末次冰盛期中国西部冰川物质平衡线高度的模拟研究
|
摘要
文章使用9个气候模式的数值试验数据,研究了末次冰盛期中国西部冰川物质平衡线高度(ELA),以期加深理解冰期青藏高原地表环境以及ELA变化成因.相对于工业化革命前期这一参考时段,末次冰盛期青藏高原夏季普遍降温4～8℃,年降水量平均减少25%.在降温和降水减少的共同作用下,中国西部ELA降低,不同区域之间降幅存在差异.在青藏高原地区,其南缘和西北部下降1100m,中部腹地下降650～800m,东部下降550～800m且由西南向东北逐渐变小.中国境内天山上的ELA下降不超过650m,祁连山和阿尔泰山上的下降值在500～600m.另外,水平分辨率高的气候模式能模拟出青藏高原中部ELA下降不超过500m的低值,这与古冰川遗迹记录一致;末次冰盛期青藏高原冰川物质积累区主要发生在边缘山地,其面积扩张至现代的2～5倍,但仍未覆盖到高原中部.
引文
段克勤,姚檀栋,石培宏,郭学.2017.青藏高原东部冰川平衡线高度的模拟及预测.中国科学:地球科学,47:104-113
胡芩,姜大膀,范广洲.2014.CMIP5全球气候模式对青藏高原地区气候模拟能力评估.大气科学,38:924-938
姜大膀,梁潇云.2008.末次盛冰期东亚气候的成因检测.第四纪研究,28:491-501
姜大膀,田芝平.2017.末次冰盛期和全新世中期东亚地区水汽输送的模拟研究.第四纪研究,37:999-1008
李育,刘媛.2016.末次盛冰期以来中国湖泊记录对环流系统及气候类型的响应.地理学报,71:1889-1910
刘东生,张新时,熊尚发,秦小光.1999.青藏高原冰期环境与冰期全球降温.第四纪研究,19:385-396
鲁春霞,王菱,谢高地,冷允法.2007.青藏高原降水的梯度效应及其空间分布模拟.山地学报,25:655-663
沈才明,唐领余,王苏民.1996.若尔盖地区25万年以来的植被与气候.微体古生物学报,13:373-385
施雅风.2002.对青藏高原末次冰盛期降温值、平衡线下降值与模拟结果的讨论.第四纪研究,22:312-322
施雅风,崔之久,李吉均.1989.中国东部第四纪冰川与环境问题.北京:科学出版社.462
施雅风,崔之久,苏珍.2006.中国第四纪冰川与环境变化.石家庄:河北科学技术出版社.618
施雅风,黄茂恒,姚檀栋,邓养鑫.2000.中国冰川与环境——现在、过去与将来.北京:科学出版社.410
施雅风,郑本兴,姚檀栋.1997.青藏高原末次冰期最盛时的冰川与环境.冰川冻土,19:97-113
苏珍,赵井东,郑本兴.2014.中国现代冰川平衡线分布特征与末次冰期平衡线下降值研究.冰川冻土,36:9-19
唐领余,沈才明,廖淦标,于世永,李春海.2004.末次盛冰期以来西藏东南部的气候变化——西藏东南部的花粉记录.中国科学D辑:地球科学,34:436-442
田芝平,姜大膀.2015.全新世中期和末次冰盛期中国季风区面积和季风降水变化.科学通报,60:400-410
万和文,唐领余,张虎才,李春海,庞有智.2008.柴达木盆地东部36~18kaBP期间的孢粉记录及其气候环境.第四纪研究,28:112-121
王绍武,闻新宇.2011.末次冰期冰盛期.气候变化研究进展,7:381-382
吴佳,高学杰.2013.一套格点化的中国区域逐日观测资料及与其它资料的对比.地球物理学报,56:1102-1111
赵平,陈隆勋,周秀骥,巩远发,韩余.2003.末次盛冰期东亚气候的数值模拟.中国科学D辑:地球科学,33:557-562
Batbaatar J,Gillespie A R,Fink D,Matmon A,Fujioka T.2018.Asynchronous glaciations in arid continental climate.Quat Sci Rev,182:1-19
Bravo C,Rojas M,Anderson B M,Mackintosh A N,Sagredo E,Moreno P I.2015.Modelled glacier equilibrium line altitudes during the mid-Holocene in the southern mid-latitudes.Clim Past,11:1575-1586
Chen R,Zhou S,Lai Z,Ou X,Chen R,Deng Y.2014.Luminescence chronology of Late Quaternary moraines and Last Glacial Maximum equilibrium-line altitude reconstruction from Parlung Zangbo Valley,south-eastern Tibetan Plateau.J Quat Sci,29:597-604
Clark P U,Dyke A S,Shakun J D,Carlson A E,Clark J,Wohlfarth B,Mitrovica J X,Hostetler S W,McCabe A M.2009.The last glacial maximum.Science,325:710-714
Cui H,Wang J,Yu B,Hu Z,Yao P,Harbor J M.2018.Marine Isotope Stage 3 paleotemperature inferred from reconstructing the Die Shan ice cap,northeastern Tibetan Plateau.Quat Res,89:494-504
Dong G,Xu X,Zhou W,Fu Y,Zhang L,Li M.2017.Cosmogenic10Be surface exposure dating and glacier reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum in the Quemuqu Valley,western Nyainqentanglha Mountains,south Tibet.J Quat Sci,32:639-652
Hanson B,Hooke R L B.2011.Effect of sea-level lowering on ELAdepression during the LGM.Quat Res,75:406-410
Hebenstreit R.2006.Present and former equilibrium line altitudes in the Taiwanese high mountain range.Quat Int,147:70-75
Herzschuh U.2006.Palaeo-moisture evolution in monsoonal Central Asia during the last 50000 years.Quat Sci Rev,25:163-178
Herzschuh U,Birks H J B,Mischke S,Zhang C,B?hner J.2010.Amodern pollen-climate calibration set based on lake sediments from the Tibetan Plateau and its application to a Late Quaternary pollen record from the Qilian Mountains.J Biogeogr,37:752-766
Heyman J.2014.Paleoglaciation of the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding mountains based on exposure ages and ELA depression estimates.Quat Sci Rev,91:30-41
Hu G,Yi C,Zhang J,Dong G,Liu J,Xu X,Jiang T.2017.Extensive glacial advances during the last glacial maximum near the eastern Himalayan syntaxis.Quat Int,443:1-12
Jiang D,Tian Z,Lang X,Kageyama M,Ramstein G.2015.The concept of global monsoon applied to the last glacial maximum:A multimodel analysis.Quat Sci Rev,126:126-139
Kuhle M.1995.Glacial isostatic uplift of Tibet as a consequence of a former ice sheet.GeoJournal,37:431-449
Li Y,Morrill C.2013.Lake levels in Asia at the last glacial maximum as indicators of hydrologic sensitivity to greenhouse gas concentrations.Quat Sci Rev,60:1-12
Lie?,Dahl S O,Nesje A.2003.A theoretical approach to glacier equilibrium-line altitudes using meteorological data and glacier mass-balance records from southern Norway.Holocene,13:365-372
Liu T,Zhang X,Xiong S,Qin X,Yang X.2002.Glacial environments on the Tibetan Plateau and global cooling.Quat Int,97-98:133-139
Liu Y,Jiang D.2016.Last glacial maximum permafrost in China from CMIP5 simulations.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,447:12-21
Ono Y,Shulmeister J,Lehmkuhl F,Asahi K,Aoki T.2004.Timings and causes of glacial advances across the PEP-II transect(East-Asia to Antarctica)during the last glaciation cycle.Quat Int,118-119:55-68
Rupper S,Koppes M.2010.Spatial patterns in Central Asian climate and equilibrium line altitudes.IOP Conf Ser-Earth Environ Sci,9:012009
Rupper S,Roe G.2008.Glacier changes and regional climate:A mass and energy balance approach.J Clim,21:5384-5401
Saito K,Sueyoshi T,Marchenko S,Romanovsky V,Otto-Bliesner B,Walsh J,Bigelow N,Hendricks A,Yoshikawa K.2013.LGMpermafrost distribution:How well can the latest PMIP multi-model ensembles perform reconstruction?Clim Past,9:1697-1714
Shen C,Liu K,Tang L,Overpeck J T.2006.Quantitative relationships between modern pollen rain and climate in the Tibetan Plateau.Rev Palaeobot Palynol,140:61-77
Shi Y.2002.Characteristics of Late Quaternary monsoonal glaciation on the Tibetan Plateau and in East Asia.Quat Int,97-98:79-91
Taylor K E,Stouffer R J,Meehl G A.2012.An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design.Bull Amer Meteorol Soc,93:485-498
Tian Z,Jiang D.2016.Revisiting last glacial maximum climate over China and East Asian monsoon using PMIP3 simulations.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,453:115-126
Ueda H,Kuroki H,Ohba M,Kamae Y.2011.Seasonally asymmetric transition of the Asian monsoon in response to ice age boundary conditions.Clim Dyn,37:2167-2179
Wang Y,Herzschuh U,Shumilovskikh L S,Mischke S,Birks H J B,Wischnewski J,B?hner J,Schlütz F,Lehmkuhl F,Diekmann B,Wünnemann B,Zhang C.2014.Quantitative reconstruction of precipitation changes on the NE Tibetan Plateau since the Last Glacial Maximum-extending the concept of pollen source area to pollen-based climate reconstructions from large lakes.Clim Past,10:21-39
Xu X.2014.Climates during Late Quaternary glacier advances:Glacier-climate modeling in the Yingpu Valley,eastern Tibetan Plateau.Quat Sci Rev,101:18-27
Xu X,Glasser N F.2015.Glacier sensitivity to equilibrium line altitude and reconstruction for the last glacial cycle:Glacier modeling in the Payuwang Valley,western Nyaiqentanggulha Shan,Tibetan Plateau.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,440:614-620
Xu X,Hu G,Qiao B.2013.Last glacial maximum climate based on cosmogenic10Be exposure ages and glacier modeling for the head of Tashkurgan Valley,northwest Tibetan Plateau.Quat Sci Rev,80:91-101
Yan M,Wang B,Liu J.2016.Global monsoon change during the last glacial maximum:A multi-model study.Clim Dyn,47:359-374
Ye B S,Ding Y J,Shi Y F,Zheng B X.1999.A study of the climate and the environment during the last glacial maximum in western China.In:Tranter M,Armstrong R,Brun E,eds.Interactions Between the Cryosphere,Climate and Greenhouse Gases.Bellingham:IAHS-AISH Publication.217-225
Yu G,Xue B,Liu J,Chen X.2003.LGM lake records from China and an analysis of climate dynamics using a modelling approach.Glob Planet Change,38:223-256
Zhang W,Cui Z,Yan L.2009.Present and late Pleistocene equilibrium line altitudes in Changbai Mountains,Northeast China.J Geogr Sci,19:373-383
Zhao K,Li X,Dodson J,Zhou X,Atahan P.2013.Climate instability during the last deglaciation in Central Asia,reconstructed by pollen data from Yili Valley,NW China.Rev Palaeobot Palynol,189:8-17
Zhao Y,An C B,Mao L,Zhao J,Tang L,Zhou A,Li H,Dong W,Duan F,Chen F.2015.Vegetation and climate history in arid western China during MIS2:New insights from pollen and grain-size data of the Balikun Lake,eastern Tien Shan.Quat Sci Rev,126:112-125
胡芩,姜大膀,范广洲.2014.CMIP5全球气候模式对青藏高原地区气候模拟能力评估.大气科学,38:924-938
姜大膀,梁潇云.2008.末次盛冰期东亚气候的成因检测.第四纪研究,28:491-501
姜大膀,田芝平.2017.末次冰盛期和全新世中期东亚地区水汽输送的模拟研究.第四纪研究,37:999-1008
李育,刘媛.2016.末次盛冰期以来中国湖泊记录对环流系统及气候类型的响应.地理学报,71:1889-1910
刘东生,张新时,熊尚发,秦小光.1999.青藏高原冰期环境与冰期全球降温.第四纪研究,19:385-396
鲁春霞,王菱,谢高地,冷允法.2007.青藏高原降水的梯度效应及其空间分布模拟.山地学报,25:655-663
沈才明,唐领余,王苏民.1996.若尔盖地区25万年以来的植被与气候.微体古生物学报,13:373-385
施雅风.2002.对青藏高原末次冰盛期降温值、平衡线下降值与模拟结果的讨论.第四纪研究,22:312-322
施雅风,崔之久,李吉均.1989.中国东部第四纪冰川与环境问题.北京:科学出版社.462
施雅风,崔之久,苏珍.2006.中国第四纪冰川与环境变化.石家庄:河北科学技术出版社.618
施雅风,黄茂恒,姚檀栋,邓养鑫.2000.中国冰川与环境——现在、过去与将来.北京:科学出版社.410
施雅风,郑本兴,姚檀栋.1997.青藏高原末次冰期最盛时的冰川与环境.冰川冻土,19:97-113
苏珍,赵井东,郑本兴.2014.中国现代冰川平衡线分布特征与末次冰期平衡线下降值研究.冰川冻土,36:9-19
唐领余,沈才明,廖淦标,于世永,李春海.2004.末次盛冰期以来西藏东南部的气候变化——西藏东南部的花粉记录.中国科学D辑:地球科学,34:436-442
田芝平,姜大膀.2015.全新世中期和末次冰盛期中国季风区面积和季风降水变化.科学通报,60:400-410
万和文,唐领余,张虎才,李春海,庞有智.2008.柴达木盆地东部36~18kaBP期间的孢粉记录及其气候环境.第四纪研究,28:112-121
王绍武,闻新宇.2011.末次冰期冰盛期.气候变化研究进展,7:381-382
吴佳,高学杰.2013.一套格点化的中国区域逐日观测资料及与其它资料的对比.地球物理学报,56:1102-1111
赵平,陈隆勋,周秀骥,巩远发,韩余.2003.末次盛冰期东亚气候的数值模拟.中国科学D辑:地球科学,33:557-562
Batbaatar J,Gillespie A R,Fink D,Matmon A,Fujioka T.2018.Asynchronous glaciations in arid continental climate.Quat Sci Rev,182:1-19
Bravo C,Rojas M,Anderson B M,Mackintosh A N,Sagredo E,Moreno P I.2015.Modelled glacier equilibrium line altitudes during the mid-Holocene in the southern mid-latitudes.Clim Past,11:1575-1586
Chen R,Zhou S,Lai Z,Ou X,Chen R,Deng Y.2014.Luminescence chronology of Late Quaternary moraines and Last Glacial Maximum equilibrium-line altitude reconstruction from Parlung Zangbo Valley,south-eastern Tibetan Plateau.J Quat Sci,29:597-604
Clark P U,Dyke A S,Shakun J D,Carlson A E,Clark J,Wohlfarth B,Mitrovica J X,Hostetler S W,McCabe A M.2009.The last glacial maximum.Science,325:710-714
Cui H,Wang J,Yu B,Hu Z,Yao P,Harbor J M.2018.Marine Isotope Stage 3 paleotemperature inferred from reconstructing the Die Shan ice cap,northeastern Tibetan Plateau.Quat Res,89:494-504
Dong G,Xu X,Zhou W,Fu Y,Zhang L,Li M.2017.Cosmogenic10Be surface exposure dating and glacier reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum in the Quemuqu Valley,western Nyainqentanglha Mountains,south Tibet.J Quat Sci,32:639-652
Hanson B,Hooke R L B.2011.Effect of sea-level lowering on ELAdepression during the LGM.Quat Res,75:406-410
Hebenstreit R.2006.Present and former equilibrium line altitudes in the Taiwanese high mountain range.Quat Int,147:70-75
Herzschuh U.2006.Palaeo-moisture evolution in monsoonal Central Asia during the last 50000 years.Quat Sci Rev,25:163-178
Herzschuh U,Birks H J B,Mischke S,Zhang C,B?hner J.2010.Amodern pollen-climate calibration set based on lake sediments from the Tibetan Plateau and its application to a Late Quaternary pollen record from the Qilian Mountains.J Biogeogr,37:752-766
Heyman J.2014.Paleoglaciation of the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding mountains based on exposure ages and ELA depression estimates.Quat Sci Rev,91:30-41
Hu G,Yi C,Zhang J,Dong G,Liu J,Xu X,Jiang T.2017.Extensive glacial advances during the last glacial maximum near the eastern Himalayan syntaxis.Quat Int,443:1-12
Jiang D,Tian Z,Lang X,Kageyama M,Ramstein G.2015.The concept of global monsoon applied to the last glacial maximum:A multimodel analysis.Quat Sci Rev,126:126-139
Kuhle M.1995.Glacial isostatic uplift of Tibet as a consequence of a former ice sheet.GeoJournal,37:431-449
Li Y,Morrill C.2013.Lake levels in Asia at the last glacial maximum as indicators of hydrologic sensitivity to greenhouse gas concentrations.Quat Sci Rev,60:1-12
Lie?,Dahl S O,Nesje A.2003.A theoretical approach to glacier equilibrium-line altitudes using meteorological data and glacier mass-balance records from southern Norway.Holocene,13:365-372
Liu T,Zhang X,Xiong S,Qin X,Yang X.2002.Glacial environments on the Tibetan Plateau and global cooling.Quat Int,97-98:133-139
Liu Y,Jiang D.2016.Last glacial maximum permafrost in China from CMIP5 simulations.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,447:12-21
Ono Y,Shulmeister J,Lehmkuhl F,Asahi K,Aoki T.2004.Timings and causes of glacial advances across the PEP-II transect(East-Asia to Antarctica)during the last glaciation cycle.Quat Int,118-119:55-68
Rupper S,Koppes M.2010.Spatial patterns in Central Asian climate and equilibrium line altitudes.IOP Conf Ser-Earth Environ Sci,9:012009
Rupper S,Roe G.2008.Glacier changes and regional climate:A mass and energy balance approach.J Clim,21:5384-5401
Saito K,Sueyoshi T,Marchenko S,Romanovsky V,Otto-Bliesner B,Walsh J,Bigelow N,Hendricks A,Yoshikawa K.2013.LGMpermafrost distribution:How well can the latest PMIP multi-model ensembles perform reconstruction?Clim Past,9:1697-1714
Shen C,Liu K,Tang L,Overpeck J T.2006.Quantitative relationships between modern pollen rain and climate in the Tibetan Plateau.Rev Palaeobot Palynol,140:61-77
Shi Y.2002.Characteristics of Late Quaternary monsoonal glaciation on the Tibetan Plateau and in East Asia.Quat Int,97-98:79-91
Taylor K E,Stouffer R J,Meehl G A.2012.An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design.Bull Amer Meteorol Soc,93:485-498
Tian Z,Jiang D.2016.Revisiting last glacial maximum climate over China and East Asian monsoon using PMIP3 simulations.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,453:115-126
Ueda H,Kuroki H,Ohba M,Kamae Y.2011.Seasonally asymmetric transition of the Asian monsoon in response to ice age boundary conditions.Clim Dyn,37:2167-2179
Wang Y,Herzschuh U,Shumilovskikh L S,Mischke S,Birks H J B,Wischnewski J,B?hner J,Schlütz F,Lehmkuhl F,Diekmann B,Wünnemann B,Zhang C.2014.Quantitative reconstruction of precipitation changes on the NE Tibetan Plateau since the Last Glacial Maximum-extending the concept of pollen source area to pollen-based climate reconstructions from large lakes.Clim Past,10:21-39
Xu X.2014.Climates during Late Quaternary glacier advances:Glacier-climate modeling in the Yingpu Valley,eastern Tibetan Plateau.Quat Sci Rev,101:18-27
Xu X,Glasser N F.2015.Glacier sensitivity to equilibrium line altitude and reconstruction for the last glacial cycle:Glacier modeling in the Payuwang Valley,western Nyaiqentanggulha Shan,Tibetan Plateau.Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol,440:614-620
Xu X,Hu G,Qiao B.2013.Last glacial maximum climate based on cosmogenic10Be exposure ages and glacier modeling for the head of Tashkurgan Valley,northwest Tibetan Plateau.Quat Sci Rev,80:91-101
Yan M,Wang B,Liu J.2016.Global monsoon change during the last glacial maximum:A multi-model study.Clim Dyn,47:359-374
Ye B S,Ding Y J,Shi Y F,Zheng B X.1999.A study of the climate and the environment during the last glacial maximum in western China.In:Tranter M,Armstrong R,Brun E,eds.Interactions Between the Cryosphere,Climate and Greenhouse Gases.Bellingham:IAHS-AISH Publication.217-225
Yu G,Xue B,Liu J,Chen X.2003.LGM lake records from China and an analysis of climate dynamics using a modelling approach.Glob Planet Change,38:223-256
Zhang W,Cui Z,Yan L.2009.Present and late Pleistocene equilibrium line altitudes in Changbai Mountains,Northeast China.J Geogr Sci,19:373-383
Zhao K,Li X,Dodson J,Zhou X,Atahan P.2013.Climate instability during the last deglaciation in Central Asia,reconstructed by pollen data from Yili Valley,NW China.Rev Palaeobot Palynol,189:8-17
Zhao Y,An C B,Mao L,Zhao J,Tang L,Zhou A,Li H,Dong W,Duan F,Chen F.2015.Vegetation and climate history in arid western China during MIS2:New insights from pollen and grain-size data of the Balikun Lake,eastern Tien Shan.Quat Sci Rev,126:112-125