethnic cultural resources in western Guangxi,China[J].Acta Geographical Sinica,2015,70(9):1434-1448.
[25]Anselin L.Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J].Geographical Analysis,1995,27:93-115.
[26]Anselin L.Spatial Analysis Laboratory Department of Geography[M].University of Illinois,2005:158-166.
[27]孙克,徐中民.基于地理加权回归的中国灰水足迹人文驱动因素分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(1):37-48.Sun K,Xu Z M.The impacts of human driving factors on grey water footprint in China using a GWR model[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(1):37-48.
[2]张富刚,刘彦随.中国区域农村发展动力机制及其发展模式[J].地理学报,2008,63(2):151-122.Zhang F G,Liu Y S.Dynamic mechanism and models of regional rural development in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2008,63(2):115-122.
[3]屠爽爽,龙花楼,李婷婷,等.中国村镇建设和农村发展的机理与模式研究[J].经济地理,2015,35(12):141-147,160.Tu S S,Long H L,Li T T.The mechanism and models of villages and towns construction and rural development in China[J].Economic Geography,2015,35(12):141-147,160.
[4]杨忍,徐茜,余昌达.中国县域交通优势度与农村发展的空间协同性及影响机制解析[J].地理科学,2016,36(7):1017-1026.Yang R,Xu Q,Yu C D.Spatial coupling cooperative analysis of transport superiority and rural development in China[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2016,36(7):1017-1026.
[5]肖黎姗,余兆武,叶红,等.福建省乡村发展与农村经济聚集耦合分析[J].地理学报,2015,70(4):615-624.Xiao L S,Yu Z W,Ye H,et al.The research of coupling rural development and economy cluster in Fujian Province[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(4):615-624.
[6]沈费伟,刘祖云.发达国家乡村治理的典型模式与经验借鉴[J].农业经济问题,2016(9):93-102,112.Shen F W,Liu Z Y.The typical model and experience of rural governance in developed countries draw lessons from[J].Issues in Agricultural Economic,2016(9):93-102,112.
[7]刘易斯芒福德.城市文化史:起源、演变和前景[M].北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2005.Lewis Mumford.The City in History:A Powerfully Incisive and Influential Look at the Development of the Urban Form Through the Ages[M].Beijing:China Architecture&Building Press,2005.
[8]赵燕菁.制度变迁、小城镇发展、中国城市化[J].城市规划,2001,25(8):47-57.Zhao Y J.Institutional transition,town development,urbanization in China[J].City Planning Review,2001,25(8):47-57.
[9]郭艳军,刘彦随,李裕瑞.农村内生式发展机理与实证分析:以北京市顺义区北郎中村为例[J].经济地理,2012,32(9):114-125.Guo Y J,Liu Y S,Li Y R.Study on rural endogenous development driven by inner power[J].Economic Geography.2012,32(9):114-125.
[10]程钰,刘雷,任建兰,等.县域综合交通可达性与经济发展水平测度及空间格局研究--对山东省91个县域的定量分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(9):1058-1065.Cheng Y,Liu L,Ren J L,et al.The measuring and spatial structure between comprehensive transportation accessibility and the level of economic development at county level:A case of 91 counties in Shandong Province[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2013,33(9):1058-1065.
[11]刘彦随,刘玉,翟荣新.中国农村空心化的地理学研究与整治实践[J].地理学报,2009,64(10):1193-1202.Liu Y S,Liu Y,Zhai R X.Geographical research and optimizing practice of rural hollowing in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2009,64(10):1193-1202.
[12]龙花楼,李裕瑞,刘彦随.中国空心化村庄演化特征及其动力机制[J].地理学报,2009,64(10):1203-1213.Long H L,Li Y R,Liu Y S.Analysis of evolutive characteristics and their driving mechanism of hollowing villages in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2009,64(10):1203-1213.
[13]Poudevigne I,Rooij S V,Morin P,et al.Dynamics of rural landscapes and their main driving factors:A case study in the Seine Valley,Normandy,France[J].Landscape and Urban Planning,1997,38(1/2):93-103.
[14]Albrecht D E,Albrecht S L.Family structure among urban,rural and farm populations:Classic sociological theory revisited[J].Rural Sociology,1996,61(3):446-463.
[15]李小建,周雄飞,郑纯辉.河南农区经济发展差异地理影响的小尺度分析[J].地理学报,2008,63(2):147-155.Li X J,Zhou X F,Zheng C H.Geography and economic development in rural China:A township level study in Henan Province,China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2008,63(2):147-155.
[16]杨忍,刘彦随,龙花楼,等.中国乡村转型重构研究进展与展望--逻辑主线与内容框架[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(8):1019-1030.Yang R,Liu Y S,Long H L,et al.Research progress and prospect of rural transformation and reconstruction in China:Paradigms and main content[J].Progress in Geography,2015,34(8):1019-1030.
[17]刘彦随.中国东部沿海地区乡村转型发展与新农村建设[J].地理学报,2007,62(6):563-570.Liu Y S.Rural transformation development and new countryside construction in eastern coastal area of China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2007,62(6):563-570.
[18]杨友孝,蔡运龙.中国农村资源、环境与发展的可持续性评估--SEEA方法及其应用[J].地理学报,2000,55(5):596-606.Yang Y X,Cai Y L.Sustainable valuation for resources and environment and development in rural China-The SEEA and its application research[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2000,55(5):596-606.
[19]陈川,赵妮娜.交通环境变化对农村经济发展的影响-以湖北宜昌为例[J].农业现代化研究,2007,28(3):298-302.Chen C,Zhao N N.Influence of traffic environment diversification on Yichang rural economic development[J].Research of Agricultural Modernization,2007,28(3):298-302.
[20]孟召宜.地方小交通的构建与农村经济可持续发展研究-以江苏省为例[J].地域研究与开发,2002,21(4):20-23.Meng Z Y.The construction of local lower communication and the sustainable development of rural economy-The case of Jiangsu Province[J].Regional Research and Development,2002,21(4):20-23.
[21]陈春生,吴群琪.基于城乡经济“一体化”的农村交通运输发展研究[J].西安财经学院学报,2012,23(1):65-70.Chen C S,Wu Q Q.Research on development of rural traffic and transportation based on economic integration of urban and rural areas[J].Journal of Xi’an University of Finance and Economics,2012,23(1):65-70.
[22]邱菀华.管理决策与应用熵学[M].北京:机械工业出版社,2002.Qiu W H.Management Decision and Application Entropy[M].Beijing:Machinery Industry Press,2002.
[23]杨忍,刘彦随,龙花楼.中国环渤海地区人口-土地-产业非农化转型协同演化特征[J].地理研究,2015,34(3):475-486.Yang R,Liu Y S,Long H L.The study on non-agricultural transformation co-evolution characteristics of“population-landindustry”:Case study of the Bohai Rim in China[J].Geographical Research,2015,34(3):475-486.
[24]黄松,李燕林,李如友.桂西地区地质遗迹与民族文化资源的空间关系及成因机理[J].地理学报,2015,70(9):1434-1448.Huang S,Li Y L,Li R Y.Spatial relationship and formation mechanism of geological relics and ethnic cultural resources in western Guangxi,China[J].Acta Geographical Sinica,2015,70(9):1434-1448.
[25]Anselin L.Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J].Geographical Analysis,1995,27:93-115.
[26]Anselin L.Spatial Analysis Laboratory Department of Geography[M].University of Illinois,2005:158-166.
[27]孙克,徐中民.基于地理加权回归的中国灰水足迹人文驱动因素分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(1):37-48.Sun K,Xu Z M.The impacts of human driving factors on grey water footprint in China using a GWR model[J].Geographical Research,2016,35(1):37-48.