基于综合赋权法的海洋资源环境承载能力综合评价研究——以长江经济带邻近海域为例
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摘要
海洋资源环境承载能力评价是促进协调沿海地区社会经济、资源与环境关系平衡的重要方法,是衡量海洋可持续发展的技术手段,构建一种量化的海洋资源环境承载能力综合评价方法十分必要。本研究基于主客观综合赋权法,建立了海洋资源环境承载能力综合评价方法,以长江经济带邻近海域43个县级评价单元为例对海洋资源环境承载能力综合评价方法进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,综合赋权法结合层次分析法和熵值法的优点合理地确定了指标权重,获得了各评价单元海洋资源环境承载能力综合评价得分,连云港和盐城海洋资源环境承载能力情况较好。
The evaluation of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment is an important way to balance the relationship of economy,resources and environment near coastal zone. The evaluation of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment also is a technical method of marine sustainable development. It's necessary to construct a quantitative evaluation method of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment. Based on comprehensive weighting methods,an evaluation method of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment is built. A case study in coastal ocean near Yangtze River Economic Belt is conducted with the evaluation of carrying capacity for marine resources and environment. There are 43 counties as the units of the evaluation. The results show that the comprehensive weighting methods is better than the analytic hierarchy process and the entropy method to calculate the weight.Composite scores of the evaluation of carrying capacity are got for every unit of the evaluation. The carrying capacity ofmarine resources and environment of Lianyungang and Yancheng is good.
The evaluation of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment is an important way to balance the relationship of economy,resources and environment near coastal zone. The evaluation of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment also is a technical method of marine sustainable development. It's necessary to construct a quantitative evaluation method of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment. Based on comprehensive weighting methods,an evaluation method of carrying capacity of marine resources and environment is built. A case study in coastal ocean near Yangtze River Economic Belt is conducted with the evaluation of carrying capacity for marine resources and environment. There are 43 counties as the units of the evaluation. The results show that the comprehensive weighting methods is better than the analytic hierarchy process and the entropy method to calculate the weight.Composite scores of the evaluation of carrying capacity are got for every unit of the evaluation. The carrying capacity ofmarine resources and environment of Lianyungang and Yancheng is good.
引文
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[25]黄林楠,张伟新,姜翠玲,等.水资源生态足迹计算方法[J].生态学报,2008,28(3):1279-1286.
[26]刘雅玲,罗雅谦,张文静,等.基于压力—状态—响应模型的城市水资源承载力评价指标体系构建研究[J].环境污染与防治,2016,38(5):100-104.
[27]洪志国,李焱,范植华,等.层次分析法中高阶平均随机一致性指标(RI)的计算[J].计算机工程与应用,2002,38(12):45-47,150.
[2]PARK R E,BURGESS E W.An introduction to the science of sociology[M].Chicago,1921.
[3]齐文虎.资源承载力计算的系统动力学模型[J].自然资源学报,1987,2(1):38-48.
[4]徐中民,程国栋,张志强.生态足迹方法:可持续性定量研究的新方法——以张掖地区1995年的生态足迹计算为例[J].生态学报,2001,21(9):1484-1493.
[5]唐剑武,叶文虎.环境承载力的本质及其定量化初步研究[J].中国环境科学,1998,18(3):227-230.
[6]冉圣宏,薛纪渝,王华东.区域环境承载力在北海市城市可持续发展研究中的应用[J].中国环境科学,1998,18(S):83-87.
[7]魏超,叶属峰,过仲阳,等.海岸带区域综合承载力评估指标体系的构建与应用——以南通市为例[J].生态学报,2013,33(18):5893-5904.
[8]朱嘉伟,谢晓彤,李心慧.生态环境承载力评价研究——以河南省为例[J].生态学报,2017,37(21):7039-7047.
[9]LANE M.The carrying capacity imperative:assessing regional carrying capacity methodologies for sustainable land-use planning[J].Land Use Policy,2010,27(4):1038-1045.
[10]刘锦怡,陈斯典,江天久.海洋生态环境承载力研究——以深圳东部海域为例[J].海洋环境科学,2017,36(4):560-565.
[11]狄乾斌,张洁,吴佳璐.基于生态系统健康的辽宁省海洋生态承载力评价[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(2):256-264.
[12]新华社.中共中央关于全面深化改革若干重大问题的决定[EB/OL].(2013-11-15)[2018-02-22].http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2013-11/15/content_2528179.htm.
[13]新华社.中共中央国务院印发《生态文明体制改革总体方案》[EB/OL].(2015-09-21)[2018-02-22].http://www.gov.cn/guowuyuan/2015-09/21/content_2936327.htm.
[14]中华人民共和国国家发展和改革委员会发展规划司.国家发展改革委联合12部委下发《资源环境承载能力监测预警技术方法(试行)》[EB/OL].(2016-09-28)[2018-02-22].http://ghs.ndrc.gov.cn/gzdt/201609/t20160928_820449.html.
[15]新华社.中共中央办公厅国务院办公厅印发《关于建立资源环境承载能力监测预警长效机制的若干意见》[EB/OL].[2018-2-22].http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2017-09/20/content_5226466.htm.
[16]关道明,张志锋,杨正先,等.海洋资源环境承载能力理论与测度方法的探索[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(9):1241-1247.
[17]杨正先,张志锋,韩建波,等.海洋资源环境承载能力超载阈值确定方法探讨[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(3):313-319.
[18]任光超,杨德利,管红波.主成分分析法在我国海洋资源承载力变化趋势研究中的应用[J].海洋通报,2012,31(1):21-25.
[19]刘蕊.海洋资源承载力指标体系的设计与评价[J].广东海洋大学学报,2009,29(5):6-9.
[20]狄乾斌,韩增林.海域承载力的定量化探讨—以辽宁海域为例[J].海洋通报,2005,24(1):47-55.
[21]张鹏,张惠荣,杨红,等.海域生态承载力评价指标体系研究——以南通市为例[J].海洋环境科学,2017,36(1):143-148.
[22]SAATY T L,How to make a decision:the analytic hierarchy process[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1990,48(1):9-26.
[23]ZOU Z H,YUN Y,SUN J N.Entropy method for determination of weight of evaluating indicators in fuzzy synthetic evaluation for water quality assessment[J].Journal of Environmental Sciences,2006,18(5):1020-1023.
[24]SEIDL I,TISDELL C A.Carrying capacity reconsidered:from Malthus’population theory to cultural carrying capacity[J].Ecological Economics,1999,31(3):395-408.
[25]黄林楠,张伟新,姜翠玲,等.水资源生态足迹计算方法[J].生态学报,2008,28(3):1279-1286.
[26]刘雅玲,罗雅谦,张文静,等.基于压力—状态—响应模型的城市水资源承载力评价指标体系构建研究[J].环境污染与防治,2016,38(5):100-104.
[27]洪志国,李焱,范植华,等.层次分析法中高阶平均随机一致性指标(RI)的计算[J].计算机工程与应用,2002,38(12):45-47,150.