西南边疆山区旅游空间格局演化特征及其驱动机制——以云南省为例
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摘要
本文以云南省16州市旅游面板数据为基础,综合运用了标准差、加权变异系数、差异模型和ESDA方法对1996-2011年云南省区域旅游发展空间格局特征及驱动机制进行系统性研究,实证研究表明:云南省旅游发展绝对差异呈扩大趋势,相对差异则呈现出先发散后收敛的动态特征;云南省旅游发展存在显著的空间自相关性,表现为:第一阶段云南省各州市间的旅游发展趋于极化状态,呈现出高速发展与低速发展两大集聚区,区域旅游发展趋于不平衡。第二阶段云南省各州市间旅游发展的联系逐步增强,旅游发展渐趋平衡;云南省旅游空间发展不均衡,呈现明显的核心—边缘空间格局,且这种格局保持着较高的演化稳定性;旅游资源禀赋、旅游发展政策和交通可达性是云南省旅游发展空间格局演化的主要驱动力。
This paper chooses the tourism panel data in 16prefectures and cities in Yunnan plus the standard deviation,the coefficient of variation,the weighted difference model and ESDA method to make a systematic study of the tourism spatial pattern and its driving mechanism from 1996to 2011.It concludes that the absolute difference in the development of tourism in Yunnan Province is on the increase,while the relative differences show a dynamic feature with some divergence at first and convergence at last.Tourism development in Yunnan exhibits a significant spatial autocorrelation as follows:the first stage of Yunnan's tourism development is imbalanced,with two major clusters of a rapid development and a low development;the second stage sees a gradually balanced development.The typical feature of its spatial development is that of the fairly stable core-periphery pattern while its tourism resources,tourism development policy and transport accessibility are the main driving forces.
This paper chooses the tourism panel data in 16prefectures and cities in Yunnan plus the standard deviation,the coefficient of variation,the weighted difference model and ESDA method to make a systematic study of the tourism spatial pattern and its driving mechanism from 1996to 2011.It concludes that the absolute difference in the development of tourism in Yunnan Province is on the increase,while the relative differences show a dynamic feature with some divergence at first and convergence at last.Tourism development in Yunnan exhibits a significant spatial autocorrelation as follows:the first stage of Yunnan's tourism development is imbalanced,with two major clusters of a rapid development and a low development;the second stage sees a gradually balanced development.The typical feature of its spatial development is that of the fairly stable core-periphery pattern while its tourism resources,tourism development policy and transport accessibility are the main driving forces.
引文
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[7]Hall C,Page S.The geography of tourism and recreation:Environment,space and place[M].London:Routledge,2006.
[8]陆林,余凤龙.中国旅游经济差异的空间特征分析[J].经济地理,2005,(3).
[9]方叶林,黄震方,王坤等.基于PCA-ESDA的中国省域旅游经济时空差异分析[J].经济地理,2012,(8).
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