1966～2016年黄骅市气温变化趋势分析与预测
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摘要
运用滑动变化趋势、R/S分析、M-K检验等方法,分析了黄骅市1966~2016年气温的变化趋势。结果表明:黄骅市的年均气温高于华北地区的年均气温;各季节的增温幅度略高于华北地区平均水平,其中冬季增温尤为明显;未来黄骅市气温仍然呈继续上升趋势。在实际生产过程中,该地区在今后的农业种植布局方面,应注重气候变化趋势,细化完善农业气候区划,适时调节作物生育期和种植结构,引进良种;加强农田水利设施建设。
The change trend of temperature in Huanghua City from 1966 to 2016 was analyzed by using sliding change trend,R/S analysis and M-K test. The results showed that the annual average temperature of Huanghua was higher than that of North China. The temperature increasing in each season was slightly higher than that of North China,especially in winter. The temperature in Huanghua would continue to rise in the future. The sugges-tions were put forward including paying attention to climate change trend in agricultural planting layout,refining and perfecting the agricultural climatic regionalization,timely adjusting crop growth period and planting structure,introducing good varieties and strengthening construction of water conservancy facilities in farmland.
The change trend of temperature in Huanghua City from 1966 to 2016 was analyzed by using sliding change trend,R/S analysis and M-K test. The results showed that the annual average temperature of Huanghua was higher than that of North China. The temperature increasing in each season was slightly higher than that of North China,especially in winter. The temperature in Huanghua would continue to rise in the future. The sugges-tions were put forward including paying attention to climate change trend in agricultural planting layout,refining and perfecting the agricultural climatic regionalization,timely adjusting crop growth period and planting structure,introducing good varieties and strengthening construction of water conservancy facilities in farmland.
引文
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