作为一门学科的国家安全情报学
|
摘要
[目的/意义]分析国家安全情报学的研究现状,梳理国家安全情报学的主要研究议题。[方法/过程]梳理了国家安全情报学科发展的历史脉络、主要研究现状,并对现状进行了述评。[结果/结论]应该厘清国家安全情报学科与相关学科的边界,对国家安全情报学的相关成果进行学理化提升,吸纳更多的地方学者参与国家安全情报学的研究,融合相关学科的研究成果。
[Purpose/significance]This paper analyzes the research status of national security intelligence study and combs its main research topics. [Method/process]The paper reviews the historical development and main research status of national security intelligence study and comments on its status quo. [Result/conclusion]It suggests clarifying the boundary between national security intelligence study and other related disciplines,making a theoretical improvement on the related achievements,involving more local scholars participating in the study,and integrating the research results of relevant disciplines.
[Purpose/significance]This paper analyzes the research status of national security intelligence study and combs its main research topics. [Method/process]The paper reviews the historical development and main research status of national security intelligence study and comments on its status quo. [Result/conclusion]It suggests clarifying the boundary between national security intelligence study and other related disciplines,making a theoretical improvement on the related achievements,involving more local scholars participating in the study,and integrating the research results of relevant disciplines.
引文
[1] KENT S. Strategic intelligence for american world policy[M].New Jersey:Princeton University Press,1951:preface.
[2] KENT S. Need for an intelligence literature[J]. Studies in Intelligence. 1955[EB/OL].[2018-10-20]. https://www. cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-nationalestimates-collected-essays/2need. html.
[3] DULLES A W. The craft of intelligence[M]. New York:Harper&Row,1965:52,118,150-158.
[4] JOHNSON L K,WIRTZ J J. Strategic intelligence:windows into a secret world:an anthology[C]. New York:Oxford University Press,2007.
[5] HERMAN M. Intelligence power in peace and war[M]. Cambridge:Royal Institute of International Affairs&Cambridge University Press,1996.
[6]张晓军.美国军事情报理论研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2007.
[7]李景龙.情报分析:理论、方法与案例[M].北京:时事出版社,2017.
[8]申华.美国国家情报管理制度研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2010.
[9]刘强.情报工作与国家生存发展:基于西方主要国家的历史考察与思考[M].北京:时事出版社,2014.
[10]高金虎.军事情报学[M].南京:江苏人民出版社,2017.
[11]高金虎.中西情报史[M].南京:江苏人民出版社,2017.
[12]高金虎.中西情报思想史[M].北京:金城出版社,2016.
[13]高金虎.情报分析方法论[M].北京:金城出版社,2017.
[14]高金虎.美国战略情报与决策体制研究[M].西安:陕西师范大学出版社,2004.
[15]熊剑平.中国古代情报史[M]].北京:金城出版社,2016.
[16] TREVERTON G F. Reshaping national intelligence for an age of information[M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2001.
[17] BERKOWITZ B D,GOODMAN A E. Best truth[M]. New Haven,Conn.:Yale University Press,2000.
[18] WOHLSTETTER R. Pearl harbor:warning and decision[M].Stanford,Calif.:Stanford University Press,1962:3,392.
[19] HANDEL M I. Yom kippur war and the inevitability of surprise[J]. International Studies Quarterly,1977,21(3):461.
[20] LUTTWAK E, HOROWITZ D. The Israeli army[M].A. Lane,1975:340.
[21] BETTS R K. Analysis,war,and decision:why intelligence failures are inevitable[J]. World Politics,1978,31(1):61-89.
[22] WHALEY B. Codeword barbarossa[M]. Cambridge:MIT Press,1974:242.
[23]龙小农.跨国危机管理——理论、方法及案例分析[M].北京:中国传媒大学出版社,2005:124.
[24] ASTHANA N C,NIRMAL A. Intelligence and security management[M]. Aavishkar Publishers,Distributors,2008:vii.
[25] GRABO C M. Handbook of warning intelligence:assessing the threat to national security[M]. Maryland:Rowman&Littlefield Publishers,2015.
[26] GEORGE R Z,BRUCE J B. Analyzing intelligence:national security practitioners’ perspectives[C]. Washington Dc:Georgetown University Press,2014:121-134.
[27] DAVIS J. Strategic warning:if surprise is inevitable,what role for analysis?[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia.gov/library/kent-center-occasional-papers/vol2no1. htm.
[28]罗伯特·克拉克.情报分析:以目标为中心的方法[M].北京:金城出版社,2013.
[29] KENT S. Estimates and influence//STEURY D P. Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates:Collected Essays[M/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia. gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-national-estimates-collected-essays/4estimates. html.
[30] STEURY D P. Introduction//STEURY D P. Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates:Collected Essays[M/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia. gov/library/center-for-thestudy-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-mo-nographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-national-estimates-collected-essays/intro. htm.
[31] COOPER J R. Curing analytic pathologies:pathways to improved intelligence analysis[M]. Washington,D. C.:Central Intelligence Agency,Center for the Study of Intelligence,2005:26.
[32] HEUER R J. Psychology of intelligence analysis[M]. Washington,D. C.:Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency,1999.
[33] DAVIS J. Improving intelligence analysis at CIA:Dick Heuer’s contribution to intelligence analysis[M]//HEUER R J. Psychology of intelligence analysis. Washington, D. C.:Central Intelligence Agency,1999:5.
[34]凯瑟琳·弗森,伦道夫·弗森.战略情报的批判性思维[M].北京:金城出版社,2016:36.
[35]刘宗和.中国大百科全书·军事情报[M].北京:中国大百科全书出版社,2007:199.
[36]艾布拉姆·舒尔斯基.无声的战争[M].北京:金城出版社,2011.
[37] SMIST F J. Congress oversees us intelligence:1947—1993[M]. Knoxville,Tenn.:The University of Tennessee Press,1994.
[38] RANSOM H H. Secret intelligence in the United States,1947—1982:the CIA’s Search for legitimacy[C]//The Missing Dimension. Macmillan Education UK, 1984:224-226.
[39] National Security Act of 1947(as Amended)//Compilation of Intelligence Laws and Related Laws and Executive Orders of Interest to the National Intelligence Community[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. http://intelligence. house. gov/Media/PDFS/IntelligenceRelatedLaws2003. pdf.
[40] S. 2845-108th Congress(2003—2004):Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. congress. gov/bill/108th-congress/senatebill/02845.
[41] MICHAEL H I. Intelligence and military operations[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1990,5(5):1-95.
[42] PORCH D. The French secret services:from the Dreyfus Affair to the Gulf War[M]. New York:Farrar,Straus and Giroux,1995.
[43] PORCH D. French intelligence culture:a historical and political perspective[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1995,10(10):486-511.
[44] KEMP P. The fall and rise of France’s spymasters[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1994,9(1):12-21.
[2] KENT S. Need for an intelligence literature[J]. Studies in Intelligence. 1955[EB/OL].[2018-10-20]. https://www. cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-nationalestimates-collected-essays/2need. html.
[3] DULLES A W. The craft of intelligence[M]. New York:Harper&Row,1965:52,118,150-158.
[4] JOHNSON L K,WIRTZ J J. Strategic intelligence:windows into a secret world:an anthology[C]. New York:Oxford University Press,2007.
[5] HERMAN M. Intelligence power in peace and war[M]. Cambridge:Royal Institute of International Affairs&Cambridge University Press,1996.
[6]张晓军.美国军事情报理论研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2007.
[7]李景龙.情报分析:理论、方法与案例[M].北京:时事出版社,2017.
[8]申华.美国国家情报管理制度研究[M].北京:军事科学出版社,2010.
[9]刘强.情报工作与国家生存发展:基于西方主要国家的历史考察与思考[M].北京:时事出版社,2014.
[10]高金虎.军事情报学[M].南京:江苏人民出版社,2017.
[11]高金虎.中西情报史[M].南京:江苏人民出版社,2017.
[12]高金虎.中西情报思想史[M].北京:金城出版社,2016.
[13]高金虎.情报分析方法论[M].北京:金城出版社,2017.
[14]高金虎.美国战略情报与决策体制研究[M].西安:陕西师范大学出版社,2004.
[15]熊剑平.中国古代情报史[M]].北京:金城出版社,2016.
[16] TREVERTON G F. Reshaping national intelligence for an age of information[M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2001.
[17] BERKOWITZ B D,GOODMAN A E. Best truth[M]. New Haven,Conn.:Yale University Press,2000.
[18] WOHLSTETTER R. Pearl harbor:warning and decision[M].Stanford,Calif.:Stanford University Press,1962:3,392.
[19] HANDEL M I. Yom kippur war and the inevitability of surprise[J]. International Studies Quarterly,1977,21(3):461.
[20] LUTTWAK E, HOROWITZ D. The Israeli army[M].A. Lane,1975:340.
[21] BETTS R K. Analysis,war,and decision:why intelligence failures are inevitable[J]. World Politics,1978,31(1):61-89.
[22] WHALEY B. Codeword barbarossa[M]. Cambridge:MIT Press,1974:242.
[23]龙小农.跨国危机管理——理论、方法及案例分析[M].北京:中国传媒大学出版社,2005:124.
[24] ASTHANA N C,NIRMAL A. Intelligence and security management[M]. Aavishkar Publishers,Distributors,2008:vii.
[25] GRABO C M. Handbook of warning intelligence:assessing the threat to national security[M]. Maryland:Rowman&Littlefield Publishers,2015.
[26] GEORGE R Z,BRUCE J B. Analyzing intelligence:national security practitioners’ perspectives[C]. Washington Dc:Georgetown University Press,2014:121-134.
[27] DAVIS J. Strategic warning:if surprise is inevitable,what role for analysis?[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia.gov/library/kent-center-occasional-papers/vol2no1. htm.
[28]罗伯特·克拉克.情报分析:以目标为中心的方法[M].北京:金城出版社,2013.
[29] KENT S. Estimates and influence//STEURY D P. Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates:Collected Essays[M/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia. gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-national-estimates-collected-essays/4estimates. html.
[30] STEURY D P. Introduction//STEURY D P. Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates:Collected Essays[M/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. cia. gov/library/center-for-thestudy-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-mo-nographs/sherman-kent-and-the-board-of-national-estimates-collected-essays/intro. htm.
[31] COOPER J R. Curing analytic pathologies:pathways to improved intelligence analysis[M]. Washington,D. C.:Central Intelligence Agency,Center for the Study of Intelligence,2005:26.
[32] HEUER R J. Psychology of intelligence analysis[M]. Washington,D. C.:Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency,1999.
[33] DAVIS J. Improving intelligence analysis at CIA:Dick Heuer’s contribution to intelligence analysis[M]//HEUER R J. Psychology of intelligence analysis. Washington, D. C.:Central Intelligence Agency,1999:5.
[34]凯瑟琳·弗森,伦道夫·弗森.战略情报的批判性思维[M].北京:金城出版社,2016:36.
[35]刘宗和.中国大百科全书·军事情报[M].北京:中国大百科全书出版社,2007:199.
[36]艾布拉姆·舒尔斯基.无声的战争[M].北京:金城出版社,2011.
[37] SMIST F J. Congress oversees us intelligence:1947—1993[M]. Knoxville,Tenn.:The University of Tennessee Press,1994.
[38] RANSOM H H. Secret intelligence in the United States,1947—1982:the CIA’s Search for legitimacy[C]//The Missing Dimension. Macmillan Education UK, 1984:224-226.
[39] National Security Act of 1947(as Amended)//Compilation of Intelligence Laws and Related Laws and Executive Orders of Interest to the National Intelligence Community[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. http://intelligence. house. gov/Media/PDFS/IntelligenceRelatedLaws2003. pdf.
[40] S. 2845-108th Congress(2003—2004):Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004[EB/OL].[2018-07-20]. https://www. congress. gov/bill/108th-congress/senatebill/02845.
[41] MICHAEL H I. Intelligence and military operations[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1990,5(5):1-95.
[42] PORCH D. The French secret services:from the Dreyfus Affair to the Gulf War[M]. New York:Farrar,Straus and Giroux,1995.
[43] PORCH D. French intelligence culture:a historical and political perspective[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1995,10(10):486-511.
[44] KEMP P. The fall and rise of France’s spymasters[J]. Intelligence&National Security,1994,9(1):12-21.