基于多重指标的气候品质量化评价——以河西东部红枸杞为例
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摘要
量化评价方法是科学评价农产品气候品质优劣的关键所在,利用熵权赋值法和模糊综合评判方法,构建基于多重耦合指标体系的气候品质量化评价模型。以河西走廊东部红枸杞为例,将生长时段内光、温、水等指标作为评价依据,建立适宜条件评价模型;将主要气象灾害阈值指标分级度量,建立极端灾害影响评价模型,实现了基于气象评价和产地评价的气候品质综合评价模型。经业务验证,该方法可以作为枸杞气候品质定量评价的依据。同时,为类似农产品气候品质量化评估提供了参考。
Quantitative evaluation method is the key to scientifically evaluate the climate quality of agricultural products. Based on the multiple coupling index system,in this paper a quantitative evaluation model of climate quality was established by using the entropy weight valuation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.The indicators of sunshine,temperature,water,etc. during the growth period of Lycium chinense in east Hexi Corridor were used to evaluate the suitable and extreme disastrous meteorological conditions. The evaluation model of extreme disaster impact was established by grading the main meteorological disaster threshold indexes. The comprehensive evaluation model of climate quality was established by combining the meteorological evaluation and production area evaluation. This method could be used as the basis of quantitatively evaluating the climate quality for L.chinense growth. At the same time,this method could also provide a reference for the quantitative assessment of climatic quality for the growth of similar agricultural products.
Quantitative evaluation method is the key to scientifically evaluate the climate quality of agricultural products. Based on the multiple coupling index system,in this paper a quantitative evaluation model of climate quality was established by using the entropy weight valuation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.The indicators of sunshine,temperature,water,etc. during the growth period of Lycium chinense in east Hexi Corridor were used to evaluate the suitable and extreme disastrous meteorological conditions. The evaluation model of extreme disaster impact was established by grading the main meteorological disaster threshold indexes. The comprehensive evaluation model of climate quality was established by combining the meteorological evaluation and production area evaluation. This method could be used as the basis of quantitatively evaluating the climate quality for L.chinense growth. At the same time,this method could also provide a reference for the quantitative assessment of climatic quality for the growth of similar agricultural products.
引文
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[13]邓正栋,叶欣,龙凡,等.地下水遥感模糊评估指数的构建与研究[J].地球物理学报,2013,56(11):3 908-3 916.[Deng Zhendong,Ye Xing,Long Fan,et al.Construction and investigation of groundwater remote sensing fuzzy assessment index[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2013,56(11):3 908-3 916.]
[14]宁娜,舒和平,刘东飞,等.基于熵权和模糊评判的单沟泥石流危险性评价[J].兰州大学学报(自然科学版),2014,50(3):369-375.[Ning Na,Shu Heping,Liu Dongfei,et al.Hazard assessment of debris flow based on the entropy weight method and fuzzy evaluation method[J].Journal of Lanzhou University(Natural Sciences Edition),2014,50(3):369-375.]
[15]陈通,姜岩.我国农产品质量安全保障体系建设的研究[J].天津大学学报(社会科学版),2009,11(3):243-246.[Chen Tong,Jiang Yan.Security system construction of quality and safety of agricultural products in China[J].Journal of Tianjin University(Social Sciences Edition),2009,11(3):243-246.]
[16]张宏志,管正学,李家永.农产品品质评价体系的研究[J].江西科学,2002,20(3):179-182.[Zhang Hongzhi,Guan Zhengxue,Li Jiayong.Studies on evaluation of the quality of agricultural products[J].Jiangxi Science,2002,20(3):179-182.]
[17]金志凤,王治海,姚益平,等.浙江省茶叶气候品质等级评价[J].生态学杂志,2015,34(5):1 456-1 463.[Jin Zhifeng,Wang Zhihai,Yao Yiping,et al.Evaluation of tea climate quality in Zhejiang[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology,2015,34(5):1 456-1 463.]
[18]屈振江,郑小华,刘璐,等.陕西不同生态区苹果品质差异及与气象因子的关系[J].气象,2017,43(7):872-878.[Qu Zhenjiang,Zhen Xiaohua,Liu Lu,et al.Relationship between apple quality and meteorological factors in different ecological regions in Shaanxi[J].Meteorological,2017,43(7):872-878.]
[19]桂园园,肖清媛,姜磊,等.鹰潭市早熟梨品质气候认证技术研究[J].江西科学,2015,33(5):690-695.[Gui Yuanyuan,Xiao Qingyuan,Jiang Lei,et al.Research on the quality and climate certification technology of early maturing pear in Yingtan[J].Jiangxi Science,2015,33(5):690-695.]
[20]李凤全,林年丰.神经网络和地理信息系统耦合方法在地下水水质评价中的应用[J].长春科技大学学报,2001,31(1):50-53.[Li Fengquan,Lin Nianfeng.The application of GIS and ann method on the assesemnet of groundwater quality[J].Journal of Changchun University of Science and Technology,2001,31(1):50-53.]
[21]廖冰,张智光.林业生态安全指标-指数的耦合实证测度研究[J].资源科学,2017,39(9):1 777-1 791.[Liao Bing,Zhang Zhiguang.The empirical measurement of coupling from indicators to indexes of forestry ecological security[J].Resources Science,2017,39(9):1 777-1 791.]
[22]宋福忠,李凯旋,李烨楠,等.基于模糊数学的排污权交易基准价测算模型及其应用[J].环境科学研究,2018,31(1):194-200.[Song Fuzhong,Li Kaixuan,Li Yenan,et al.A fuzzy mathematics based on pricing model for emissions trading benchmark price and its application[J].Reserrch of Environmental Science,2018,31(1):194-200.]
[23]倪九派,李萍,魏朝富,等.基于AHP和熵权法赋权的区域土地开发整理潜力评价[J].农业工程学报,2009,25(5):202-209.[Ni Jiupai,Li Ping,Wei Chaofu,et al.Potentialties evaluation of regional land development and consolidation based on the AHPand entropy method[J].Transactions of the CSAE,2009,25(5):202-209.]
[24]李剑萍,张学艺,刘静.枸杞外观品质与气象条件的关系[J].气象,2004,30(4):51-54.[Li Jianping,Zhang Xueyi,Liu Jing.Relationship between appearance quality and meteorological conditions of Lycium barbarum[J].Meteorology,2004,30(4):51-54.]
[2]李浩鑫,邵东国,尹希,等.基于主成分分析和Copula函数的灌溉用水效率评价方法[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(11):96-103.[Li Haoxin,Shao Dongguo,Yin Xi,et al.Evaluation method for irrigation-water use efficiency based on principle component analysis and Copula function[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agriculture Engineering,2015,31(11):96-103.]
[3]王巧焕,卢玉东,赛佳美,等.干旱区绿洲土壤盐分特征分析[J].干旱区研究,2018,35(3):503-509.[Wang Qiaohuan,Lu Yudong,Sai Jiamei,et al.Analysis of characteristics of soil salinity in the oasis of arid area[J].Arid Zone Research,2018,35(3):503-509.]
[4]刘芳,宫华,许可,等.基于熵权改进的TOPSIS法的教师教学质量评价[J].沈阳工业大学学报,2017(5):540-544.[Liu Fang,Gong Hua,Xu Ke,et al.Teaching quality evaluation for teachers based on TOPSIS method with improvement of entropy weight[J].Journal of Shenyang University of Technology,2017(5):540-544.]
[5]牛晓静,张文鑫,段晓颖,等.多指标全概率评分法优选参芪益气胶囊醇提工艺[J].中国实验方剂学杂志,2014,20(18):26-29.[Niu Xiaojing,Zhang Wenxin,Duan Xiaoying,et al.Optimization of extraction process of Shenqi Yiqi capsule by multi-index test breakdown formula evaluation[J].Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Formulae,2014,20(18):26-29.]
[6]伍晨,赵艳玲,孟炜,等.基于蒙特卡罗模拟的区域农村饮用水水质指数评价[J].环境与健康杂志,2014,31(12):1 063-1 066.[Wu Chen,Zhao Yanling,Meng Wei,et al.Regional drinking water quality index assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation[J].Journal of Environment and Health,2014,31(12):1 063-1 066.]
[7]李仲,刘明地,吉守祥.基于枸杞红外光谱人工神经网络的产地鉴别[J].光谱学与光谱分析,2016,36(3):720-723.[Li Zhong,Liu Mingdi,Ji Shouxiang.Pectroscopy and spectral analysis the identification of the origin of Chinese wolfberry based on infrared spectral technology and the artificial neural network[J].Spectroscopy and Spectral Analysis,2016,36(3):720-723.]
[8]何珍珍,王宏卫,杨胜天,等.塔里木盆地中北部绿洲生态安全评价[J].干旱区研究,2018,35(4):963-970.[He Zhenzhen,Wang Hongwei,Yang Shengtian,et al.Evaluation on ecological security and analysis of influence factors of oasis in Northwest arid region[J].Arid Zone Research,2018,35(4):963-970.]
[9]陈韬伟,金炜东,李杰.基于灰关联测度的分裂式层次聚类算法[J].西南交通大学学报,2010,45(2):296-301.[Chen Taowei,Jin Weidong,Li Jie.Divisive hierarchical clustering algorithm based on grey relational measure[J].Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University,2010,45(2):296-301.]
[10]卜洪运,陶玲玲.基于指数型功效函数的高技术产业集群竞争力评价研究---以京津冀为例[J].工业技术经济,2016,35(7):19-27.[Bu Hongyun,Tao Lingling.The competitiveness evaluation of high-tech industry cluster based on the exponential function:A case study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei[J].Industrial Technology Economy,2016,35(7):19-27.]
[11]王广龙,魏猷刚,章鸥,等.利用多元统计方法筛选确定番茄幼苗质量评价指标[J].西北农业学报,2014,23(6):147-155.[Wang Guanglong,Wei Yougang,Zhang Ou,et al.Screening and identification of quality evaluation index of tomato seedlning with multivariate statistical analysis[J].Acta Agriculturae Boreali-Occidentalis Sinica,2014,23(6):147-155.]
[12]马庆华,李永红,梁丽松,等.冬枣优良单株果实品质的因子分析与综合评价[J].中国农业科学,2010,43(12):2 491-2 499.[Ma Qinghua,Li Yonghong,Liang Lisong,et al.Factor analysis and synthetical evaluation of the fruit quality of dongzao(Ziziphus jujuba mill.“dongzao”)advanced selections[J].Scientia Agriculture Sinica,2010,43(12):2 491-2 499.]
[13]邓正栋,叶欣,龙凡,等.地下水遥感模糊评估指数的构建与研究[J].地球物理学报,2013,56(11):3 908-3 916.[Deng Zhendong,Ye Xing,Long Fan,et al.Construction and investigation of groundwater remote sensing fuzzy assessment index[J].Chinese Journal of Geophysics,2013,56(11):3 908-3 916.]
[14]宁娜,舒和平,刘东飞,等.基于熵权和模糊评判的单沟泥石流危险性评价[J].兰州大学学报(自然科学版),2014,50(3):369-375.[Ning Na,Shu Heping,Liu Dongfei,et al.Hazard assessment of debris flow based on the entropy weight method and fuzzy evaluation method[J].Journal of Lanzhou University(Natural Sciences Edition),2014,50(3):369-375.]
[15]陈通,姜岩.我国农产品质量安全保障体系建设的研究[J].天津大学学报(社会科学版),2009,11(3):243-246.[Chen Tong,Jiang Yan.Security system construction of quality and safety of agricultural products in China[J].Journal of Tianjin University(Social Sciences Edition),2009,11(3):243-246.]
[16]张宏志,管正学,李家永.农产品品质评价体系的研究[J].江西科学,2002,20(3):179-182.[Zhang Hongzhi,Guan Zhengxue,Li Jiayong.Studies on evaluation of the quality of agricultural products[J].Jiangxi Science,2002,20(3):179-182.]
[17]金志凤,王治海,姚益平,等.浙江省茶叶气候品质等级评价[J].生态学杂志,2015,34(5):1 456-1 463.[Jin Zhifeng,Wang Zhihai,Yao Yiping,et al.Evaluation of tea climate quality in Zhejiang[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology,2015,34(5):1 456-1 463.]
[18]屈振江,郑小华,刘璐,等.陕西不同生态区苹果品质差异及与气象因子的关系[J].气象,2017,43(7):872-878.[Qu Zhenjiang,Zhen Xiaohua,Liu Lu,et al.Relationship between apple quality and meteorological factors in different ecological regions in Shaanxi[J].Meteorological,2017,43(7):872-878.]
[19]桂园园,肖清媛,姜磊,等.鹰潭市早熟梨品质气候认证技术研究[J].江西科学,2015,33(5):690-695.[Gui Yuanyuan,Xiao Qingyuan,Jiang Lei,et al.Research on the quality and climate certification technology of early maturing pear in Yingtan[J].Jiangxi Science,2015,33(5):690-695.]
[20]李凤全,林年丰.神经网络和地理信息系统耦合方法在地下水水质评价中的应用[J].长春科技大学学报,2001,31(1):50-53.[Li Fengquan,Lin Nianfeng.The application of GIS and ann method on the assesemnet of groundwater quality[J].Journal of Changchun University of Science and Technology,2001,31(1):50-53.]
[21]廖冰,张智光.林业生态安全指标-指数的耦合实证测度研究[J].资源科学,2017,39(9):1 777-1 791.[Liao Bing,Zhang Zhiguang.The empirical measurement of coupling from indicators to indexes of forestry ecological security[J].Resources Science,2017,39(9):1 777-1 791.]
[22]宋福忠,李凯旋,李烨楠,等.基于模糊数学的排污权交易基准价测算模型及其应用[J].环境科学研究,2018,31(1):194-200.[Song Fuzhong,Li Kaixuan,Li Yenan,et al.A fuzzy mathematics based on pricing model for emissions trading benchmark price and its application[J].Reserrch of Environmental Science,2018,31(1):194-200.]
[23]倪九派,李萍,魏朝富,等.基于AHP和熵权法赋权的区域土地开发整理潜力评价[J].农业工程学报,2009,25(5):202-209.[Ni Jiupai,Li Ping,Wei Chaofu,et al.Potentialties evaluation of regional land development and consolidation based on the AHPand entropy method[J].Transactions of the CSAE,2009,25(5):202-209.]
[24]李剑萍,张学艺,刘静.枸杞外观品质与气象条件的关系[J].气象,2004,30(4):51-54.[Li Jianping,Zhang Xueyi,Liu Jing.Relationship between appearance quality and meteorological conditions of Lycium barbarum[J].Meteorology,2004,30(4):51-54.]
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