出口贸易碳排放效率时空特征与影响因素——以中国沿海省份为例
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摘要
文章在运用SBM模型测度2006—2015年沿海11个省份出口贸易碳排放效率的基础上,构建地区出口碳排放效率指数,研究出口贸易碳排放效率的空间特征,回归分析其影响因素。结果显示:沿海11个省份整体出口贸易碳排放Malmquist指数变化轨迹各异,上海市和海南省突变现象显著;各省市地区出口碳排放效率指数均值存在较大差异,形成北高东南低的空间格局;技术创新与进步、外资企业"环境成本转移"效应、出口产品能耗对出口贸易碳排放效率影响显著。
Based on the SBM model to measure from 2006 to 2015 of 11 provinces of export trade and carbon emission efficiency on the construction of regional export carbon emission efficiency index,the paper explores the impact of export trade on regional carbon efficiency and uses regression analysis to analyze the factors which influence the carbon emission efficiency of export trade.The results show that:the carbon emission Malmquist index of 11 provinces and cities along the coast are different.The mutations of Shanghai and Hainan have significant differences;there are significant differences in the average carbon export efficiency index of export provinces and cities,forming a low-stability spatial pattern.Technological innovation and progress,foreign-funded enterprises,and "environmental cost transfer" effect have the greatest effect among all the factors.
Based on the SBM model to measure from 2006 to 2015 of 11 provinces of export trade and carbon emission efficiency on the construction of regional export carbon emission efficiency index,the paper explores the impact of export trade on regional carbon efficiency and uses regression analysis to analyze the factors which influence the carbon emission efficiency of export trade.The results show that:the carbon emission Malmquist index of 11 provinces and cities along the coast are different.The mutations of Shanghai and Hainan have significant differences;there are significant differences in the average carbon export efficiency index of export provinces and cities,forming a low-stability spatial pattern.Technological innovation and progress,foreign-funded enterprises,and "environmental cost transfer" effect have the greatest effect among all the factors.
引文
[1]倪外,曾刚.国外低碳经济研究动向分析[J].经济地理,2010(8):1240-1247.
[2]谢志祥,秦耀辰,沈威,等.中国低碳经济发展绩效评价及影响因素[J].经济地理,2017(3):1-9.
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[10]Al-mulali U,Sheau-Ting L.Econometric analysis of trade,exports,imports,energy consumption and CO2 emission in six regions[J].Renewable&Sustainable Energy Reviews,2014,33(2):484-498.
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[13]张相文,黄娟.中国农业贸易自由化的环境效应分析[J].农业经济问题,2012(6):85-89.
[14]张迪,魏本勇,方修琦.基于投入产出分析的2002年中国农产品贸易隐含碳排放研究[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2010(6):738-743.
[15]朱凤琴,齐琪,齐新.北京市出口贸易对碳排放的影响研究--基于主要工业行业的分析[J].华东经济管理,2013(11):160-164.
[16]李怀政,林杰.出口贸易的碳排放效应:源于中国工业的证据[J].国际经贸探索,2013(3):4-17.
[17]白艳萍,张昱,吴西弦.主要工业行业出口贸易对碳排放影响的实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2014(6):26-33.
[18]檀勤良,张兴平,魏咏梅,等.考虑技术效率的碳排放驱动因素研究[J].中国软科学,2013(7):154-163.
[19]孙爱军,房静涛,王群伟.2000-2012年中国出口贸易的碳排放效率时空演变[J].资源科学,2015(6):1230-1238.
[20]单豪杰.中国资本存量K的再估算:1952-2006年[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2008(10):17-31.
[21]IPCC.2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas in ventories[EB/OL].(2011-10-21).https://wenku.baidu.com/view/da92d91dc5da50e2524d7fcd.html.
[22]Cole M,Elliott R J R.Determining the trade environmental composition effect:the role of capita,labor and environment regulations[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2003,46(3):363-383.
[23]马凯,李娟,陈岩.论贸易模式对碳排放的影响--基于浙、粤、苏三省面板数据的实证分析[J].商业时代,2010(33):44-45.
[2]谢志祥,秦耀辰,沈威,等.中国低碳经济发展绩效评价及影响因素[J].经济地理,2017(3):1-9.
[3]Beghin J,Roland-Holst D W,Mensbrugghe D V D.A survey of the trade and environment nexus:Global dimensions[J].OECDEconomic Studies,1994,23:167-192.
[4]Machado G,Schaeffer R,Worrell E.Energy and carbon embodied in the international trade of Brazil:An input-output approach[J].Ecological Economics,2001,39(3):409-424.
[5]Lenzen M.A Generalised input-output multiplier calculus for Australia economic[J].Economic Systems Research,2001,13(1):65-92.
[6]Sánchez-Chóliz J,Duarte R.CO2 emissions embodied in international trade:Evidence for Spain[J].Energy Policy,2004,32(18):1999-2005.
[7]Peters G P,Hertwich E G.Pollution embodied in trade:The Norwegian case[J].Global Environmental Change,2006,16(4):379-387.
[8]Mongelli I,Tassielli G,Notarnicola B.Global warming agreements,international trade and energy/carbon embodiments:An input output approach to the Italian case[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(1):88-100.
[9]Stretesky P B,Lynch M J.A cross-national study of the association between per capita carbon dioxide emissions and exports to the United States[J].Social Science Research,2009,38(1):239-250.
[10]Al-mulali U,Sheau-Ting L.Econometric analysis of trade,exports,imports,energy consumption and CO2 emission in six regions[J].Renewable&Sustainable Energy Reviews,2014,33(2):484-498.
[11]王海鹏.对外贸易与我国碳排放关系的研究[J].国际贸易问题,2010(7):3-8.
[12]钱慕梅,李怀政.中国东中西部出口贸易环境效应比较分析--基于低碳发展的视角[J].国际贸易问题,2011(6):111-121.
[13]张相文,黄娟.中国农业贸易自由化的环境效应分析[J].农业经济问题,2012(6):85-89.
[14]张迪,魏本勇,方修琦.基于投入产出分析的2002年中国农产品贸易隐含碳排放研究[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2010(6):738-743.
[15]朱凤琴,齐琪,齐新.北京市出口贸易对碳排放的影响研究--基于主要工业行业的分析[J].华东经济管理,2013(11):160-164.
[16]李怀政,林杰.出口贸易的碳排放效应:源于中国工业的证据[J].国际经贸探索,2013(3):4-17.
[17]白艳萍,张昱,吴西弦.主要工业行业出口贸易对碳排放影响的实证研究[J].工业技术经济,2014(6):26-33.
[18]檀勤良,张兴平,魏咏梅,等.考虑技术效率的碳排放驱动因素研究[J].中国软科学,2013(7):154-163.
[19]孙爱军,房静涛,王群伟.2000-2012年中国出口贸易的碳排放效率时空演变[J].资源科学,2015(6):1230-1238.
[20]单豪杰.中国资本存量K的再估算:1952-2006年[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2008(10):17-31.
[21]IPCC.2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas in ventories[EB/OL].(2011-10-21).https://wenku.baidu.com/view/da92d91dc5da50e2524d7fcd.html.
[22]Cole M,Elliott R J R.Determining the trade environmental composition effect:the role of capita,labor and environment regulations[J].Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,2003,46(3):363-383.
[23]马凯,李娟,陈岩.论贸易模式对碳排放的影响--基于浙、粤、苏三省面板数据的实证分析[J].商业时代,2010(33):44-45.
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