存量城市轨道交通项目PPP模式选择研究
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摘要
从众多PPP模式中选择出与存量城市轨道交通项目最为匹配的模式,是保障存量城市轨道交通PPP项目成功运作的前提。通过分析PPP模式特征并细化分类,以存量项目的适用性为原则,初步选出存量项目适用的PPP模式。从政府的角度出发,根据存量城市轨道交通PPP项目特点,建立相应的模式选择指标体系。引入熵权灰靶理论,构建存量城市轨道交通项目PPP模式选择模型。以大连市快轨3号线存量项目为例验证模型的可行性和实用性,为我国存量城市轨道交通PPP项目决策的理论与实践提供参考。
An essential requirement of the successful operation of PPP projects of existing urban rail transit is the selection of the best model that matches existing urban rail transit projects from many PPP models. The PPP mode applicable to existing projects is preliminarily selected by analyzing the characteristics of the PPP modes and refining the classification, based on the applicability of existing projects. Moreover, the corresponding model selection index system is established by the government, based on the characteristics of PPP projects of existing urban rail transit. Finally, the PPP model of existing urban rail transit project is constructed using entropy weight method and gray target theory. The feasibility and practicality of the model are then verified using the stock project of Dalian Express Rail line 3 as an example. Hence, this study provides a reference for the theory and practice of PPP project decision-making in existing urban rail transit in China.
An essential requirement of the successful operation of PPP projects of existing urban rail transit is the selection of the best model that matches existing urban rail transit projects from many PPP models. The PPP mode applicable to existing projects is preliminarily selected by analyzing the characteristics of the PPP modes and refining the classification, based on the applicability of existing projects. Moreover, the corresponding model selection index system is established by the government, based on the characteristics of PPP projects of existing urban rail transit. Finally, the PPP model of existing urban rail transit project is constructed using entropy weight method and gray target theory. The feasibility and practicality of the model are then verified using the stock project of Dalian Express Rail line 3 as an example. Hence, this study provides a reference for the theory and practice of PPP project decision-making in existing urban rail transit in China.
引文
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[2]KUMARASWAMY M M,DISSANAYAKA S M.Developing adecision support system for building project procurement[J].Building and environment,2001,36(3):337-349.
[3]TAREK M,ZAYED S,LUH M C.Prototype model for build-operate-transfer risk assessment[J].Journal of management in engineering,2002,18(1):7-16.
[4]CHAN C T W.Fuzzy procurement selection model forconstruction projects[J].Construction management and economics,2007,25(6):611-618.
[5]胡振.公私合作项目范式选择研究:以日本案例为研究对象[J].公共管理学报,2010,7(3):113-128.
[6]杨卫华,王秀山,张凤海.公共项目PPP模式选择路径研究:基于交易合作三维框架[J].华东经济管理,2014,28(2):121-126.
[7]岳意定,黄雄艳.政府融资平台存量项目PPP模式的资本结构选择模型[J].湖南师范大学社会科学学报,2016,45(2):109-115.
[8]王守清,柯永建.特许经营项目融资(BOT、PFI和PPP)[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2008.
[9]贾康,孙洁.公私伙伴关系(PPP)的概念、起源、特征与功能[J].财政研究,2009(10):2-10.
[10]王灏.PPP的定义和分类研究[J].都市快轨交通,2004,17(5):23-27.WANG Hao.A study on the Definition and Classification of PPP[J].Urban rapid rail transit,2004,17(5):23-27.
[11]世界银行.世界发展报告:为发展提供基础设施[M].毛晓威,等译.北京:中国财政经济出版社,1994.
[12]胡振,刘华,金维兴.PPP项目范式选择与风险分配的关系研究[J].土木工程学报,2011,44(9):139.
[13]PERCOCO M.Quality of institutions and private participation in transport infrastructure investment:Evidence from developing countries[J].Transportation research part A,2014,70:50-58.
[14]BOYER E J,SLYKE D,ROGERS J.An Empirical Examination of Public Involvement in Public-Private Partnerships:Qualifying the Benefits of Public Involvement in PPPs[J].Journal of public administration research and theory,2016,26(1):45-61.
[15]ROBERT L.K.TIONG,KHIM-TECE YEO,S.C.MCCARTHY.Critical Success Factors in Winning BOTContracts[J].Journal of construction engineering and management,1992,118(2):217-228.
[16]邓聚龙.灰色系统理论教程[M].武汉:华中理工大学出版社,1990.
[17]闫书丽.灰靶决策方法及应用研究[D].南京:南京航空航天大学,2014.
[18]程启月.评测指标权重确定的结构熵权法[J].系统工程理论与实践,2010,30(7):1225-1228.
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